Buffalo Sabres vs Nashville Predators — January 20, 2026 Game Stats

Game Recap

The Buffalo Sabres defeated the Nashville Predators 5-3 on January 20, 2026. Despite the result, the Nashville Predators held the edge in expected goals (7.65 to 5.66) at 5-on-5, indicating the Buffalo Sabres received favorable bounces or strong goaltending. The Nashville Predators created 11 high-danger scoring chances compared to 3 from the Buffalo Sabres at 5-on-5. Ryan O'Reilly scored 2 goals. Noah Ostlund scored 2 goals. Cole Smith was the most dangerous skater with 1.88 individual expected goals on 2 shots at 5-on-5. The Nashville Predators outshot the Buffalo Sabres 34-33 in total shots on goal.

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xG Gameflow — cumulative expected goals chart tracking each team's xG as Buffalo Sabres vs Nashville Predators progressed on Jan 20, 2026
Shot heatmap — where shots were taken on the ice, color-coded by scoring probability
Event timeline — every goal, penalty, and key play mapped chronologically
Player matchup grid — head-to-head on-ice performance in Corsi and expected goals
Strength filter — 5v5 by default, with options for power play, penalty kill, and all situations

BUF5 - 3NSH

Jan 20, 2026 · Regular Season

Strength:

Overview

	Period	Corsi			Fenwick			Shots			SC			HDSC			xG			Goals
		F	A	%	F	A	%	F	A	%	F	A	%	F	A	%	F	A	%	F	A	%
NSH	P1	17	16	51.5	12	15	44.4	8	14	36.4	9	10	47.4	4	2	66.7	1.63	3.13	34.2	0	3	0.0
	P2	32	16	66.7	24	12	66.7	12	11	52.2	24	12	66.7	9	2	81.8	5.83	2.15	73.0	2	1	66.7
	P3	34	15	69.4	27	12	69.2	14	8	63.6	22	12	64.7	4	0	100.0	5.12	1.20	81.0	1	1	50.0
	Total	83	47	63.8	63	39	61.8	34	33	50.7	55	34	61.8	17	4	81.0	12.58	6.49	66.0	3	5	37.5
BUF	P1	16	17	48.5	15	12	55.6	14	8	63.6	10	9	52.6	2	4	33.3	3.13	1.63	65.8	3	0	100.0
	P2	16	32	33.3	12	24	33.3	11	12	47.8	12	24	33.3	2	9	18.2	2.15	5.83	27.0	1	2	33.3
	P3	15	34	30.6	12	27	30.8	8	14	36.4	12	22	35.3	0	4	0.0	1.20	5.12	19.0	1	1	50.0
	Total	47	83	36.2	39	63	38.2	33	34	49.3	34	55	38.2	4	17	19.0	6.49	12.58	34.0	5	3	62.5

Win Probability

NSH Favored

BUF Favored

Goal

Power Play

Gameflow — Cumulative xG

NSH

BUF

Goal

Shot Density Heatmap

BUF Attempts

NSH Attempts

Individual Event Map

Player:

BUF ShootNSH Shoot

Save

Goal Against

Missed Shot Against

Player Matchup Grid

This grid shows how every skater on the home team (NSH) performed against every skater on the away team (BUF) when they were on the ice at the same time.

Rows = NSH players, Columns = BUF players. Forwards are listed first, then defensemen.
Green = the NSH player had a favorable matchup (above 50%). Red = unfavorable (below 50%).
Values shown from the home team's perspective. Toggle between CF% (shot attempt share) and xGF% (expected goal share).
Cells with fewer than 3 shared events are grayed out (insufficient sample). Hover over any cell for full details.

Stat:

NSH ↓ / BUF →	McLeod	Krebs	Thompson	Ostlund	Helenius	Zucker	Malenstyn	Greenway	Benson	Tuch	Quinn	Doan	Dahlin	Samuelsson	Byram	Power	Bryson	Metsa
O'Reilly	70	83	86	71	50	62	86	86	60	84	63	89	76	71	74	84	100	100
Stamkos	74	75	73	22	36	62	67	50	54	75	67	50	65	70	76	48	75	50
Svechkov	100	50	—	50	36	—	67	50	45	—	67	100	67	44	63	14	67	67
McCarron	60	33	25	33	50	50	50	50	50	20	63	22	50	38	18	50	75	75
Wiesblatt	67	33	29	40	50	67	100	100	50	20	75	25	57	33	13	50	75	75
Forsberg	59	76	84	67	40	53	86	71	55	86	47	88	71	63	75	64	100	100
Haula	62	57	29	13	13	56	67	63	18	40	43	33	38	56	40	45	75	50
Bunting	70	40	29	22	22	60	63	50	20	44	50	33	35	50	30	40	80	75
Evangelista	67	79	86	63	17	62	85	85	40	84	63	89	69	68	72	81	100	100
Marchessault	70	73	50	0	0	56	86	82	0	67	33	67	65	77	57	53	50	33
Smith	80	50	25	43	50	67	67	67	50	20	86	30	57	50	22	63	80	80
Wood	100	56	100	57	63	—	64	64	63	100	100	100	75	75	67	50	67	67
Josi	71	76	69	50	53	62	86	77	65	75	64	65	77	70	71	55	83	83
Skjei	58	50	57	43	50	50	75	100	50	67	59	62	64	55	52	41	83	83
Hague	67	71	44	54	38	61	87	86	30	53	58	67	54	64	44	69	89	80
Blankenburg	55	67	78	67	33	55	65	65	14	75	45	71	53	67	54	54	88	75
Perbix	57	50	33	17	20	46	50	75	20	0	60	33	44	27	38	75	100	100
Barron	100	50	50	13	10	100	69	50	0	50	67	50	50	54	50	50	33	0