Tampa Bay Lightning vs Carolina Hurricanes — February 26, 2026 Game Stats

Game Recap

The Carolina Hurricanes defeated the Tampa Bay Lightning 5-4 on February 26, 2026. Despite the result, the Tampa Bay Lightning held the edge in expected goals (7.27 to 6.38) at 5-on-5, indicating the Carolina Hurricanes received favorable bounces or strong goaltending. The Tampa Bay Lightning created 11 high-danger scoring chances compared to 8 from the Carolina Hurricanes at 5-on-5. Dominic James was the most dangerous skater with 1.52 individual expected goals on 3 shots at 5-on-5. The Carolina Hurricanes outshot the Tampa Bay Lightning 33-28 in total shots on goal.

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xG Gameflow — cumulative expected goals chart tracking each team's xG as Tampa Bay Lightning vs Carolina Hurricanes progressed on Feb 26, 2026
Shot heatmap — where shots were taken on the ice, color-coded by scoring probability
Event timeline — every goal, penalty, and key play mapped chronologically
Player matchup grid — head-to-head on-ice performance in Corsi and expected goals
Strength filter — 5v5 by default, with options for power play, penalty kill, and all situations

TBL4 - 5CAR

Feb 26, 2026 · Regular Season

Strength:

Overview

	Period	Corsi			Fenwick			Shots			SC			HDSC			xG			Goals
		F	A	%	F	A	%	F	A	%	F	A	%	F	A	%	F	A	%	F	A	%
CAR	P1	21	18	53.8	18	15	54.5	13	11	54.2	13	13	50.0	7	4	63.6	4.46	3.21	58.1	3	2	60.0
	P2	17	20	45.9	12	14	46.2	10	11	47.6	9	17	34.6	2	6	25.0	1.46	3.34	30.3	1	2	33.3
	P3	24	19	55.8	11	11	50.0	10	6	62.5	14	14	50.0	2	7	22.2	1.29	3.73	25.7	1	0	100.0
	Total	62	57	52.1	41	40	50.6	33	28	54.1	36	44	45.0	11	17	39.3	7.20	10.28	41.2	5	4	55.6
TBL	P1	18	21	46.2	15	18	45.5	11	13	45.8	13	13	50.0	4	7	36.4	3.21	4.46	41.9	2	3	40.0
	P2	20	17	54.1	14	12	53.8	11	10	52.4	17	9	65.4	6	2	75.0	3.34	1.46	69.7	2	1	66.7
	P3	19	24	44.2	11	11	50.0	6	10	37.5	14	14	50.0	7	2	77.8	3.73	1.29	74.3	0	1	0.0
	Total	57	62	47.9	40	41	49.4	28	33	45.9	44	36	55.0	17	11	60.7	10.28	7.20	58.8	4	5	44.4

Win Probability

CAR Favored

TBL Favored

Goal

Power Play

Gameflow — Cumulative xG

CAR

TBL

Goal

Shot Density Heatmap

TBL Attempts

CAR Attempts

Individual Event Map

Player:

TBL ShootCAR Shoot

Shot on Net

Missed Shot

Attempt Blocked

Hit

Hit Taken

Shot Blocked

Takeaway

Giveaway

Player Matchup Grid

This grid shows how every skater on the home team (CAR) performed against every skater on the away team (TBL) when they were on the ice at the same time.

Rows = CAR players, Columns = TBL players. Forwards are listed first, then defensemen.
Green = the CAR player had a favorable matchup (above 50%). Red = unfavorable (below 50%).
Values shown from the home team's perspective. Toggle between CF% (shot attempt share) and xGF% (expected goal share).
Cells with fewer than 3 shared events are grayed out (insufficient sample). Hover over any cell for full details.

Stat:

CAR ↓ / TBL →	Point	Guentzel	Girgensons	Gourde	James	Goncalves	Hagel	Kucherov	Holmberg	Bjorkstrand	Sabourin	Raddysh	Moser	Cernak	D'Astous	McDonagh	Hedman	Carlile
Aho	52	55	60	60	50	53	75	50	33	25	100	48	53	78	60	75	50	50
Jarvis	50	55	67	67	0	54	86	50	50	33	100	53	50	78	50	75	50	33
Staal	0	50	100	100	45	0	57	0	100	33	0	33	33	56	100	56	60	25
Stankoven	67	60	56	64	44	50	56	50	62	50	—	57	83	50	78	45	75	33
Hall	67	60	56	60	33	33	56	40	47	29	100	44	71	38	80	36	67	50
Martinook	20	43	—	—	50	33	46	25	—	50	0	0	0	38	75	43	57	33
Ehlers	0	47	67	67	45	0	53	0	0	33	0	0	33	56	67	56	56	25
Jankowski	67	50	58	61	25	75	33	67	41	45	67	86	40	18	75	0	60	75
Carrier	50	33	55	59	50	75	33	50	50	50	75	100	33	25	69	0	60	63
Robinson	67	50	54	56	50	75	50	50	47	50	60	75	25	29	80	0	50	67
Blake	75	63	59	65	42	33	50	57	50	38	100	58	70	38	78	36	73	50
Svechnikov	58	71	75	75	100	57	75	60	50	50	100	60	57	78	75	75	60	100
Gostisbehere	67	73	58	67	40	100	64	75	56	63	100	86	75	50	72	42	60	56
Miller	38	45	43	50	54	20	56	46	20	50	75	50	50	38	71	50	50	60
Walker	38	50	43	50	50	0	56	38	20	75	75	50	40	42	80	47	50	60
Slavin	48	11	67	57	13	61	20	44	33	13	33	40	47	23	86	25	80	50
Nikishin	100	80	58	64	50	—	67	67	60	100	100	83	100	57	73	33	64	56
Chatfield	53	0	67	40	20	53	25	48	25	11	33	47	47	30	75	38	50	50