Buffalo Sabres vs Toronto Maple Leafs — January 27, 2026 Game Stats

Game Recap

The Buffalo Sabres defeated the Toronto Maple Leafs 7-4 on January 27, 2026. Despite the result, the Toronto Maple Leafs held the edge in expected goals (8.22 to 7.40) at 5-on-5, indicating the Buffalo Sabres received favorable bounces or strong goaltending. The Toronto Maple Leafs created 10 high-danger scoring chances compared to 5 from the Buffalo Sabres at 5-on-5. Rasmus Dahlin recorded a hat trick with 3 goals. Auston Matthews was the most dangerous skater with 1.40 individual expected goals on 3 shots at 5-on-5. The Buffalo Sabres outshot the Toronto Maple Leafs 31-23 in total shots on goal.

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xG Gameflow — cumulative expected goals chart tracking each team's xG as Buffalo Sabres vs Toronto Maple Leafs progressed on Jan 27, 2026
Shot heatmap — where shots were taken on the ice, color-coded by scoring probability
Event timeline — every goal, penalty, and key play mapped chronologically
Player matchup grid — head-to-head on-ice performance in Corsi and expected goals
Strength filter — 5v5 by default, with options for power play, penalty kill, and all situations

BUF7 - 4TOR

Jan 27, 2026 · Regular Season

Strength:

Overview

	Period	Corsi			Fenwick			Shots			SC			HDSC			xG			Goals
		F	A	%	F	A	%	F	A	%	F	A	%	F	A	%	F	A	%	F	A	%
TOR	P1	14	18	43.8	7	14	33.3	6	10	37.5	12	14	46.2	2	1	66.7	1.90	2.58	42.4	2	3	40.0
	P2	16	26	38.1	10	19	34.5	7	16	30.4	12	18	40.0	2	4	33.3	2.12	3.97	34.7	1	1	50.0
	P3	23	15	60.5	16	13	55.2	10	5	66.7	18	6	75.0	7	1	87.5	5.15	1.80	74.1	1	3	25.0
	Total	53	59	47.3	33	46	41.8	23	31	42.6	42	38	52.5	11	6	64.7	9.16	8.36	52.3	4	7	36.4
BUF	P1	18	14	56.3	14	7	66.7	10	6	62.5	14	12	53.8	1	2	33.3	2.58	1.90	57.6	3	2	60.0
	P2	26	16	61.9	19	10	65.5	16	7	69.6	18	12	60.0	4	2	66.7	3.97	2.12	65.3	1	1	50.0
	P3	15	23	39.5	13	16	44.8	5	10	33.3	6	18	25.0	1	7	12.5	1.80	5.15	25.9	3	1	75.0
	Total	59	53	52.7	46	33	58.2	31	23	57.4	38	42	47.5	6	11	35.3	8.36	9.16	47.7	7	4	63.6

Win Probability

TOR Favored

BUF Favored

Goal

Power Play

Gameflow — Cumulative xG

TOR

BUF

Goal

Shot Density Heatmap

BUF Attempts

TOR Attempts

Individual Event Map

Player:

BUF ShootTOR Shoot

Goal

Shot on Net

Missed Shot

Attempt Blocked

Hit

Hit Taken

Shot Blocked

Giveaway

Player Matchup Grid

This grid shows how every skater on the home team (TOR) performed against every skater on the away team (BUF) when they were on the ice at the same time.

Rows = TOR players, Columns = BUF players. Forwards are listed first, then defensemen.
Green = the TOR player had a favorable matchup (above 50%). Red = unfavorable (below 50%).
Values shown from the home team's perspective. Toggle between CF% (shot attempt share) and xGF% (expected goal share).
Cells with fewer than 3 shared events are grayed out (insufficient sample). Hover over any cell for full details.

Stat:

TOR ↓ / BUF →	Ostlund	Thompson	Helenius	McLeod	Kozak	Krebs	Benson	Zucker	Malenstyn	Tuch	Doan	Quinn	Dahlin	Samuelsson	Power	Byram	Kesselring	Metsa
Matthews	63	48	71	54	67	67	50	46	67	50	67	57	50	69	50	62	56	63
McMann	71	53	67	46	73	75	53	45	75	53	67	50	55	63	59	67	45	71
Tavares	32	0	33	54	29	40	0	58	50	0	35	54	29	53	46	63	7	0
Domi	63	44	63	46	56	75	44	56	75	44	57	50	47	77	47	65	18	40
Laughton	15	36	30	50	38	38	50	30	43	50	18	50	28	43	55	63	36	0
Lorentz	22	40	50	60	50	50	55	33	50	55	22	60	38	67	50	56	71	0
Jarnkrok	33	55	43	60	50	50	55	60	50	55	33	60	50	55	55	63	56	0
Roy	27	60	27	33	20	20	67	25	50	57	27	33	20	60	29	50	45	20
Knies	47	0	50	58	60	40	0	54	50	0	46	58	42	64	55	61	17	0
Maccelli	27	0	30	50	33	40	0	60	50	0	27	50	21	50	60	70	9	0
Robertson	19	67	19	25	40	44	73	20	67	67	23	25	8	38	56	64	41	50
Cowan	19	60	24	33	17	20	67	25	60	57	23	33	17	40	43	55	29	20
Stecher	19	36	21	53	67	67	50	39	67	45	20	56	29	47	39	57	38	33
McCabe	31	44	44	63	44	44	55	42	57	55	33	67	25	64	63	65	50	45
Ekman-Larsson	10	53	17	57	50	50	56	50	64	56	13	57	33	50	69	64	20	57
Rielly	50	55	57	46	45	43	60	42	56	50	50	46	50	62	40	59	50	33
Carlo	38	40	44	57	33	33	40	57	33	40	38	57	33	56	62	47	40	0
Benoit	13	63	13	38	42	57	56	42	75	38	14	38	28	50	38	54	30	0