Tampa Bay Lightning vs Minnesota Wild — March 3, 2026 Game Stats

Game Recap

The Minnesota Wild defeated the Tampa Bay Lightning 5-1 on March 3, 2026. Expected goals were closely matched at 5-on-5 (MIN 4.66, TBL 5.11), making this a tightly contested game on both sides of the puck. The Minnesota Wild created 8 high-danger scoring chances compared to 7 from the Tampa Bay Lightning at 5-on-5. Jake Guentzel was the most dangerous skater with 1.52 individual expected goals on 3 shots at 5-on-5. The Tampa Bay Lightning outshot the Minnesota Wild 25-22 in total shots on goal.

← Back to Games

xG Gameflow — cumulative expected goals chart tracking each team's xG as Tampa Bay Lightning vs Minnesota Wild progressed on Mar 3, 2026
Shot heatmap — where shots were taken on the ice, color-coded by scoring probability
Event timeline — every goal, penalty, and key play mapped chronologically
Player matchup grid — head-to-head on-ice performance in Corsi and expected goals
Strength filter — 5v5 by default, with options for power play, penalty kill, and all situations

TBL1 - 5MIN

Mar 3, 2026 · Regular Season

Strength:

Overview

	Period	Corsi			Fenwick			Shots			SC			HDSC			xG			Goals
		F	A	%	F	A	%	F	A	%	F	A	%	F	A	%	F	A	%	F	A	%
MIN	P1	19	20	48.7	11	16	40.7	5	12	29.4	15	12	55.6	4	3	57.1	1.57	2.96	34.7	1	0	100.0
	P2	12	13	48.0	9	9	50.0	7	6	53.8	10	9	52.6	4	1	80.0	2.02	1.57	56.3	2	1	66.7
	P3	19	21	47.5	16	12	57.1	10	7	58.8	12	12	50.0	3	5	37.5	2.70	3.40	44.2	2	0	100.0
	Total	50	54	48.1	36	37	49.3	22	25	46.8	37	33	52.9	11	9	55.0	6.29	7.94	44.2	5	1	83.3
TBL	P1	20	19	51.3	16	11	59.3	12	5	70.6	12	15	44.4	3	4	42.9	2.96	1.57	65.3	0	1	0.0
	P2	13	12	52.0	9	9	50.0	6	7	46.2	9	10	47.4	1	4	20.0	1.57	2.02	43.7	1	2	33.3
	P3	21	19	52.5	12	16	42.9	7	10	41.2	12	12	50.0	5	3	62.5	3.40	2.70	55.8	0	2	0.0
	Total	54	50	51.9	37	36	50.7	25	22	53.2	33	37	47.1	9	11	45.0	7.94	6.29	55.8	1	5	16.7

Win Probability

MIN Favored

TBL Favored

Goal

Power Play

Gameflow — Cumulative xG

MIN

TBL

Goal

Shot Density Heatmap

TBL Attempts

MIN Attempts

Individual Event Map

Player:

TBL ShootMIN Shoot

Save

Goal Against

Missed Shot Against

Player Matchup Grid

This grid shows how every skater on the home team (MIN) performed against every skater on the away team (TBL) when they were on the ice at the same time.

Rows = MIN players, Columns = TBL players. Forwards are listed first, then defensemen.
Green = the MIN player had a favorable matchup (above 50%). Red = unfavorable (below 50%).
Values shown from the home team's perspective. Toggle between CF% (shot attempt share) and xGF% (expected goal share).
Cells with fewer than 3 shared events are grayed out (insufficient sample). Hover over any cell for full details.

Stat:

MIN ↓ / TBL →	Point	Guentzel	Cirelli	Gourde	Geekie	Girgensons	Hagel	Kucherov	Bjorkstrand	Holmberg	Sabourin	Raddysh	D'Astous	Hedman	McDonagh	Moser	Cernak	Lilleberg
Eriksson Ek	35	29	73	43	63	50	71	35	57	20	100	36	50	50	80	55	83	80
Trenin	35	35	60	100	86	100	38	38	60	80	80	29	33	63	100	67	100	80
Sturm	20	20	75	0	50	0	44	42	25	0	50	27	75	50	0	40	0	0
Fabbri	17	20	50	0	83	0	40	38	71	0	83	20	67	67	0	25	0	80
Hinostroza	25	25	25	0	50	0	20	33	50	0	50	40	25	20	0	100	0	0
Kaprizov	33	36	62	64	46	63	59	40	67	50	71	54	47	47	54	60	50	75
Boldy	40	33	80	44	63	67	75	38	56	20	100	41	50	54	73	57	77	80
Johansson	50	56	75	33	75	0	56	64	80	0	100	43	80	67	33	63	60	83
Zuccarello	43	57	82	78	60	63	82	56	58	57	55	64	73	50	67	73	64	71
Hartman	33	40	60	63	54	50	33	42	58	57	55	54	60	33	33	64	25	67
Tarasenko	44	40	50	75	40	100	43	42	56	80	50	40	17	44	100	70	100	50
Yurov	50	50	50	100	67	100	38	45	83	80	80	43	27	50	75	100	100	80
Faber	39	42	71	63	64	71	60	47	58	60	88	48	50	50	44	72	50	93
Hughes	29	37	68	75	73	70	62	45	80	56	86	53	50	55	61	69	67	83
Middleton	30	28	0	40	38	50	40	25	40	40	45	32	31	31	25	43	33	29
Brodin	50	42	56	33	67	0	42	58	71	25	100	36	44	60	50	63	60	86
Bogosian	18	11	0	50	40	50	13	8	45	50	40	25	27	33	20	38	33	14
Spurgeon	20	17	50	33	67	0	36	43	71	33	100	14	60	60	50	33	67	80