Game Recap
The Vegas Golden Knights fell to the Nashville Predators 4-2 on Wednesday. Keep an eye on Saad — 1.89 individual xG on 4 shots at 5-on-5. The underlying numbers told a different story — VGK actually held the xG edge (6.90 to 6.03) at 5-on-5, but it didn't matter on the scoreboard. VGK held a slight 13-12 edge in high-danger chances. Shots on goal: VGK 31, NSH 19.
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- xG Gameflow — cumulative expected goals chart tracking each team's xG as Nashville Predators vs Vegas Golden Knights progressed on Dec 31, 2025
- Shot heatmap — where shots were taken on the ice, color-coded by scoring probability
- Event timeline — every goal, penalty, and key play mapped chronologically
- Player matchup grid — head-to-head on-ice performance in Corsi and expected goals
- Strength filter — 5v5 by default, with options for power play, penalty kill, and all situations
NSH4 - 2VGK
Dec 31, 2025 · Regular Season
Overview
| Period | Corsi | Fenwick | Shots | SC | HDSC | xG | Goals | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| F | A | % | F | A | % | F | A | % | F | A | % | F | A | % | F | A | % | F | A | % | ||
| VGK | P1 | 15 | 19 | 44.1 | 13 | 14 | 48.1 | 9 | 10 | 47.4 | 11 | 16 | 40.7 | 5 | 6 | 45.5 | 3.49 | 3.34 | 51.1 | 2 | 3 | 40.0 |
| P2 | 15 | 16 | 48.4 | 7 | 13 | 35.0 | 4 | 6 | 40.0 | 14 | 8 | 63.6 | 8 | 3 | 72.7 | 2.00 | 2.46 | 44.9 | 0 | 1 | 0.0 | |
| P3 | 39 | 13 | 75.0 | 28 | 8 | 77.8 | 18 | 3 | 85.7 | 29 | 10 | 74.4 | 10 | 7 | 58.8 | 6.05 | 2.02 | 75.0 | 0 | 0 | — | |
| Total | 69 | 48 | 59.0 | 48 | 35 | 57.8 | 31 | 19 | 62.0 | 54 | 34 | 61.4 | 23 | 16 | 59.0 | 11.53 | 7.81 | 59.6 | 2 | 4 | 33.3 | |
| NSH | P1 | 19 | 15 | 55.9 | 14 | 13 | 51.9 | 10 | 9 | 52.6 | 16 | 11 | 59.3 | 6 | 5 | 54.5 | 3.34 | 3.49 | 48.9 | 3 | 2 | 60.0 |
| P2 | 16 | 15 | 51.6 | 13 | 7 | 65.0 | 6 | 4 | 60.0 | 8 | 14 | 36.4 | 3 | 8 | 27.3 | 2.46 | 2.00 | 55.1 | 1 | 0 | 100.0 | |
| P3 | 13 | 39 | 25.0 | 8 | 28 | 22.2 | 3 | 18 | 14.3 | 10 | 29 | 25.6 | 7 | 10 | 41.2 | 2.02 | 6.05 | 25.0 | 0 | 0 | — | |
| Total | 48 | 69 | 41.0 | 35 | 48 | 42.2 | 19 | 31 | 38.0 | 34 | 54 | 38.6 | 16 | 23 | 41.0 | 7.81 | 11.53 | 40.4 | 4 | 2 | 66.7 | |
Win Probability
VGK Favored
NSH Favored
Goal
Power Play
Gameflow — Cumulative xG
VGK
NSH
Goal
Shot Density Heatmap
NSH Attempts
VGK Attempts
Individual Event Map
NSH ShootVGK Shoot
Shot on Net
Hit Taken
Shot Blocked
Giveaway
Player Matchup Grid
This grid shows how every skater on the home team (VGK) performed against every skater on the away team (NSH) when they were on the ice at the same time.
- Rows = VGK players, Columns = NSH players. Forwards are listed first, then defensemen.
- Green = the VGK player had a favorable matchup (above 50%). Red = unfavorable (below 50%).
- Values shown from the home team's perspective. Toggle between CF% (shot attempt share) and xGF% (expected goal share).
- Cells with fewer than 3 shared events are grayed out (insufficient sample). Hover over any cell for full details.
| VGK ↓ / NSH → | O'Reilly | McCarron | Stamkos | Jost | Svechkov | Haula | Bunting | Forsberg | Schaefer | Smith | Evangelista | Wood | Perbix | Skjei | Josi | Hague | Blankenburg | Wilsby |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hertl | 83 | 67 | 50 | 100 | 100 | 72 | 50 | 67 | 50 | 78 | 43 | 100 | 88 | 86 | 83 | 44 | 75 | 70 |
| Sissons | 55 | 89 | 44 | 67 | 67 | 69 | 60 | 44 | 75 | 88 | 50 | 67 | 71 | 80 | 63 | 100 | 67 | 67 |
| Howden | 44 | 33 | 40 | 50 | 38 | 40 | 22 | 25 | 0 | 33 | 29 | 0 | 22 | 33 | 31 | 46 | 33 | 43 |
| Barbashev | 88 | 57 | 83 | 33 | 33 | 40 | 17 | 75 | 60 | 54 | 17 | 33 | 80 | 53 | 83 | 42 | 50 | 38 |
| Saad | 36 | 100 | 36 | 63 | 56 | 30 | 25 | 45 | 100 | 100 | 41 | 43 | 50 | 44 | 39 | 67 | 55 | 43 |
| Marner | 65 | 59 | 40 | 50 | 50 | 55 | 10 | 50 | 56 | 70 | 10 | 40 | 77 | 66 | 56 | 38 | 54 | 38 |
| Stone | 82 | 59 | 63 | 50 | 50 | 58 | 14 | 60 | 60 | 70 | 17 | 40 | 81 | 65 | 76 | 33 | 54 | 38 |
| Dorofeyev | 75 | 77 | 20 | 100 | 100 | 72 | 43 | 50 | 71 | 84 | 60 | 100 | 88 | 82 | 100 | 44 | 75 | 60 |
| Smith | 67 | 42 | 53 | 50 | 0 | 44 | 33 | 50 | 43 | 53 | 13 | 0 | 55 | 50 | 56 | 67 | 33 | 56 |
| Bowman | 80 | 43 | 75 | 50 | 38 | 50 | 29 | 71 | 0 | 43 | 36 | 25 | 22 | 67 | 46 | 58 | 44 | 67 |
| Holtz | 100 | 25 | 0 | 86 | 86 | 50 | 57 | — | 25 | 40 | 57 | 100 | 75 | 50 | 90 | 20 | 0 | 50 |
| Kolesar | 67 | 67 | 60 | 67 | 67 | 71 | 75 | 60 | 50 | 67 | 75 | 67 | 78 | 75 | 67 | 100 | 60 | 67 |
| Hanifin | 63 | 64 | 38 | 83 | 83 | 62 | 30 | 47 | 62 | 75 | 19 | 75 | 75 | 81 | 44 | 40 | 60 | 79 |
| Whitecloud | 36 | 43 | 33 | 29 | 14 | 20 | 19 | 36 | 43 | 43 | 23 | 14 | 40 | 36 | 32 | 31 | 31 | 36 |
| Hutton | 57 | 59 | 38 | 80 | 80 | 44 | 31 | 50 | 46 | 61 | 47 | 67 | 62 | 27 | 68 | 71 | 60 | 30 |
| Lauzon | 67 | 36 | 38 | 50 | 25 | 21 | 19 | 50 | 50 | 50 | 25 | 25 | 62 | 27 | 57 | 33 | 36 | 31 |
| Korczak | 69 | 57 | 63 | 80 | 80 | 57 | 60 | 57 | 40 | 56 | 67 | 83 | 71 | 44 | 76 | 70 | 56 | 57 |
| McNabb | 38 | — | 44 | 50 | 50 | — | 100 | 29 | — | — | 50 | 50 | 67 | 0 | 55 | 100 | 33 | 0 |
