Tampa Bay Lightning vs Winnipeg Jets — March 5, 2026 Game Stats

Game Recap

The Winnipeg Jets defeated the Tampa Bay Lightning 4-1 on March 5, 2026. The Winnipeg Jets controlled play with 53.5% Corsi and generated 8.00 expected goals compared to 6.38 from the Tampa Bay Lightning at 5-on-5, suggesting the result was well-earned. The Winnipeg Jets created 9 high-danger scoring chances compared to 7 from the Tampa Bay Lightning at 5-on-5. Zemgus Girgensons was the most dangerous skater with 1.17 individual expected goals on 3 shots at 5-on-5. The Winnipeg Jets outshot the Tampa Bay Lightning 30-27 in total shots on goal.

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xG Gameflow — cumulative expected goals chart tracking each team's xG as Tampa Bay Lightning vs Winnipeg Jets progressed on Mar 5, 2026
Shot heatmap — where shots were taken on the ice, color-coded by scoring probability
Event timeline — every goal, penalty, and key play mapped chronologically
Player matchup grid — head-to-head on-ice performance in Corsi and expected goals
Strength filter — 5v5 by default, with options for power play, penalty kill, and all situations

TBL1 - 4WPG

Mar 5, 2026 · Regular Season

Strength:

Overview

	Period	Corsi			Fenwick			Shots			SC			HDSC			xG			Goals
		F	A	%	F	A	%	F	A	%	F	A	%	F	A	%	F	A	%	F	A	%
WPG	P1	21	18	53.8	14	11	56.0	8	5	61.5	15	12	55.6	5	3	62.5	3.69	2.69	57.8	0	0	—
	P2	24	15	61.5	16	11	59.3	14	7	66.7	13	8	61.9	3	4	42.9	3.23	2.59	55.5	2	0	100.0
	P3	18	26	40.9	14	21	40.0	8	15	34.8	16	21	43.2	3	6	33.3	3.29	4.86	40.3	2	1	66.7
	Total	63	59	51.6	44	43	50.6	30	27	52.6	44	41	51.8	11	13	45.8	10.20	10.14	50.1	4	1	80.0
TBL	P1	18	21	46.2	11	14	44.0	5	8	38.5	12	15	44.4	3	5	37.5	2.69	3.69	42.2	0	0	—
	P2	15	24	38.5	11	16	40.7	7	14	33.3	8	13	38.1	4	3	57.1	2.59	3.23	44.5	0	2	0.0
	P3	26	18	59.1	21	14	60.0	15	8	65.2	21	16	56.8	6	3	66.7	4.86	3.29	59.7	1	2	33.3
	Total	59	63	48.4	43	44	49.4	27	30	47.4	41	44	48.2	13	11	54.2	10.14	10.20	49.9	1	4	20.0

Win Probability

WPG Favored

TBL Favored

Goal

Power Play

Gameflow — Cumulative xG

WPG

TBL

Goal

Shot Density Heatmap

TBL Attempts

WPG Attempts

Individual Event Map

Player:

TBL ShootWPG Shoot

Shot on Net

Missed Shot

Attempt Blocked

Hit

Hit Taken

Takeaway

Giveaway

Player Matchup Grid

This grid shows how every skater on the home team (WPG) performed against every skater on the away team (TBL) when they were on the ice at the same time.

Rows = WPG players, Columns = TBL players. Forwards are listed first, then defensemen.
Green = the WPG player had a favorable matchup (above 50%). Red = unfavorable (below 50%).
Values shown from the home team's perspective. Toggle between CF% (shot attempt share) and xGF% (expected goal share).
Cells with fewer than 3 shared events are grayed out (insufficient sample). Hover over any cell for full details.

Stat:

WPG ↓ / TBL →	Guentzel	Point	Gourde	Girgensons	Cirelli	Geekie	Hagel	Kucherov	Bjorkstrand	Holmberg	Sabourin	Raddysh	Carlile	Hedman	Cernak	Moser	D'Astous	McDonagh
Lowry	75	58	63	63	42	25	39	40	50	60	100	50	40	43	63	64	55	80
Vilardi	77	60	80	80	50	33	40	38	33	67	100	56	46	42	77	56	50	90
Scheifele	87	71	43	50	80	0	50	69	60	50	0	55	67	63	78	31	89	78
Perfetti	75	56	70	70	50	100	46	40	33	50	100	44	50	36	71	44	67	82
Toews	78	40	0	29	86	40	67	33	43	33	57	33	50	64	50	71	33	33
Barron	0	18	100	100	0	88	67	31	0	100	83	31	50	67	50	67	75	50
Connor	76	63	46	55	80	25	33	56	43	55	33	52	56	67	88	33	73	88
Iafallo	92	64	36	50	80	0	67	60	25	60	25	50	67	60	67	38	86	60
Koepke	0	22	—	100	0	67	55	30	0	60	75	36	30	43	0	67	75	0
Pearson	17	33	—	60	33	43	38	56	20	43	63	25	47	56	60	67	0	50
Nyquist	80	60	0	17	86	67	100	67	50	33	50	40	64	80	40	71	33	33
Duehr	50	67	0	0	33	86	83	—	50	43	100	63	75	60	0	33	67	0
Samberg	38	35	57	73	60	43	58	33	25	63	75	30	53	73	88	40	44	88
DeMelo	45	44	50	63	50	33	54	44	31	50	71	38	47	70	83	44	64	71
Fleury	70	63	25	44	29	64	44	46	30	50	80	60	44	37	43	60	70	25
Salomonsson	64	60	38	44	11	67	46	47	11	50	75	56	44	33	38	50	73	25
Heinola	90	83	50	44	100	100	33	80	100	44	50	67	63	80	64	25	80	71
Phillips	100	50	67	43	75	50	50	0	100	50	40	50	57	75	57	50	0	75