Game Recap
The Buffalo Sabres defeated the St. Louis Blues 4-2 on December 29, 2025. The Buffalo Sabres controlled play with 63.4% Corsi and generated 8.20 expected goals compared to 4.36 from the St. Louis Blues at 5-on-5, suggesting the result was well-earned. The Buffalo Sabres created 8 high-danger scoring chances compared to 3 from the St. Louis Blues at 5-on-5. Zach Benson was the most dangerous skater with 1.79 individual expected goals on 4 shots at 5-on-5. The Buffalo Sabres outshot the St. Louis Blues 34-18 in total shots on goal.
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- xG Gameflow — cumulative expected goals chart tracking each team's xG as Buffalo Sabres vs St. Louis Blues progressed on Dec 29, 2025
- Shot heatmap — where shots were taken on the ice, color-coded by scoring probability
- Event timeline — every goal, penalty, and key play mapped chronologically
- Player matchup grid — head-to-head on-ice performance in Corsi and expected goals
- Strength filter — 5v5 by default, with options for power play, penalty kill, and all situations
BUF4 - 2STL
Dec 29, 2025 · Regular Season
Overview
| Period | Corsi | Fenwick | Shots | SC | HDSC | xG | Goals | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| F | A | % | F | A | % | F | A | % | F | A | % | F | A | % | F | A | % | F | A | % | ||
| STL | P1 | 13 | 19 | 40.6 | 11 | 12 | 47.8 | 9 | 8 | 52.9 | 7 | 12 | 36.8 | 0 | 1 | 0.0 | 1.39 | 1.78 | 43.7 | 2 | 1 | 66.7 |
| P2 | 16 | 24 | 40.0 | 9 | 19 | 32.1 | 7 | 14 | 33.3 | 13 | 15 | 46.4 | 1 | 3 | 25.0 | 1.98 | 3.90 | 33.7 | 0 | 1 | 0.0 | |
| P3 | 10 | 27 | 27.0 | 7 | 21 | 25.0 | 2 | 12 | 14.3 | 8 | 17 | 32.0 | 3 | 6 | 33.3 | 1.57 | 4.83 | 24.5 | 0 | 2 | 0.0 | |
| Total | 39 | 70 | 35.8 | 27 | 52 | 34.2 | 18 | 34 | 34.6 | 28 | 44 | 38.9 | 4 | 10 | 28.6 | 4.94 | 10.52 | 32.0 | 2 | 4 | 33.3 | |
| BUF | P1 | 19 | 13 | 59.4 | 12 | 11 | 52.2 | 8 | 9 | 47.1 | 12 | 7 | 63.2 | 1 | 0 | 100.0 | 1.78 | 1.39 | 56.3 | 1 | 2 | 33.3 |
| P2 | 24 | 16 | 60.0 | 19 | 9 | 67.9 | 14 | 7 | 66.7 | 15 | 13 | 53.6 | 3 | 1 | 75.0 | 3.90 | 1.98 | 66.3 | 1 | 0 | 100.0 | |
| P3 | 27 | 10 | 73.0 | 21 | 7 | 75.0 | 12 | 2 | 85.7 | 17 | 8 | 68.0 | 6 | 3 | 66.7 | 4.83 | 1.57 | 75.5 | 2 | 0 | 100.0 | |
| Total | 70 | 39 | 64.2 | 52 | 27 | 65.8 | 34 | 18 | 65.4 | 44 | 28 | 61.1 | 10 | 4 | 71.4 | 10.52 | 4.94 | 68.0 | 4 | 2 | 66.7 | |
Win Probability
STL Favored
BUF Favored
Goal
Power Play
Gameflow — Cumulative xG
STL
BUF
Goal
Shot Density Heatmap
BUF Attempts
STL Attempts
Individual Event Map
BUF ShootSTL Shoot
Save
Goal Against
Missed Shot Against
Player Matchup Grid
This grid shows how every skater on the home team (STL) performed against every skater on the away team (BUF) when they were on the ice at the same time.
- Rows = STL players, Columns = BUF players. Forwards are listed first, then defensemen.
- Green = the STL player had a favorable matchup (above 50%). Red = unfavorable (below 50%).
- Values shown from the home team's perspective. Toggle between CF% (shot attempt share) and xGF% (expected goal share).
- Cells with fewer than 3 shared events are grayed out (insufficient sample). Hover over any cell for full details.
| STL ↓ / BUF → | Norris | McLeod | Thompson | Ostlund | Krebs | Dunne | Benson | Malenstyn | Greenway | Doan | Tuch | Quinn | Power | Dahlin | Samuelsson | Byram | Kesselring | Metsa |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Schenn | 20 | 38 | 100 | 27 | 67 | 0 | 33 | 0 | 0 | 100 | 33 | 45 | 13 | 36 | 50 | 44 | 25 | 60 |
| Thomas | 50 | 33 | 48 | 50 | 38 | 100 | 0 | 67 | 100 | 47 | 67 | 0 | 50 | 44 | 17 | 60 | 38 | 75 |
| Stenberg | 46 | 25 | 100 | 40 | 67 | 0 | 36 | 0 | 0 | 100 | 33 | 36 | 17 | 46 | 45 | 56 | 15 | 60 |
| Sundqvist | 0 | 33 | 0 | 60 | 0 | 45 | 25 | 45 | 14 | 0 | 33 | 31 | 28 | 23 | 36 | 31 | 27 | 33 |
| Fabbri | 50 | 24 | 33 | 60 | 0 | 100 | 24 | 83 | 100 | 0 | 67 | 20 | 44 | 40 | 33 | 53 | 0 | 56 |
| Buchnevich | 0 | 50 | 38 | 33 | 33 | 100 | 0 | 67 | 100 | 37 | 50 | 0 | 33 | 22 | 17 | 63 | 38 | 83 |
| Neighbours | 33 | 50 | 41 | 50 | 38 | 100 | 0 | 50 | 100 | 40 | 75 | 0 | 33 | 20 | 29 | 57 | 44 | 86 |
| Kyrou | 25 | 25 | 100 | 31 | 100 | 0 | 30 | 20 | 25 | 100 | 31 | 36 | 14 | 40 | 44 | 56 | 10 | 57 |
| Snuggerud | 57 | 38 | 0 | 75 | 0 | 100 | 25 | 83 | 100 | 0 | 80 | 33 | 63 | 50 | 42 | 67 | 25 | 63 |
| Toropchenko | 0 | 23 | 0 | 29 | 0 | 80 | 22 | 80 | 33 | 0 | 0 | 25 | 24 | 20 | 30 | 18 | 25 | 0 |
| Dvorsky | 50 | 33 | 33 | 56 | 0 | 100 | 27 | 80 | 100 | 0 | 70 | 23 | 38 | 46 | 43 | 54 | 25 | 63 |
| Joseph | 25 | 21 | 25 | 50 | 0 | 45 | 31 | 42 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 21 | 25 | 43 | 33 | 29 | 18 | 0 |
| Fowler | 21 | 40 | 57 | 44 | 60 | 40 | 35 | 38 | 20 | 75 | 38 | 39 | 27 | 56 | 54 | 50 | 21 | 45 |
| Broberg | 19 | 25 | 29 | 43 | 33 | 75 | 15 | 75 | 67 | 26 | 44 | 27 | 25 | 28 | 35 | 33 | 23 | 75 |
| Parayko | 14 | 33 | 20 | 57 | 29 | 25 | 20 | 25 | 17 | 20 | 56 | 31 | 16 | 20 | 35 | 38 | 18 | 88 |
| Faulk | 50 | 16 | 67 | 50 | 25 | 33 | 13 | 38 | 43 | 75 | 58 | 18 | 39 | 28 | 20 | 50 | 33 | 57 |
| Tucker | 33 | 30 | 100 | 45 | 0 | 100 | 33 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 42 | 25 | 50 | 33 | 33 | 54 | 100 | 60 |
| Mailloux | 38 | 43 | 100 | 44 | 100 | 100 | 50 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 29 | 43 | 63 | 71 | 67 | 67 | 25 | 50 |
