Toronto Maple Leafs vs Tampa Bay Lightning — February 25, 2026 Game Stats

Game Recap

The Tampa Bay Lightning defeated the Toronto Maple Leafs 4-2 on February 25, 2026. The Tampa Bay Lightning controlled play with 60.2% Corsi and generated 9.79 expected goals compared to 6.64 from the Toronto Maple Leafs at 5-on-5, suggesting the result was well-earned. The Tampa Bay Lightning created 11 high-danger scoring chances compared to 5 from the Toronto Maple Leafs at 5-on-5. Brayden Point scored 2 goals. The Tampa Bay Lightning outshot the Toronto Maple Leafs 36-34 in total shots on goal.

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xG Gameflow — cumulative expected goals chart tracking each team's xG as Toronto Maple Leafs vs Tampa Bay Lightning progressed on Feb 25, 2026
Shot heatmap — where shots were taken on the ice, color-coded by scoring probability
Event timeline — every goal, penalty, and key play mapped chronologically
Player matchup grid — head-to-head on-ice performance in Corsi and expected goals
Strength filter — 5v5 by default, with options for power play, penalty kill, and all situations

TOR2 - 4TBL

Feb 25, 2026 · Regular Season

Strength:

Overview

	Period	Corsi			Fenwick			Shots			SC			HDSC			xG			Goals
		F	A	%	F	A	%	F	A	%	F	A	%	F	A	%	F	A	%	F	A	%
TBL	P1	24	14	63.2	17	11	60.7	4	8	33.3	17	10	63.0	4	3	57.1	3.05	2.22	57.9	0	0	—
	P2	32	21	60.4	25	18	58.1	20	14	58.8	21	17	55.3	5	3	62.5	5.99	4.90	55.0	2	0	100.0
	P3	20	24	45.5	17	19	47.2	12	12	50.0	14	11	56.0	5	2	71.4	4.30	3.21	57.3	2	2	50.0
	Total	76	59	56.3	59	48	55.1	36	34	51.4	52	38	57.8	14	8	63.6	13.35	10.34	56.4	4	2	66.7
TOR	P1	14	24	36.8	11	17	39.3	8	4	66.7	10	17	37.0	3	4	42.9	2.22	3.05	42.1	0	0	—
	P2	21	32	39.6	18	25	41.9	14	20	41.2	17	21	44.7	3	5	37.5	4.90	5.99	45.0	0	2	0.0
	P3	24	20	54.5	19	17	52.8	12	12	50.0	11	14	44.0	2	5	28.6	3.21	4.30	42.7	2	2	50.0
	Total	59	76	43.7	48	59	44.9	34	36	48.6	38	52	42.2	8	14	36.4	10.34	13.35	43.6	2	4	33.3

Win Probability

TBL Favored

TOR Favored

Goal

Power Play

Gameflow — Cumulative xG

TBL

TOR

Goal

Shot Density Heatmap

TOR Attempts

TBL Attempts

Individual Event Map

Player:

TOR ShootTBL Shoot

Save

Goal Against

Missed Shot Against

Player Matchup Grid

This grid shows how every skater on the home team (TBL) performed against every skater on the away team (TOR) when they were on the ice at the same time.

Rows = TBL players, Columns = TOR players. Forwards are listed first, then defensemen.
Green = the TBL player had a favorable matchup (above 50%). Red = unfavorable (below 50%).
Values shown from the home team's perspective. Toggle between CF% (shot attempt share) and xGF% (expected goal share).
Cells with fewer than 3 shared events are grayed out (insufficient sample). Hover over any cell for full details.

Stat:

TBL ↓ / TOR →	Matthews	Roy	Domi	Tavares	McMann	Laughton	Lorentz	Jarnkrok	Knies	Robertson	Maccelli	Nylander	Ekman-Larsson	Rielly	Carlo	McCabe	Stecher	Benoit
Guentzel	55	50	100	60	55	71	64	70	54	38	50	67	77	31	65	80	72	68
Point	33	79	33	44	50	86	84	100	53	88	59	42	52	56	83	71	93	88
Gourde	43	29	29	27	45	50	0	0	36	10	0	40	24	35	60	50	67	50
Girgensons	43	40	32	40	39	50	0	0	31	13	33	46	28	31	67	55	69	83
James	50	60	100	46	33	100	100	100	55	45	53	50	50	67	60	67	60	31
Goncalves	80	63	100	55	71	83	100	100	71	71	50	55	58	88	100	69	67	50
Hagel	50	55	54	41	70	88	78	100	43	47	60	48	58	53	67	73	76	67
Kucherov	40	73	40	42	50	85	83	100	53	80	59	42	50	58	84	71	82	81
Holmberg	50	100	47	83	71	50	0	0	50	100	100	75	57	50	67	60	82	86
Bjorkstrand	0	83	100	57	100	67	60	67	75	86	67	57	89	14	63	81	70	91
Sabourin	—	80	100	0	100	40	40	40	0	75	0	0	57	20	25	50	50	63
Raddysh	41	71	33	44	43	89	88	100	53	71	53	45	53	50	85	69	67	78
Moser	38	82	40	44	64	80	100	100	47	86	58	44	50	57	82	61	67	85
D'Astous	100	69	100	60	90	70	70	67	67	64	67	67	74	60	71	85	86	69
Cernak	33	45	35	11	54	67	25	50	21	25	25	31	25	32	43	63	73	20
McDonagh	35	44	30	50	38	50	0	0	22	10	33	60	29	29	20	56	75	50
Hedman	80	50	100	29	67	29	33	40	54	54	29	38	46	38	56	60	67	47
Lilleberg	80	67	50	67	44	75	100	100	67	44	46	70	60	67	83	78	100	100