Game Recap
The Colorado Avalanche defeated the Carolina Hurricanes 5-3 on January 3, 2026. Expected goals were closely matched at 5-on-5 (CAR 7.40, COL 7.85), making this a tightly contested game on both sides of the puck. The Colorado Avalanche created 12 high-danger scoring chances compared to 7 from the Carolina Hurricanes at 5-on-5. Brock Nelson scored 2 goals. Sebastian Aho was the most dangerous skater with 2.44 individual expected goals on 5 shots at 5-on-5. The Colorado Avalanche outshot the Carolina Hurricanes 35-28 in total shots on goal.
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- xG Gameflow — cumulative expected goals chart tracking each team's xG as Colorado Avalanche vs Carolina Hurricanes progressed on Jan 3, 2026
- Shot heatmap — where shots were taken on the ice, color-coded by scoring probability
- Event timeline — every goal, penalty, and key play mapped chronologically
- Player matchup grid — head-to-head on-ice performance in Corsi and expected goals
- Strength filter — 5v5 by default, with options for power play, penalty kill, and all situations
COL5 - 3CAR
Jan 3, 2026 · Regular Season
Overview
| Period | Corsi | Fenwick | Shots | SC | HDSC | xG | Goals | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| F | A | % | F | A | % | F | A | % | F | A | % | F | A | % | F | A | % | F | A | % | ||
| CAR | P1 | 22 | 21 | 51.2 | 19 | 17 | 52.8 | 10 | 15 | 40.0 | 17 | 16 | 51.5 | 6 | 5 | 54.5 | 5.04 | 4.31 | 53.9 | 1 | 0 | 100.0 |
| P2 | 18 | 20 | 47.4 | 13 | 15 | 46.4 | 8 | 9 | 47.1 | 13 | 16 | 44.8 | 2 | 6 | 25.0 | 3.51 | 3.84 | 47.8 | 2 | 1 | 66.7 | |
| P3 | 16 | 25 | 39.0 | 13 | 18 | 41.9 | 10 | 11 | 47.6 | 10 | 17 | 37.0 | 3 | 8 | 27.3 | 2.66 | 5.14 | 34.1 | 0 | 4 | 0.0 | |
| Total | 56 | 66 | 45.9 | 45 | 50 | 47.4 | 28 | 35 | 44.4 | 40 | 49 | 44.9 | 11 | 19 | 36.7 | 11.21 | 13.28 | 45.8 | 3 | 5 | 37.5 | |
| COL | P1 | 21 | 22 | 48.8 | 17 | 19 | 47.2 | 15 | 10 | 60.0 | 16 | 17 | 48.5 | 5 | 6 | 45.5 | 4.31 | 5.04 | 46.1 | 0 | 1 | 0.0 |
| P2 | 20 | 18 | 52.6 | 15 | 13 | 53.6 | 9 | 8 | 52.9 | 16 | 13 | 55.2 | 6 | 2 | 75.0 | 3.84 | 3.51 | 52.2 | 1 | 2 | 33.3 | |
| P3 | 25 | 16 | 61.0 | 18 | 13 | 58.1 | 11 | 10 | 52.4 | 17 | 10 | 63.0 | 8 | 3 | 72.7 | 5.14 | 2.66 | 65.9 | 4 | 0 | 100.0 | |
| Total | 66 | 56 | 54.1 | 50 | 45 | 52.6 | 35 | 28 | 55.6 | 49 | 40 | 55.1 | 19 | 11 | 63.3 | 13.28 | 11.21 | 54.2 | 5 | 3 | 62.5 | |
Win Probability
CAR Favored
COL Favored
Goal
Power Play
Gameflow — Cumulative xG
CAR
COL
Goal
Shot Density Heatmap
COL Attempts
CAR Attempts
Individual Event Map
COL ShootCAR Shoot
Missed Shot
Attempt Blocked
Hit
Hit Taken
Player Matchup Grid
This grid shows how every skater on the home team (CAR) performed against every skater on the away team (COL) when they were on the ice at the same time.
- Rows = CAR players, Columns = COL players. Forwards are listed first, then defensemen.
- Green = the CAR player had a favorable matchup (above 50%). Red = unfavorable (below 50%).
- Values shown from the home team's perspective. Toggle between CF% (shot attempt share) and xGF% (expected goal share).
- Cells with fewer than 3 shared events are grayed out (insufficient sample). Hover over any cell for full details.
| CAR ↓ / COL → | Nelson | MacKinnon | Necas | Drury | Colton | Kelly | Bardakov | Landeskog | Lehkonen | Olofsson | Makar | Nichushkin | Makar | Burns | Manson | Toews | Girard | Malinski |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aho | 45 | 52 | 58 | 60 | 14 | 100 | — | 62 | 38 | 20 | — | 36 | 64 | 38 | 42 | 77 | 33 | 43 |
| Staal | 18 | 11 | 17 | 0 | 0 | 100 | — | 50 | 26 | 0 | 100 | 20 | 18 | 40 | 33 | 60 | 38 | 25 |
| Stankoven | 52 | 60 | 67 | 80 | 0 | 100 | — | 75 | 41 | 0 | 100 | 50 | 57 | 80 | 73 | 80 | 64 | 30 |
| Kotkaniemi | 63 | 25 | 17 | 25 | 20 | 0 | 33 | 33 | 50 | 22 | 0 | 63 | 33 | 38 | 38 | 33 | 50 | 20 |
| Ehlers | 60 | 59 | 57 | 79 | 0 | 100 | — | 58 | 50 | 0 | — | 50 | 76 | 50 | 50 | 75 | 25 | 40 |
| Martinook | 29 | 20 | 44 | 33 | 33 | 100 | — | 78 | 30 | 25 | 100 | 23 | 30 | 60 | 57 | 63 | 55 | 27 |
| Hall | 67 | 33 | 33 | 50 | 0 | 67 | 50 | 33 | 67 | 0 | 33 | 67 | 25 | 58 | 83 | 50 | 42 | 42 |
| Robinson | 38 | 45 | 55 | 30 | 22 | 50 | 0 | 78 | 40 | 26 | 0 | 29 | 40 | 44 | 36 | 50 | 50 | 33 |
| Jankowski | 71 | 20 | 50 | 25 | 17 | 57 | 50 | 50 | 67 | 13 | 40 | 33 | 45 | 17 | 50 | 67 | 45 | 33 |
| Carrier | 67 | 25 | 40 | 28 | 19 | 0 | 0 | 60 | 100 | 24 | 0 | 67 | 50 | 40 | 22 | 33 | 44 | 17 |
| Svechnikov | 75 | 57 | 60 | 70 | 0 | 100 | — | 61 | 50 | 0 | — | 50 | 78 | 29 | 29 | 78 | 40 | 40 |
| Blake | 67 | 0 | 0 | 46 | 0 | 67 | 50 | 0 | 67 | 0 | 33 | 67 | 54 | 11 | 38 | 88 | 22 | 36 |
| Walker | 35 | 39 | 46 | 56 | 25 | 100 | 100 | 56 | 40 | 17 | 100 | 30 | 38 | 47 | 59 | 67 | 100 | 86 |
| Gostisbehere | 47 | 50 | 59 | 53 | 0 | 75 | 50 | 70 | 31 | 10 | 33 | 46 | 71 | 43 | 46 | 86 | 37 | 25 |
| Miller | 24 | 38 | 46 | 25 | 17 | 100 | 100 | 55 | 38 | 17 | 100 | 18 | 38 | 43 | 63 | 62 | 20 | 36 |
| Chatfield | 35 | 36 | 67 | 40 | 10 | 75 | 67 | 79 | 25 | 20 | 50 | 24 | 53 | 50 | 58 | 86 | 29 | 20 |
| Nikishin | 36 | 11 | 17 | 47 | 25 | 63 | 25 | 25 | 30 | 21 | 0 | 36 | 9 | 53 | 50 | 0 | 64 | 30 |
| Nystrom | 50 | 0 | 0 | 24 | 19 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 75 | 17 | 0 | 50 | 20 | 27 | 10 | 0 | 43 | 20 |
