Colorado Avalanche vs Carolina Hurricanes — January 3, 2026 Game Stats

Game Recap

A wild one ended 5-3 in favor of the Colorado Avalanche over the Carolina Hurricanes on Saturday. Keep an eye on Aho — 2.44 individual xG on 5 shots at 5-on-5. Brock Nelson found the net 2 times. A close game in the analytics too — CAR and COL were nearly dead even in expected goals at 5-on-5 (7.40 vs 7.85). High-danger chances favored COL by a wide margin: 12 to 7. COL outshot CAR 35-28.

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xG Gameflow — cumulative expected goals chart tracking each team's xG as Colorado Avalanche vs Carolina Hurricanes progressed on Jan 3, 2026
Shot heatmap — where shots were taken on the ice, color-coded by scoring probability
Event timeline — every goal, penalty, and key play mapped chronologically
Player matchup grid — head-to-head on-ice performance in Corsi and expected goals
Strength filter — 5v5 by default, with options for power play, penalty kill, and all situations

COL5 - 3CAR

Jan 3, 2026 · Regular Season

Strength:

Overview

	Period	Corsi			Fenwick			Shots			SC			HDSC			xG			Goals
		F	A	%	F	A	%	F	A	%	F	A	%	F	A	%	F	A	%	F	A	%
CAR	P1	22	21	51.2	19	17	52.8	10	15	40.0	17	16	51.5	6	5	54.5	5.04	4.31	53.9	1	0	100.0
	P2	18	20	47.4	13	15	46.4	8	9	47.1	13	16	44.8	2	6	25.0	3.51	3.84	47.8	2	1	66.7
	P3	16	25	39.0	13	18	41.9	10	11	47.6	10	17	37.0	3	8	27.3	2.66	5.14	34.1	0	4	0.0
	Total	56	66	45.9	45	50	47.4	28	35	44.4	40	49	44.9	11	19	36.7	11.21	13.28	45.8	3	5	37.5
COL	P1	21	22	48.8	17	19	47.2	15	10	60.0	16	17	48.5	5	6	45.5	4.31	5.04	46.1	0	1	0.0
	P2	20	18	52.6	15	13	53.6	9	8	52.9	16	13	55.2	6	2	75.0	3.84	3.51	52.2	1	2	33.3
	P3	25	16	61.0	18	13	58.1	11	10	52.4	17	10	63.0	8	3	72.7	5.14	2.66	65.9	4	0	100.0
	Total	66	56	54.1	50	45	52.6	35	28	55.6	49	40	55.1	19	11	63.3	13.28	11.21	54.2	5	3	62.5

Win Probability

CAR Favored

COL Favored

Goal

Power Play

Gameflow — Cumulative xG

CAR

COL

Goal

Shot Density Heatmap

COL Attempts

CAR Attempts

Individual Event Map

Player:

COL ShootCAR Shoot

Missed Shot

Attempt Blocked

Hit

Hit Taken

Player Matchup Grid

This grid shows how every skater on the home team (CAR) performed against every skater on the away team (COL) when they were on the ice at the same time.

Rows = CAR players, Columns = COL players. Forwards are listed first, then defensemen.
Green = the CAR player had a favorable matchup (above 50%). Red = unfavorable (below 50%).
Values shown from the home team's perspective. Toggle between CF% (shot attempt share) and xGF% (expected goal share).
Cells with fewer than 3 shared events are grayed out (insufficient sample). Hover over any cell for full details.

Stat:

CAR ↓ / COL →	Nelson	MacKinnon	Necas	Drury	Colton	Kelly	Bardakov	Landeskog	Lehkonen	Olofsson	Makar	Nichushkin	Makar	Burns	Manson	Toews	Girard	Malinski
Aho	45	52	58	60	14	100	—	62	38	20	—	36	64	38	42	77	33	43
Staal	18	11	17	0	0	100	—	50	26	0	100	20	18	40	33	60	38	25
Stankoven	52	60	67	80	0	100	—	75	41	0	100	50	57	80	73	80	64	30
Kotkaniemi	63	25	17	25	20	0	33	33	50	22	0	63	33	38	38	33	50	20
Ehlers	60	59	57	79	0	100	—	58	50	0	—	50	76	50	50	75	25	40
Martinook	29	20	44	33	33	100	—	78	30	25	100	23	30	60	57	63	55	27
Hall	67	33	33	50	0	67	50	33	67	0	33	67	25	58	83	50	42	42
Robinson	38	45	55	30	22	50	0	78	40	26	0	29	40	44	36	50	50	33
Jankowski	71	20	50	25	17	57	50	50	67	13	40	33	45	17	50	67	45	33
Carrier	67	25	40	28	19	0	0	60	100	24	0	67	50	40	22	33	44	17
Svechnikov	75	57	60	70	0	100	—	61	50	0	—	50	78	29	29	78	40	40
Blake	67	0	0	46	0	67	50	0	67	0	33	67	54	11	38	88	22	36
Walker	35	39	46	56	25	100	100	56	40	17	100	30	38	47	59	67	100	86
Gostisbehere	47	50	59	53	0	75	50	70	31	10	33	46	71	43	46	86	37	25
Miller	24	38	46	25	17	100	100	55	38	17	100	18	38	43	63	62	20	36
Chatfield	35	36	67	40	10	75	67	79	25	20	50	24	53	50	58	86	29	20
Nikishin	36	11	17	47	25	63	25	25	30	21	0	36	9	53	50	0	64	30
Nystrom	50	0	0	24	19	20	20	0	75	17	0	50	20	27	10	0	43	20