Toronto Maple Leafs vs New York Islanders — January 3, 2026 Game Stats

Game Recap

The New York Islanders defeated the Toronto Maple Leafs 4-3 in overtime on January 3, 2026. The New York Islanders controlled play with 51.0% Corsi and generated 7.30 expected goals compared to 6.04 from the Toronto Maple Leafs at 5-on-5, suggesting the result was well-earned. The New York Islanders created 9 high-danger scoring chances compared to 8 from the Toronto Maple Leafs at 5-on-5. Auston Matthews scored 2 goals. Matthew Schaefer scored 2 goals. Simon Holmstrom was the most dangerous skater with 1.34 individual expected goals on 3 shots at 5-on-5. The New York Islanders outshot the Toronto Maple Leafs 25-21 in total shots on goal.

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xG Gameflow — cumulative expected goals chart tracking each team's xG as Toronto Maple Leafs vs New York Islanders progressed on Jan 3, 2026
Shot heatmap — where shots were taken on the ice, color-coded by scoring probability
Event timeline — every goal, penalty, and key play mapped chronologically
Player matchup grid — head-to-head on-ice performance in Corsi and expected goals
Strength filter — 5v5 by default, with options for power play, penalty kill, and all situations

TOR3 - 4NYI (OT)

Jan 3, 2026 · Regular Season

Strength:

Overview

	Period	Corsi			Fenwick			Shots			SC			HDSC			xG			Goals
		F	A	%	F	A	%	F	A	%	F	A	%	F	A	%	F	A	%	F	A	%
NYI	P1	18	22	45.0	14	15	48.3	7	7	50.0	12	14	46.2	4	3	57.1	2.40	1.97	54.9	0	0	—
	P2	18	19	48.6	13	16	44.8	6	11	35.3	14	13	51.9	4	4	50.0	2.91	3.60	44.7	1	2	33.3
	P3	20	10	66.7	16	6	72.7	10	3	76.9	18	5	78.3	3	1	75.0	3.31	0.86	79.3	2	1	66.7
	OT	2	3	40.0	2	2	50.0	2	0	100.0	2	3	40.0	0	2	0.0	0.46	0.78	36.9	1	0	100.0
	Total	58	54	51.8	45	39	53.6	25	21	54.3	46	35	56.8	11	10	52.4	9.08	7.22	55.7	4	3	57.1
TOR	P1	22	18	55.0	15	14	51.7	7	7	50.0	14	12	53.8	3	4	42.9	1.97	2.40	45.1	0	0	—
	P2	19	18	51.4	16	13	55.2	11	6	64.7	13	14	48.1	4	4	50.0	3.60	2.91	55.3	2	1	66.7
	P3	10	20	33.3	6	16	27.3	3	10	23.1	5	18	21.7	1	3	25.0	0.86	3.31	20.7	1	2	33.3
	OT	3	2	60.0	2	2	50.0	0	2	0.0	3	2	60.0	2	0	100.0	0.78	0.46	63.1	0	1	0.0
	Total	54	58	48.2	39	45	46.4	21	25	45.7	35	46	43.2	10	11	47.6	7.22	9.08	44.3	3	4	42.9

Win Probability

NYI Favored

TOR Favored

Goal

Power Play

Gameflow — Cumulative xG

NYI

TOR

Goal

Shot Density Heatmap

TOR Attempts

NYI Attempts

Individual Event Map

Player:

TOR ShootNYI Shoot

Goal

Shot on Net

Missed Shot

Hit

Shot Blocked

Player Matchup Grid

This grid shows how every skater on the home team (NYI) performed against every skater on the away team (TOR) when they were on the ice at the same time.

Rows = NYI players, Columns = TOR players. Forwards are listed first, then defensemen.
Green = the NYI player had a favorable matchup (above 50%). Red = unfavorable (below 50%).
Values shown from the home team's perspective. Toggle between CF% (shot attempt share) and xGF% (expected goal share).
Cells with fewer than 3 shared events are grayed out (insufficient sample). Hover over any cell for full details.

Stat:

NYI ↓ / TOR →	Matthews	McMann	Laughton	Domi	Tavares	Lorentz	Jarnkrok	Roy	Knies	Maccelli	Robertson	Cowan	Ekman-Larsson	Rielly	McCabe	Stecher	Benoit	Benning
Barzal	70	67	67	60	50	63	63	20	70	86	20	0	56	45	65	75	55	80
Pageau	50	57	57	44	54	40	67	33	50	54	33	33	38	57	40	73	60	63
Cizikas	50	67	18	67	50	18	18	0	50	50	0	25	22	33	33	29	33	44
Gatcomb	67	67	18	67	38	18	18	0	38	50	0	17	18	22	33	23	33	44
MacLean	50	50	20	50	50	20	20	50	50	100	50	20	14	25	33	27	40	56
Ritchie	67	67	50	50	25	50	50	60	40	25	55	50	50	40	50	43	57	67
Heineman	64	67	56	57	57	50	50	20	70	70	20	0	57	50	61	70	63	75
Lee	67	67	70	62	67	67	63	25	75	80	0	0	57	75	61	80	60	50
Drouin	56	56	67	56	59	67	67	50	52	59	33	33	58	50	71	60	54	60
Holmstrom	50	53	86	56	56	80	75	100	47	56	100	100	64	63	75	69	54	50
Shabanov	67	67	43	50	50	33	33	50	60	50	46	42	29	67	22	50	67	67
Tsyplakov	100	100	50	50	50	50	100	54	67	50	46	42	33	64	29	60	78	80
Pelech	73	82	50	75	45	47	47	33	54	50	33	20	57	45	75	50	54	62
DeAngelo	67	67	56	73	59	56	53	75	52	76	67	20	65	58	75	63	58	53
Mayfield	60	75	27	25	50	13	17	38	50	50	35	31	24	38	33	30	50	67
Schaefer	54	52	57	50	63	40	40	0	57	67	0	50	52	53	56	62	44	50
Pulock	54	59	67	53	33	0	0	—	43	36	—	0	50	43	57	56	43	67
McWard	0	0	29	0	67	20	33	41	67	67	39	35	9	36	22	43	56	71