Colorado Avalanche vs Tampa Bay Lightning — January 6, 2026 Game Stats

Game Recap

The Tampa Bay Lightning defeated the Colorado Avalanche 4-2 on January 6, 2026. Despite the result, the Colorado Avalanche held the edge in expected goals (6.99 to 5.90) at 5-on-5, indicating the Tampa Bay Lightning received favorable bounces or strong goaltending. The Colorado Avalanche created 9 high-danger scoring chances compared to 6 from the Tampa Bay Lightning at 5-on-5. Parker Kelly was the most dangerous skater with 2.10 individual expected goals on 2 shots at 5-on-5. The Colorado Avalanche outshot the Tampa Bay Lightning 33-28 in total shots on goal.

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xG Gameflow — cumulative expected goals chart tracking each team's xG as Colorado Avalanche vs Tampa Bay Lightning progressed on Jan 6, 2026
Shot heatmap — where shots were taken on the ice, color-coded by scoring probability
Event timeline — every goal, penalty, and key play mapped chronologically
Player matchup grid — head-to-head on-ice performance in Corsi and expected goals
Strength filter — 5v5 by default, with options for power play, penalty kill, and all situations

COL2 - 4TBL

Jan 6, 2026 · Regular Season

Strength:

Overview

	Period	Corsi			Fenwick			Shots			SC			HDSC			xG			Goals
		F	A	%	F	A	%	F	A	%	F	A	%	F	A	%	F	A	%	F	A	%
TBL	P1	25	17	59.5	18	10	64.3	12	7	63.2	20	13	60.6	2	1	66.7	2.94	1.77	62.4	1	0	100.0
	P2	27	23	54.0	18	18	50.0	10	13	43.5	15	14	51.7	4	7	36.4	3.08	4.79	39.2	1	2	33.3
	P3	15	27	35.7	12	18	40.0	6	13	31.6	5	19	20.8	0	6	0.0	1.28	3.80	25.1	2	0	100.0
	Total	67	67	50.0	48	46	51.1	28	33	45.9	40	46	46.5	6	14	30.0	7.31	10.36	41.3	4	2	66.7
COL	P1	17	25	40.5	10	18	35.7	7	12	36.8	13	20	39.4	1	2	33.3	1.77	2.94	37.6	0	1	0.0
	P2	23	27	46.0	18	18	50.0	13	10	56.5	14	15	48.3	7	4	63.6	4.79	3.08	60.8	2	1	66.7
	P3	27	15	64.3	18	12	60.0	13	6	68.4	19	5	79.2	6	0	100.0	3.80	1.28	74.9	0	2	0.0
	Total	67	67	50.0	46	48	48.9	33	28	54.1	46	40	53.5	14	6	70.0	10.36	7.31	58.7	2	4	33.3

Win Probability

TBL Favored

COL Favored

Goal

Power Play

Gameflow — Cumulative xG

TBL

COL

Goal

Shot Density Heatmap

COL Attempts

TBL Attempts

Individual Event Map

Player:

COL ShootTBL Shoot

Save

Goal Against

Missed Shot Against

Player Matchup Grid

This grid shows how every skater on the home team (TBL) performed against every skater on the away team (COL) when they were on the ice at the same time.

Rows = TBL players, Columns = COL players. Forwards are listed first, then defensemen.
Green = the TBL player had a favorable matchup (above 50%). Red = unfavorable (below 50%).
Values shown from the home team's perspective. Toggle between CF% (shot attempt share) and xGF% (expected goal share).
Cells with fewer than 3 shared events are grayed out (insufficient sample). Hover over any cell for full details.

Stat:

TBL ↓ / COL →	Necas	MacKinnon	Nelson	Drury	Brindley	Kelly	Colton	Bardakov	Lehkonen	Olofsson	Makar	Nichushkin	Makar	Malinski	Girard	Manson	Burns	Solovyov
Guentzel	33	39	52	55	70	73	45	33	42	45	50	47	52	50	64	67	71	25
Point	33	36	47	54	55	77	33	67	38	41	—	44	50	35	80	62	62	0
Cirelli	32	29	52	63	85	100	67	100	31	60	100	50	54	67	67	75	86	33
Gourde	42	44	50	0	75	50	0	0	48	0	0	75	40	60	47	57	0	67
Goncalves	33	33	60	38	75	57	33	75	33	36	100	60	50	33	71	63	60	50
Girgensons	40	40	44	0	75	0	0	0	45	0	0	75	35	60	41	57	0	67
James	0	0	100	79	80	47	77	47	0	90	47	100	33	45	63	64	67	59
Hagel	32	35	54	62	80	100	56	100	33	57	100	50	61	64	80	57	70	25
Paul	20	0	33	80	67	50	77	50	0	90	45	43	33	43	67	62	75	60
Kucherov	23	25	40	58	55	67	33	44	25	45	50	39	42	38	63	56	62	50
Bjorkstrand	25	25	80	78	100	60	77	45	25	89	45	100	57	45	63	76	80	60
Holmberg	44	44	56	50	100	50	100	0	48	—	0	100	43	60	44	57	100	67
Raddysh	36	36	48	77	75	69	60	44	39	75	50	53	40	61	54	62	67	69
Moser	35	33	40	44	75	50	43	38	38	40	43	41	33	60	45	50	50	64
D'Astous	33	38	56	61	75	71	68	57	40	72	67	58	59	48	77	56	75	71
Cernak	32	35	38	54	55	67	60	50	45	60	100	32	46	48	67	53	62	67
Crozier	0	0	82	56	87	46	40	50	0	38	38	82	67	33	69	78	73	36
Carlile	0	0	0	44	50	36	33	43	0	25	43	0	0	13	25	57	56	33