Game Recap

The Toronto Maple Leafs defeated the Winnipeg Jets 4-3 in overtime on January 17, 2026. Despite the result, the Winnipeg Jets held the edge in expected goals (9.73 to 8.58) at 5-on-5, indicating the Toronto Maple Leafs received favorable bounces or strong goaltending. The Winnipeg Jets created 14 high-danger scoring chances compared to 10 from the Toronto Maple Leafs at 5-on-5. Alex Iafallo was the most dangerous skater with 2.21 individual expected goals on 4 shots at 5-on-5. The Toronto Maple Leafs outshot the Winnipeg Jets 37-30 in total shots on goal.

← Back to Games
Toronto Maple Leafs logo
TOR4 - 3WPG (OT)
Jan 17, 2026 · Regular Season
Winnipeg Jets logo

Overview

PeriodCorsiFenwickShotsSCHDSCxGGoals
FA%FA%FA%FA%FA%FA%FA%
WPGP1191065.516964.010758.812570.650100.03.810.6585.400
P2251759.5191457.671041.2151451.79852.95.815.0553.52166.7
P3222546.8161847.1131743.3181948.66554.54.964.8750.41233.3
OT1712.51516.7030.01614.3020.00.112.015.2010.0
Total675953.2524653.1303744.8464451.1201557.114.6912.5953.93442.9
TORP1101934.591636.071041.251229.4050.00.653.8114.600
P2172540.5141942.410758.8141548.38947.15.055.8146.51233.3
P3252253.2181652.9171356.7191851.45645.54.874.9649.62166.7
OT7187.55183.330100.06185.720100.02.010.1194.810100.0
Total596746.8465246.9373055.2444648.9152042.912.5914.6946.14357.1

Win Probability

0%25%50%75%100%P1P2P3OT0:0010:0020:0030:0040:0050:0060:00Home Win ProbabilityWPGTOR
WPG Favored
TOR Favored
Goal
Power Play

Gameflow — Cumulative xG

0.00.51.01.52.02.53.03.54.04.55.05.56.06.57.07.58.08.59.09.510.010.511.011.512.012.513.013.514.014.515.0P1P2P3OT0:0010:0020:0030:0040:0050:0060:00Cumulative xG
WPG
TOR
Goal

Shot Density Heatmap

TOR Attempts
WPG Attempts

Individual Event Map

HtHMHMMMBBSMHS
TOR ShootWPG Shoot
SShot on Net
MMissed Shot
HHit
HtHit Taken
BShot Blocked

Player Matchup Grid

This grid shows how every skater on the home team (WPG) performed against every skater on the away team (TOR) when they were on the ice at the same time.

  • Rows = WPG players, Columns = TOR players. Forwards are listed first, then defensemen.
  • Green = the WPG player had a favorable matchup (above 50%). Red = unfavorable (below 50%).
  • Values shown from the home team's perspective. Toggle between CF% (shot attempt share) and xGF% (expected goal share).
  • Cells with fewer than 3 shared events are grayed out (insufficient sample). Hover over any cell for full details.
WPG ↓ / TORMatthewsTavaresDomiLaughtonMcMannRoyLorentzJarnkrokKniesMaccelliRobertsonCowanMcCabeEkman-LarssonCarloStecherRiellyMyers
Scheifele5058556756786558897180100795069776333
Vilardi333133624350676330254040502745575075
Toews201733574378625625137563503847643675
Perfetti402740334340334033202540183327333383
Barron3613550674210040174547334854175060
Lowry56915606767100759167757060706369100
Namestnikov67645340466740501001005050577570505350
Connor506255655678635878757510076556977570
Iafallo718682411006736448667751006954507171100
Pearson501467605710055335454456378206075
Koepke01750505417335757175571115067
Niederreiter69100692567672550911005050647063576986
Morrissey185047634362604461705733604775485314
DeMelo22384650444040052505056534750383614
Samberg5042595061755056434357576947506436100
Salomonsson5325635057834450332971506538446242100
Stanley73100701780442533100675056336553176778
Schenn88100867544100675060507164206783