Game Recap
The Toronto Maple Leafs defeated the Edmonton Oilers 5-2 on February 3, 2026. Despite the result, the Edmonton Oilers held the edge in expected goals (9.56 to 7.04) at 5-on-5, indicating the Toronto Maple Leafs received favorable bounces or strong goaltending. The Edmonton Oilers created 9 high-danger scoring chances compared to 7 from the Toronto Maple Leafs at 5-on-5. Matias Maccelli scored 2 goals. Ryan Nugent-Hopkins was the most dangerous skater with 1.86 individual expected goals on 2 shots at 5-on-5. The Edmonton Oilers outshot the Toronto Maple Leafs 36-27 in total shots on goal.
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- xG Gameflow — cumulative expected goals chart tracking each team's xG as Toronto Maple Leafs vs Edmonton Oilers progressed on Feb 3, 2026
- Shot heatmap — where shots were taken on the ice, color-coded by scoring probability
- Event timeline — every goal, penalty, and key play mapped chronologically
- Player matchup grid — head-to-head on-ice performance in Corsi and expected goals
- Strength filter — 5v5 by default, with options for power play, penalty kill, and all situations
TOR5 - 2EDM
Feb 3, 2026 · Regular Season
Overview
| Period | Corsi | Fenwick | Shots | SC | HDSC | xG | Goals | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| F | A | % | F | A | % | F | A | % | F | A | % | F | A | % | F | A | % | F | A | % | ||
| EDM | P1 | 22 | 15 | 59.5 | 12 | 11 | 52.2 | 9 | 8 | 52.9 | 16 | 14 | 53.3 | 3 | 3 | 50.0 | 2.66 | 2.24 | 54.2 | 0 | 0 | — |
| P2 | 29 | 20 | 59.2 | 24 | 17 | 58.5 | 17 | 12 | 58.6 | 17 | 16 | 51.5 | 4 | 3 | 57.1 | 5.34 | 4.09 | 56.6 | 1 | 2 | 33.3 | |
| P3 | 17 | 12 | 58.6 | 11 | 10 | 52.4 | 10 | 7 | 58.8 | 11 | 7 | 61.1 | 2 | 4 | 33.3 | 2.14 | 2.05 | 51.1 | 1 | 3 | 25.0 | |
| Total | 68 | 47 | 59.1 | 47 | 38 | 55.3 | 36 | 27 | 57.1 | 44 | 37 | 54.3 | 9 | 10 | 47.4 | 10.14 | 8.39 | 54.7 | 2 | 5 | 28.6 | |
| TOR | P1 | 15 | 22 | 40.5 | 11 | 12 | 47.8 | 8 | 9 | 47.1 | 14 | 16 | 46.7 | 3 | 3 | 50.0 | 2.24 | 2.66 | 45.8 | 0 | 0 | — |
| P2 | 20 | 29 | 40.8 | 17 | 24 | 41.5 | 12 | 17 | 41.4 | 16 | 17 | 48.5 | 3 | 4 | 42.9 | 4.09 | 5.34 | 43.4 | 2 | 1 | 66.7 | |
| P3 | 12 | 17 | 41.4 | 10 | 11 | 47.6 | 7 | 10 | 41.2 | 7 | 11 | 38.9 | 4 | 2 | 66.7 | 2.05 | 2.14 | 48.9 | 3 | 1 | 75.0 | |
| Total | 47 | 68 | 40.9 | 38 | 47 | 44.7 | 27 | 36 | 42.9 | 37 | 44 | 45.7 | 10 | 9 | 52.6 | 8.39 | 10.14 | 45.3 | 5 | 2 | 71.4 | |
Win Probability
EDM Favored
TOR Favored
Goal
Power Play
Gameflow — Cumulative xG
EDM
TOR
Goal
Shot Density Heatmap
TOR Attempts
EDM Attempts
Individual Event Map
TOR ShootEDM Shoot
Shot on Net
Hit
Player Matchup Grid
This grid shows how every skater on the home team (EDM) performed against every skater on the away team (TOR) when they were on the ice at the same time.
- Rows = EDM players, Columns = TOR players. Forwards are listed first, then defensemen.
- Green = the EDM player had a favorable matchup (above 50%). Red = unfavorable (below 50%).
- Values shown from the home team's perspective. Toggle between CF% (shot attempt share) and xGF% (expected goal share).
- Cells with fewer than 3 shared events are grayed out (insufficient sample). Hover over any cell for full details.
| EDM ↓ / TOR → | Matthews | McMann | Domi | Tavares | Laughton | Roy | Lorentz | Jarnkrok | Knies | Maccelli | Robertson | Nylander | Ekman-Larsson | Stecher | McCabe | Carlo | Benoit | Myers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Draisaitl | 57 | 63 | 63 | 67 | 69 | 88 | 75 | 67 | 71 | 58 | 50 | 59 | 68 | 65 | 53 | 56 | 80 | — |
| McDavid | 45 | 48 | 38 | 55 | 60 | 50 | 60 | 33 | 33 | 54 | 33 | 58 | 50 | 20 | 50 | 57 | 75 | — |
| Nugent-Hopkins | 43 | 58 | 45 | 46 | 67 | 100 | 67 | 50 | 0 | 50 | 0 | 56 | 44 | 40 | 56 | 68 | 50 | — |
| Roslovic | 60 | 63 | 80 | 100 | 58 | 64 | 73 | 75 | 56 | 100 | 57 | 50 | 55 | 54 | 60 | 80 | 77 | 67 |
| Frederic | 56 | 44 | 57 | 17 | 50 | 64 | 75 | 100 | 60 | 0 | 67 | 14 | 50 | 35 | 29 | 50 | 75 | 100 |
| Savoie | 0 | 0 | 0 | 67 | 63 | 67 | 88 | 83 | 60 | 33 | 50 | 67 | 67 | 67 | 33 | 50 | 73 | 67 |
| Janmark | 56 | 50 | 57 | 25 | 56 | 64 | 67 | 67 | 60 | 0 | 63 | 22 | 47 | 33 | 45 | 67 | 71 | 100 |
| Samanski | — | — | — | 75 | 80 | 63 | 100 | 100 | 63 | 100 | 57 | 75 | 100 | 100 | 50 | 50 | 70 | 67 |
| Hyman | 48 | 50 | 40 | 64 | 60 | 50 | 60 | 33 | 50 | 58 | 0 | 78 | 56 | 22 | 52 | 60 | 75 | — |
| Mangiapane | 25 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 43 | 43 | 60 | 60 | 43 | 0 | 50 | 13 | 31 | 27 | 33 | 50 | 0 | 100 |
| Podkolzin | 86 | 88 | 100 | 67 | 80 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 75 | 70 | 0 | 69 | 69 | 78 | 100 | 80 | 100 | 100 |
| Kapanen | 83 | 83 | 100 | 67 | 75 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 83 | 67 | 80 | 67 | 67 | 71 | 100 | 75 | 100 | 100 |
| Bouchard | 38 | 50 | 40 | 44 | 69 | 82 | 71 | 67 | 50 | 50 | 50 | 50 | 61 | 58 | 43 | 52 | 75 | 100 |
| Ekholm | 37 | 50 | 42 | 46 | 64 | 75 | 75 | 67 | 40 | 45 | 33 | 50 | 62 | 64 | 29 | 40 | 88 | 100 |
| Nurse | 57 | 46 | 50 | 63 | 44 | 75 | 63 | 57 | 67 | 54 | 60 | 59 | 41 | 39 | 79 | 80 | 89 | 83 |
| Walman | 57 | 53 | 58 | 46 | 50 | 60 | 57 | 57 | 50 | 30 | 40 | 38 | 38 | 37 | 69 | 79 | 63 | 57 |
| Emberson | 67 | 67 | 63 | 50 | 60 | 56 | 100 | 100 | 56 | 50 | 57 | 50 | 69 | 44 | 43 | 67 | 71 | 67 |
| Stastney | 63 | 63 | 63 | 50 | 60 | 71 | 100 | 100 | 71 | 50 | 75 | 50 | 67 | 40 | 38 | 75 | 82 | 100 |
