Tampa Bay Lightning vs St. Louis Blues — January 16, 2026 Game Stats

Game Recap

The St. Louis Blues defeated the Tampa Bay Lightning 3-2 in a shootout on January 16, 2026. Despite the result, the Tampa Bay Lightning held the edge in expected goals (7.38 to 4.37) at 5-on-5, indicating the St. Louis Blues received favorable bounces or strong goaltending. The Tampa Bay Lightning created 6 high-danger scoring chances compared to 4 from the St. Louis Blues at 5-on-5. Nick Paul was the most dangerous skater with 1.61 individual expected goals on 1 shots at 5-on-5. The Tampa Bay Lightning outshot the St. Louis Blues 39-23 in total shots on goal.

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xG Gameflow — cumulative expected goals chart tracking each team's xG as Tampa Bay Lightning vs St. Louis Blues progressed on Jan 16, 2026
Shot heatmap — where shots were taken on the ice, color-coded by scoring probability
Event timeline — every goal, penalty, and key play mapped chronologically
Player matchup grid — head-to-head on-ice performance in Corsi and expected goals
Strength filter — 5v5 by default, with options for power play, penalty kill, and all situations

TBL2 - 3STL (SO)

Jan 16, 2026 · Regular Season

Strength:

Overview

	Period	Corsi			Fenwick			Shots			SC			HDSC			xG			Goals
		F	A	%	F	A	%	F	A	%	F	A	%	F	A	%	F	A	%	F	A	%
STL	P1	13	27	32.5	11	21	34.4	7	11	38.9	6	15	28.6	0	5	0.0	1.19	4.28	21.8	2	0	100.0
	P2	7	28	20.0	7	25	21.9	5	15	25.0	6	16	27.3	1	2	33.3	1.42	3.29	30.1	0	2	0.0
	P3	15	17	46.9	10	15	40.0	5	8	38.5	9	12	42.9	3	1	75.0	2.20	2.06	51.7	0	0	—
	OT	7	2	77.8	4	2	66.7	4	2	66.7	7	2	77.8	1	1	50.0	0.56	0.61	48.0	0	0	—
	SO	2	3	40.0	2	3	40.0	2	3	40.0	2	3	40.0	1	3	25.0	0.95	1.64	36.5	1	0	100.0
	Total	44	77	36.4	34	66	34.0	23	39	37.1	30	48	38.5	6	12	33.3	6.32	11.88	34.7	3	2	60.0
TBL	P1	27	13	67.5	21	11	65.6	11	7	61.1	15	6	71.4	5	0	100.0	4.28	1.19	78.2	0	2	0.0
	P2	28	7	80.0	25	7	78.1	15	5	75.0	16	6	72.7	2	1	66.7	3.29	1.42	69.9	2	0	100.0
	P3	17	15	53.1	15	10	60.0	8	5	61.5	12	9	57.1	1	3	25.0	2.06	2.20	48.3	0	0	—
	OT	2	7	22.2	2	4	33.3	2	4	33.3	2	7	22.2	1	1	50.0	0.61	0.56	52.0	0	0	—
	SO	3	2	60.0	3	2	60.0	3	2	60.0	3	2	60.0	3	1	75.0	1.64	0.95	63.5	0	1	0.0
	Total	77	44	63.6	66	34	66.0	39	23	62.9	48	30	61.5	12	6	66.7	11.88	6.32	65.3	2	3	40.0

Win Probability

STL Favored

TBL Favored

Goal

Power Play

Gameflow — Cumulative xG

STL

TBL

Goal

Shot Density Heatmap

TBL Attempts

STL Attempts

Individual Event Map

Player:

TBL ShootSTL Shoot

Missed Shot

Attempt Blocked

Hit

Player Matchup Grid

This grid shows how every skater on the home team (STL) performed against every skater on the away team (TBL) when they were on the ice at the same time.

Rows = STL players, Columns = TBL players. Forwards are listed first, then defensemen.
Green = the STL player had a favorable matchup (above 50%). Red = unfavorable (below 50%).
Values shown from the home team's perspective. Toggle between CF% (shot attempt share) and xGF% (expected goal share).
Cells with fewer than 3 shared events are grayed out (insufficient sample). Hover over any cell for full details.

Stat:

STL ↓ / TBL →	Guentzel	Cirelli	Gourde	Girgensons	Goncalves	Finley	James	Hagel	Paul	Kucherov	Bjorkstrand	Holmberg	Raddysh	Moser	D'Astous	Cernak	Crozier	Carlile
Sundqvist	18	20	100	100	50	73	67	0	43	17	57	100	43	58	29	43	67	80
Bjugstad	15	20	33	33	25	100	100	13	29	20	29	33	20	30	25	25	57	57
Schenn	9	50	63	50	33	50	50	54	11	18	50	63	42	47	38	44	33	29
Stenberg	19	33	57	57	33	50	50	22	25	18	20	57	25	40	17	20	46	45
Buchnevich	11	56	50	50	33	100	100	36	21	14	40	40	23	50	40	60	33	33
Neighbours	50	30	27	13	20	—	0	36	67	33	0	30	42	56	25	38	0	0
Walker	30	0	0	—	75	80	67	0	60	20	62	—	46	55	40	40	75	100
Kyrou	43	50	42	13	20	—	—	47	50	22	0	30	42	75	24	38	0	0
Snuggerud	21	60	43	43	36	50	50	60	20	23	50	43	33	43	14	44	40	38
Toropchenko	23	0	0	0	75	73	67	0	50	17	53	0	40	60	29	33	60	75
Dvorsky	38	43	38	30	43	—	0	17	40	17	0	22	40	67	20	38	25	29
Berggren	18	57	60	60	50	67	67	50	25	21	67	50	50	50	50	60	36	36
Broberg	26	48	40	0	78	67	50	29	42	19	27	0	27	57	23	40	45	44
Parayko	21	19	50	100	83	67	40	15	32	16	25	100	27	36	30	30	36	33
Faulk	22	40	50	40	14	80	80	33	27	27	57	45	55	50	36	40	35	41
Fowler	11	14	45	45	17	75	75	11	17	0	60	45	44	60	9	14	29	40
Mailloux	17	0	31	33	13	75	60	0	20	0	60	33	36	44	10	13	38	38
Tucker	10	50	44	29	17	80	80	43	13	17	57	44	29	0	50	40	43	46