Game Recap
The Tampa Bay Lightning defeated the Winnipeg Jets 4-1 on January 29, 2026. Expected goals were closely matched at 5-on-5 (TBL 6.16, WPG 6.14), making this a tightly contested game on both sides of the puck. The Winnipeg Jets created 8 high-danger scoring chances compared to 7 from the Tampa Bay Lightning at 5-on-5. Cole Koepke was the most dangerous skater with 1.21 individual expected goals on 0 shots at 5-on-5. The Tampa Bay Lightning outshot the Winnipeg Jets 37-24 in total shots on goal.
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- xG Gameflow — cumulative expected goals chart tracking each team's xG as Winnipeg Jets vs Tampa Bay Lightning progressed on Jan 29, 2026
- Shot heatmap — where shots were taken on the ice, color-coded by scoring probability
- Event timeline — every goal, penalty, and key play mapped chronologically
- Player matchup grid — head-to-head on-ice performance in Corsi and expected goals
- Strength filter — 5v5 by default, with options for power play, penalty kill, and all situations
WPG1 - 4TBL
Jan 29, 2026 · Regular Season
Overview
| Period | Corsi | Fenwick | Shots | SC | HDSC | xG | Goals | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| F | A | % | F | A | % | F | A | % | F | A | % | F | A | % | F | A | % | F | A | % | ||
| TBL | P1 | 17 | 16 | 51.5 | 14 | 16 | 46.7 | 10 | 12 | 45.5 | 13 | 7 | 65.0 | 3 | 2 | 60.0 | 3.15 | 2.70 | 53.9 | 1 | 0 | 100.0 |
| P2 | 19 | 15 | 55.9 | 15 | 10 | 60.0 | 11 | 8 | 57.9 | 10 | 9 | 52.6 | 4 | 1 | 80.0 | 2.11 | 1.33 | 61.3 | 2 | 1 | 66.7 | |
| P3 | 25 | 15 | 62.5 | 19 | 11 | 63.3 | 16 | 4 | 80.0 | 18 | 9 | 66.7 | 2 | 5 | 28.6 | 3.05 | 2.54 | 54.6 | 1 | 0 | 100.0 | |
| Total | 61 | 46 | 57.0 | 48 | 37 | 56.5 | 37 | 24 | 60.7 | 41 | 25 | 62.1 | 9 | 8 | 52.9 | 8.31 | 6.56 | 55.9 | 4 | 1 | 80.0 | |
| WPG | P1 | 16 | 17 | 48.5 | 16 | 14 | 53.3 | 12 | 10 | 54.5 | 7 | 13 | 35.0 | 2 | 3 | 40.0 | 2.70 | 3.15 | 46.1 | 0 | 1 | 0.0 |
| P2 | 15 | 19 | 44.1 | 10 | 15 | 40.0 | 8 | 11 | 42.1 | 9 | 10 | 47.4 | 1 | 4 | 20.0 | 1.33 | 2.11 | 38.7 | 1 | 2 | 33.3 | |
| P3 | 15 | 25 | 37.5 | 11 | 19 | 36.7 | 4 | 16 | 20.0 | 9 | 18 | 33.3 | 5 | 2 | 71.4 | 2.54 | 3.05 | 45.4 | 0 | 1 | 0.0 | |
| Total | 46 | 61 | 43.0 | 37 | 48 | 43.5 | 24 | 37 | 39.3 | 25 | 41 | 37.9 | 8 | 9 | 47.1 | 6.56 | 8.31 | 44.1 | 1 | 4 | 20.0 | |
Win Probability
TBL Favored
WPG Favored
Goal
Power Play
Gameflow — Cumulative xG
TBL
WPG
Goal
Shot Density Heatmap
WPG Attempts
TBL Attempts
Individual Event Map
WPG ShootTBL Shoot
Shot on Net
Hit
Shot Blocked
Player Matchup Grid
This grid shows how every skater on the home team (TBL) performed against every skater on the away team (WPG) when they were on the ice at the same time.
- Rows = TBL players, Columns = WPG players. Forwards are listed first, then defensemen.
- Green = the TBL player had a favorable matchup (above 50%). Red = unfavorable (below 50%).
- Values shown from the home team's perspective. Toggle between CF% (shot attempt share) and xGF% (expected goal share).
- Cells with fewer than 3 shared events are grayed out (insufficient sample). Hover over any cell for full details.
| TBL ↓ / WPG → | Scheifele | Vilardi | Barron | Toews | Perfetti | Lowry | Namestnikov | Connor | Iafallo | Koepke | Pearson | Niederreiter | Morrissey | Samberg | Salomonsson | DeMelo | Stanley | Schenn |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gourde | 50 | 48 | 20 | 80 | 80 | 0 | 100 | 48 | 67 | 20 | 20 | — | 56 | 27 | 23 | 75 | 58 | 60 |
| Guentzel | 33 | 50 | 43 | 100 | 90 | 71 | 69 | 60 | 91 | 43 | 25 | 69 | 78 | 57 | 55 | 78 | 67 | 77 |
| Cirelli | 67 | 40 | 18 | 83 | 58 | 50 | 40 | 67 | 89 | 38 | 38 | 38 | 45 | 50 | 50 | 44 | 67 | 100 |
| Girgensons | 44 | 41 | 50 | 80 | 75 | 0 | 100 | 44 | 67 | 50 | 50 | — | 53 | 27 | 23 | 70 | 71 | 83 |
| James | 33 | 50 | 50 | 86 | 75 | 75 | 73 | 67 | 86 | 50 | 50 | 73 | 86 | 56 | 43 | 86 | 71 | 78 |
| Goncalves | 0 | 50 | 100 | 83 | 83 | 75 | 73 | 50 | 83 | 100 | 100 | 73 | 100 | 56 | 43 | 100 | 80 | 86 |
| Finley | 75 | 50 | 70 | 67 | 0 | 0 | 33 | 67 | 100 | 77 | 75 | 0 | 60 | 67 | 63 | 60 | 60 | 100 |
| Hagel | 71 | 50 | 33 | 77 | 50 | 50 | 40 | 75 | 75 | 50 | 44 | 38 | 50 | 55 | 56 | 50 | 60 | 80 |
| Paul | 86 | 60 | 55 | 100 | 50 | 60 | 67 | 80 | 100 | 69 | 67 | 0 | 78 | 67 | 75 | 57 | 67 | 80 |
| Holmberg | 48 | 45 | 0 | 100 | 75 | 75 | 100 | 48 | 63 | 0 | 0 | — | 67 | 20 | 38 | 73 | 50 | 56 |
| Kucherov | 100 | 60 | 40 | 100 | 55 | 50 | 50 | 83 | 80 | 64 | 63 | 33 | 59 | 55 | 56 | 56 | 75 | 100 |
| Bjorkstrand | 83 | 67 | 62 | 100 | 50 | 0 | 33 | 67 | 67 | 73 | 73 | 0 | 67 | 62 | 64 | 60 | 67 | 86 |
| Raddysh | 58 | 43 | 38 | 100 | 75 | 67 | 80 | 58 | 87 | 40 | 29 | 75 | 63 | 50 | 46 | 63 | 58 | 73 |
| Moser | 56 | 41 | 43 | 88 | 75 | 67 | 80 | 56 | 92 | 50 | 50 | 75 | 58 | 54 | 45 | 61 | 71 | 91 |
| McDonagh | 45 | 50 | 23 | 75 | 54 | 63 | 57 | 50 | 67 | 22 | 22 | 50 | 59 | 13 | 10 | 69 | 40 | 44 |
| Crozier | 50 | 50 | 67 | 86 | 50 | 64 | 64 | 50 | 100 | 80 | 79 | 50 | 67 | 65 | 68 | 57 | 100 | 100 |
| Carlile | 67 | 60 | 67 | 100 | 100 | 60 | 64 | 60 | 100 | 80 | 79 | 43 | 67 | 71 | 72 | 40 | 100 | 100 |
| Cernak | 50 | 56 | 30 | 75 | 58 | 57 | 57 | 50 | 64 | 33 | 33 | 44 | 55 | 25 | 20 | 64 | 57 | 67 |
