Game Recap
The Buffalo Sabres came away with a 4-2 victory over the St. Louis Blues on December 29, 2025. High-danger chances favored BUF by a wide margin: 8 to 3. The expected goals told the same story: BUF 8.20, STL 4.36 at 5-on-5. Shots on goal: BUF 34, STL 18.
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- xG Gameflow — cumulative expected goals chart tracking each team's xG as Buffalo Sabres vs St. Louis Blues progressed on Dec 29, 2025
- Shot heatmap — where shots were taken on the ice, color-coded by scoring probability
- Event timeline — every goal, penalty, and key play mapped chronologically
- Player matchup grid — head-to-head on-ice performance in Corsi and expected goals
- Strength filter — 5v5 by default, with options for power play, penalty kill, and all situations
BUF4 - 2STL
Dec 29, 2025 · Regular Season
Overview
| Period | Corsi | Fenwick | Shots | SC | HDSC | xG | Goals | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| F | A | % | F | A | % | F | A | % | F | A | % | F | A | % | F | A | % | F | A | % | ||
| STL | P1 | 13 | 19 | 40.6 | 11 | 12 | 47.8 | 9 | 8 | 52.9 | 7 | 12 | 36.8 | 0 | 1 | 0.0 | 1.39 | 1.78 | 43.7 | 2 | 1 | 66.7 |
| P2 | 16 | 24 | 40.0 | 9 | 19 | 32.1 | 7 | 14 | 33.3 | 13 | 15 | 46.4 | 1 | 3 | 25.0 | 1.98 | 3.90 | 33.7 | 0 | 1 | 0.0 | |
| P3 | 10 | 27 | 27.0 | 7 | 21 | 25.0 | 2 | 12 | 14.3 | 8 | 17 | 32.0 | 3 | 6 | 33.3 | 1.57 | 4.83 | 24.5 | 0 | 2 | 0.0 | |
| Total | 39 | 70 | 35.8 | 27 | 52 | 34.2 | 18 | 34 | 34.6 | 28 | 44 | 38.9 | 4 | 10 | 28.6 | 4.94 | 10.52 | 32.0 | 2 | 4 | 33.3 | |
| BUF | P1 | 19 | 13 | 59.4 | 12 | 11 | 52.2 | 8 | 9 | 47.1 | 12 | 7 | 63.2 | 1 | 0 | 100.0 | 1.78 | 1.39 | 56.3 | 1 | 2 | 33.3 |
| P2 | 24 | 16 | 60.0 | 19 | 9 | 67.9 | 14 | 7 | 66.7 | 15 | 13 | 53.6 | 3 | 1 | 75.0 | 3.90 | 1.98 | 66.3 | 1 | 0 | 100.0 | |
| P3 | 27 | 10 | 73.0 | 21 | 7 | 75.0 | 12 | 2 | 85.7 | 17 | 8 | 68.0 | 6 | 3 | 66.7 | 4.83 | 1.57 | 75.5 | 2 | 0 | 100.0 | |
| Total | 70 | 39 | 64.2 | 52 | 27 | 65.8 | 34 | 18 | 65.4 | 44 | 28 | 61.1 | 10 | 4 | 71.4 | 10.52 | 4.94 | 68.0 | 4 | 2 | 66.7 | |
Win Probability
STL Favored
BUF Favored
Goal
Power Play
Gameflow — Cumulative xG
STL
BUF
Goal
Shot Density Heatmap
BUF Attempts
STL Attempts
Individual Event Map
BUF ShootSTL Shoot
Save
Goal Against
Missed Shot Against
Player Matchup Grid
This grid shows how every skater on the home team (STL) performed against every skater on the away team (BUF) when they were on the ice at the same time.
- Rows = STL players, Columns = BUF players. Forwards are listed first, then defensemen.
- Green = the STL player had a favorable matchup (above 50%). Red = unfavorable (below 50%).
- Values shown from the home team's perspective. Toggle between CF% (shot attempt share) and xGF% (expected goal share).
- Cells with fewer than 3 shared events are grayed out (insufficient sample). Hover over any cell for full details.
| STL ↓ / BUF → | Norris | McLeod | Thompson | Ostlund | Krebs | Dunne | Benson | Malenstyn | Greenway | Doan | Tuch | Quinn | Power | Dahlin | Samuelsson | Byram | Kesselring | Metsa |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Schenn | 20 | 38 | 100 | 27 | 67 | 0 | 33 | 0 | 0 | 100 | 33 | 45 | 13 | 36 | 50 | 44 | 25 | 60 |
| Thomas | 50 | 33 | 48 | 50 | 38 | 100 | 0 | 67 | 100 | 47 | 67 | 0 | 50 | 44 | 17 | 60 | 38 | 75 |
| Stenberg | 46 | 25 | 100 | 40 | 67 | 0 | 36 | 0 | 0 | 100 | 33 | 36 | 17 | 46 | 45 | 56 | 15 | 60 |
| Sundqvist | 0 | 33 | 0 | 60 | 0 | 45 | 25 | 45 | 14 | 0 | 33 | 31 | 28 | 23 | 36 | 31 | 27 | 33 |
| Fabbri | 50 | 24 | 33 | 60 | 0 | 100 | 24 | 83 | 100 | 0 | 67 | 20 | 44 | 40 | 33 | 53 | 0 | 56 |
| Buchnevich | 0 | 50 | 38 | 33 | 33 | 100 | 0 | 67 | 100 | 37 | 50 | 0 | 33 | 22 | 17 | 63 | 38 | 83 |
| Neighbours | 33 | 50 | 41 | 50 | 38 | 100 | 0 | 50 | 100 | 40 | 75 | 0 | 33 | 20 | 29 | 57 | 44 | 86 |
| Kyrou | 25 | 25 | 100 | 31 | 100 | 0 | 30 | 20 | 25 | 100 | 31 | 36 | 14 | 40 | 44 | 56 | 10 | 57 |
| Snuggerud | 57 | 38 | 0 | 75 | 0 | 100 | 25 | 83 | 100 | 0 | 80 | 33 | 63 | 50 | 42 | 67 | 25 | 63 |
| Toropchenko | 0 | 23 | 0 | 29 | 0 | 80 | 22 | 80 | 33 | 0 | 0 | 25 | 24 | 20 | 30 | 18 | 25 | 0 |
| Dvorsky | 50 | 33 | 33 | 56 | 0 | 100 | 27 | 80 | 100 | 0 | 70 | 23 | 38 | 46 | 43 | 54 | 25 | 63 |
| Joseph | 25 | 21 | 25 | 50 | 0 | 45 | 31 | 42 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 21 | 25 | 43 | 33 | 29 | 18 | 0 |
| Fowler | 21 | 40 | 57 | 44 | 60 | 40 | 35 | 38 | 20 | 75 | 38 | 39 | 27 | 56 | 54 | 50 | 21 | 45 |
| Broberg | 19 | 25 | 29 | 43 | 33 | 75 | 15 | 75 | 67 | 26 | 44 | 27 | 25 | 28 | 35 | 33 | 23 | 75 |
| Parayko | 14 | 33 | 20 | 57 | 29 | 25 | 20 | 25 | 17 | 20 | 56 | 31 | 16 | 20 | 35 | 38 | 18 | 88 |
| Faulk | 50 | 16 | 67 | 50 | 25 | 33 | 13 | 38 | 43 | 75 | 58 | 18 | 39 | 28 | 20 | 50 | 33 | 57 |
| Tucker | 33 | 30 | 100 | 45 | 0 | 100 | 33 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 42 | 25 | 50 | 33 | 33 | 54 | 100 | 60 |
| Mailloux | 38 | 43 | 100 | 44 | 100 | 100 | 50 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 29 | 43 | 63 | 71 | 67 | 67 | 25 | 50 |
