Game Recap
The Carolina Hurricanes defeated the Buffalo Sabres 2-1 on January 19, 2026. Expected goals were closely matched at 5-on-5 (CAR 6.88, BUF 6.82), making this a tightly contested game on both sides of the puck. The Buffalo Sabres created 8 high-danger scoring chances compared to 5 from the Carolina Hurricanes at 5-on-5. Zach Benson was the most dangerous skater with 1.72 individual expected goals on 1 shots at 5-on-5. The Carolina Hurricanes outshot the Buffalo Sabres 29-18 in total shots on goal.
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- xG Gameflow — cumulative expected goals chart tracking each team's xG as Buffalo Sabres vs Carolina Hurricanes progressed on Jan 19, 2026
- Shot heatmap — where shots were taken on the ice, color-coded by scoring probability
- Event timeline — every goal, penalty, and key play mapped chronologically
- Player matchup grid — head-to-head on-ice performance in Corsi and expected goals
- Strength filter — 5v5 by default, with options for power play, penalty kill, and all situations
BUF1 - 2CAR
Jan 19, 2026 · Regular Season
Overview
| Period | Corsi | Fenwick | Shots | SC | HDSC | xG | Goals | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| F | A | % | F | A | % | F | A | % | F | A | % | F | A | % | F | A | % | F | A | % | ||
| CAR | P1 | 22 | 9 | 71.0 | 17 | 8 | 68.0 | 12 | 3 | 80.0 | 16 | 8 | 66.7 | 5 | 4 | 55.6 | 4.71 | 3.10 | 60.3 | 1 | 1 | 50.0 |
| P2 | 13 | 13 | 50.0 | 11 | 11 | 50.0 | 8 | 8 | 50.0 | 10 | 8 | 55.6 | 1 | 3 | 25.0 | 2.09 | 2.80 | 42.7 | 0 | 0 | — | |
| P3 | 17 | 14 | 54.8 | 12 | 11 | 52.2 | 9 | 7 | 56.3 | 10 | 11 | 47.6 | 0 | 2 | 0.0 | 1.50 | 2.60 | 36.6 | 1 | 0 | 100.0 | |
| Total | 52 | 36 | 59.1 | 40 | 30 | 57.1 | 29 | 18 | 61.7 | 36 | 27 | 57.1 | 6 | 9 | 40.0 | 8.29 | 8.51 | 49.4 | 2 | 1 | 66.7 | |
| BUF | P1 | 9 | 22 | 29.0 | 8 | 17 | 32.0 | 3 | 12 | 20.0 | 8 | 16 | 33.3 | 4 | 5 | 44.4 | 3.10 | 4.71 | 39.7 | 1 | 1 | 50.0 |
| P2 | 13 | 13 | 50.0 | 11 | 11 | 50.0 | 8 | 8 | 50.0 | 8 | 10 | 44.4 | 3 | 1 | 75.0 | 2.80 | 2.09 | 57.3 | 0 | 0 | — | |
| P3 | 14 | 17 | 45.2 | 11 | 12 | 47.8 | 7 | 9 | 43.8 | 11 | 10 | 52.4 | 2 | 0 | 100.0 | 2.60 | 1.50 | 63.4 | 0 | 1 | 0.0 | |
| Total | 36 | 52 | 40.9 | 30 | 40 | 42.9 | 18 | 29 | 38.3 | 27 | 36 | 42.9 | 9 | 6 | 60.0 | 8.51 | 8.29 | 50.6 | 1 | 2 | 33.3 | |
Win Probability
CAR Favored
BUF Favored
Goal
Power Play
Gameflow — Cumulative xG
CAR
BUF
Goal
Shot Density Heatmap
BUF Attempts
CAR Attempts
Individual Event Map
BUF ShootCAR Shoot
Hit
Shot Blocked
Takeaway
Giveaway
Player Matchup Grid
This grid shows how every skater on the home team (CAR) performed against every skater on the away team (BUF) when they were on the ice at the same time.
- Rows = CAR players, Columns = BUF players. Forwards are listed first, then defensemen.
- Green = the CAR player had a favorable matchup (above 50%). Red = unfavorable (below 50%).
- Values shown from the home team's perspective. Toggle between CF% (shot attempt share) and xGF% (expected goal share).
- Cells with fewer than 3 shared events are grayed out (insufficient sample). Hover over any cell for full details.
| CAR ↓ / BUF → | Thompson | McLeod | Ostlund | Krebs | Kozak | Helenius | Zucker | Benson | Malenstyn | Tuch | Doan | Quinn | Dahlin | Samuelsson | Byram | Power | Bryson | Metsa |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jarvis | 60 | 68 | 50 | 50 | 67 | 0 | 67 | 67 | 100 | 57 | 50 | 72 | 67 | 74 | 56 | 67 | 100 | 100 |
| Aho | 67 | 68 | 50 | 50 | 67 | 0 | 69 | 71 | 100 | 63 | 50 | 76 | 75 | 78 | 59 | 67 | — | 100 |
| Staal | 57 | 60 | 33 | 100 | — | — | 25 | 54 | 100 | 63 | 57 | 0 | 56 | 46 | 62 | 55 | 86 | 100 |
| Stankoven | 50 | 0 | 50 | 75 | 75 | 50 | 0 | 0 | 75 | 0 | 73 | 0 | 25 | 40 | 67 | 13 | 80 | 89 |
| Martinook | 59 | 33 | 33 | 100 | — | — | 33 | 54 | 100 | 61 | 58 | — | 63 | 44 | 61 | 50 | 100 | 100 |
| Ehlers | 58 | 67 | — | 100 | — | — | 0 | 53 | 100 | 57 | 64 | 33 | 71 | 43 | 61 | 50 | 71 | 50 |
| Carrier | 50 | 67 | 33 | 83 | 100 | 33 | 67 | 33 | 83 | 100 | 100 | 67 | 83 | 60 | 50 | 60 | 75 | 75 |
| Jankowski | 0 | 67 | 0 | 83 | 100 | 0 | 67 | 0 | 83 | — | — | 67 | 80 | 50 | 50 | 60 | 67 | 67 |
| Hall | 50 | 0 | 42 | 75 | 75 | 42 | 0 | 0 | 75 | 0 | 67 | 0 | 14 | 25 | 50 | 0 | 80 | 89 |
| Robinson | — | 100 | — | 100 | 100 | — | 100 | — | 100 | — | — | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | — | — |
| Svechnikov | 63 | 65 | 40 | 67 | 75 | 33 | 63 | 71 | 100 | 71 | 50 | 76 | 69 | 88 | 65 | 75 | 100 | 100 |
| Blake | 0 | 33 | 44 | 71 | 83 | 44 | 50 | 0 | 71 | 0 | 70 | 33 | 30 | 17 | 33 | 25 | 82 | 90 |
| Slavin | 63 | 33 | 43 | 50 | 0 | 33 | 40 | 53 | 50 | 63 | 73 | 60 | 62 | 40 | 61 | 38 | 100 | 100 |
| Chatfield | 60 | 33 | 43 | 50 | 0 | 33 | 33 | 56 | 50 | 67 | 64 | 50 | 62 | 36 | 57 | 42 | 78 | 75 |
| Miller | 40 | 64 | 56 | 100 | 100 | 50 | 64 | 20 | 100 | 38 | 58 | 71 | 60 | 60 | 54 | 54 | 83 | 100 |
| Walker | 40 | 58 | 56 | 100 | 100 | 50 | 58 | 20 | 100 | 38 | 58 | 67 | 60 | 57 | 50 | 54 | 80 | 100 |
| Nikishin | 50 | 86 | 33 | 88 | 89 | 33 | 80 | 33 | 90 | 75 | 50 | 75 | 63 | 75 | 60 | 56 | 67 | 75 |
| Nystrom | — | 75 | 33 | 88 | 89 | 33 | 100 | 0 | 89 | 0 | 67 | 100 | 63 | 86 | 75 | 38 | 80 | 83 |
