Game Recap
Brock Nelson poured in 3 goals to lead the Colorado Avalanche past the Toronto Maple Leafs 4-1 on January 25, 2026. COL got the two points, but TOR held a 9.33-7.64 expected goals edge at even strength. COL outshot TOR 37-33.
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- xG Gameflow — cumulative expected goals chart tracking each team's xG as Colorado Avalanche vs Toronto Maple Leafs progressed on Jan 25, 2026
- Shot heatmap — where shots were taken on the ice, color-coded by scoring probability
- Event timeline — every goal, penalty, and key play mapped chronologically
- Player matchup grid — head-to-head on-ice performance in Corsi and expected goals
- Strength filter — 5v5 by default, with options for power play, penalty kill, and all situations
COL4 - 1TOR
Jan 25, 2026 · Regular Season
Overview
| Period | Corsi | Fenwick | Shots | SC | HDSC | xG | Goals | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| F | A | % | F | A | % | F | A | % | F | A | % | F | A | % | F | A | % | F | A | % | ||
| TOR | P1 | 19 | 29 | 39.6 | 18 | 21 | 46.2 | 6 | 17 | 26.1 | 8 | 21 | 27.6 | 3 | 7 | 30.0 | 3.75 | 4.98 | 43.0 | 0 | 2 | 0.0 |
| P2 | 19 | 20 | 48.7 | 15 | 18 | 45.5 | 13 | 14 | 48.1 | 13 | 15 | 46.4 | 4 | 4 | 50.0 | 3.10 | 3.54 | 46.7 | 0 | 1 | 0.0 | |
| P3 | 23 | 21 | 52.3 | 18 | 12 | 60.0 | 14 | 6 | 70.0 | 19 | 12 | 61.3 | 5 | 1 | 83.3 | 5.83 | 1.27 | 82.1 | 1 | 1 | 50.0 | |
| Total | 61 | 70 | 46.6 | 51 | 51 | 50.0 | 33 | 37 | 47.1 | 40 | 48 | 45.5 | 12 | 12 | 50.0 | 12.68 | 9.78 | 56.5 | 1 | 4 | 20.0 | |
| COL | P1 | 29 | 19 | 60.4 | 21 | 18 | 53.8 | 17 | 6 | 73.9 | 21 | 8 | 72.4 | 7 | 3 | 70.0 | 4.98 | 3.75 | 57.0 | 2 | 0 | 100.0 |
| P2 | 20 | 19 | 51.3 | 18 | 15 | 54.5 | 14 | 13 | 51.9 | 15 | 13 | 53.6 | 4 | 4 | 50.0 | 3.54 | 3.10 | 53.3 | 1 | 0 | 100.0 | |
| P3 | 21 | 23 | 47.7 | 12 | 18 | 40.0 | 6 | 14 | 30.0 | 12 | 19 | 38.7 | 1 | 5 | 16.7 | 1.27 | 5.83 | 17.9 | 1 | 1 | 50.0 | |
| Total | 70 | 61 | 53.4 | 51 | 51 | 50.0 | 37 | 33 | 52.9 | 48 | 40 | 54.5 | 12 | 12 | 50.0 | 9.78 | 12.68 | 43.5 | 4 | 1 | 80.0 | |
Win Probability
TOR Favored
COL Favored
Goal
Power Play
Gameflow — Cumulative xG
TOR
COL
Goal
Shot Density Heatmap
COL Attempts
TOR Attempts
Individual Event Map
COL ShootTOR Shoot
Shot on Net
Missed Shot
Hit Taken
Shot Blocked
Giveaway
Player Matchup Grid
This grid shows how every skater on the home team (TOR) performed against every skater on the away team (COL) when they were on the ice at the same time.
- Rows = TOR players, Columns = COL players. Forwards are listed first, then defensemen.
- Green = the TOR player had a favorable matchup (above 50%). Red = unfavorable (below 50%).
- Values shown from the home team's perspective. Toggle between CF% (shot attempt share) and xGF% (expected goal share).
- Cells with fewer than 3 shared events are grayed out (insufficient sample). Hover over any cell for full details.
| TOR ↓ / COL → | MacKinnon | Nelson | Necas | Drury | Kelly | Brindley | Bardakov | Olofsson | Lehkonen | Kiviranta | Makar | Nichushkin | Makar | Burns | Manson | Malinski | Girard | Ahcan |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthews | 32 | 39 | 43 | 60 | 43 | 50 | 100 | 48 | 20 | 40 | 100 | 47 | 36 | 58 | 59 | 40 | 55 | — |
| McMann | 23 | 52 | 29 | 40 | 43 | 67 | 50 | 22 | 50 | 33 | 50 | 52 | 40 | 50 | 45 | 60 | 45 | 17 |
| Laughton | 30 | 41 | 21 | 50 | 33 | 57 | 0 | 25 | 60 | 0 | 50 | 63 | 33 | 41 | 50 | 60 | 43 | 50 |
| Tavares | 43 | 60 | 45 | 71 | 60 | 86 | 50 | 33 | 56 | 40 | 75 | 60 | 62 | 73 | 58 | 70 | 57 | 17 |
| Domi | 32 | 42 | 41 | 50 | 60 | 67 | 100 | 38 | 40 | 33 | 100 | 63 | 32 | 46 | 59 | 41 | 67 | 100 |
| Roy | 25 | 33 | 40 | 57 | 71 | 40 | 100 | 29 | 13 | 100 | 60 | 36 | 7 | 50 | 56 | 33 | 71 | 86 |
| Lorentz | 25 | 14 | 23 | 30 | 10 | 67 | 0 | 36 | 20 | 0 | 60 | 50 | 14 | 29 | 22 | 38 | 40 | 67 |
| Quillan | 17 | 0 | 17 | 14 | 10 | 50 | 0 | 33 | 0 | 0 | 50 | — | 10 | 0 | 17 | 22 | 25 | 50 |
| Knies | 36 | 35 | 38 | 75 | 43 | 80 | 100 | 50 | 29 | 40 | 100 | 50 | 41 | 47 | 58 | 38 | 64 | — |
| Maccelli | 0 | 63 | 20 | 65 | 78 | 67 | 100 | 0 | 50 | 75 | 62 | 57 | 30 | 82 | 63 | 14 | 77 | 67 |
| Robertson | 33 | 50 | 50 | 71 | 70 | 63 | 25 | 0 | 0 | 63 | 77 | 43 | 14 | 50 | 60 | 43 | 60 | 80 |
| Cowan | 22 | 20 | 29 | 35 | 33 | 46 | 100 | 0 | 17 | 17 | 53 | 33 | 8 | 29 | 43 | 36 | 50 | 71 |
| Rielly | 43 | 52 | 59 | 56 | 53 | 75 | 60 | 67 | 48 | 50 | 71 | 54 | 43 | 61 | 54 | 64 | 83 | 83 |
| Ekman-Larsson | 7 | 24 | 21 | 44 | 25 | 50 | 0 | 14 | 13 | 0 | 50 | 23 | 0 | 45 | 50 | 16 | 40 | 33 |
| McCabe | 37 | 10 | 36 | 25 | 0 | 43 | 0 | 43 | 40 | 0 | 33 | 50 | 21 | 27 | 42 | 36 | 67 | 100 |
| Stecher | 27 | 50 | 44 | 64 | 73 | 62 | 60 | 25 | 44 | 70 | 71 | 44 | 37 | 74 | 60 | 75 | 65 | 75 |
| Carlo | 36 | 40 | 32 | 25 | 0 | 100 | — | 33 | 83 | 0 | 100 | 83 | 29 | 25 | 44 | 43 | 75 | 100 |
| Benoit | 11 | 42 | 0 | 67 | 50 | 67 | 0 | 20 | 25 | 0 | 75 | 44 | 40 | 0 | 40 | 56 | 47 | 50 |
