Game Recap
The Tampa Bay Lightning defeated the Florida Panthers 4-2 on December 27, 2025. The Tampa Bay Lightning controlled play with 47.6% Corsi and generated 5.50 expected goals compared to 4.56 from the Florida Panthers at 5-on-5, suggesting the result was well-earned. The Tampa Bay Lightning created 8 high-danger scoring chances compared to 5 from the Florida Panthers at 5-on-5. Nikita Kucherov scored 2 goals. Eetu Luostarinen was the most dangerous skater with 1.73 individual expected goals on 3 shots at 5-on-5. The Florida Panthers outshot the Tampa Bay Lightning 26-25 in total shots on goal.
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- xG Gameflow — cumulative expected goals chart tracking each team's xG as Tampa Bay Lightning vs Florida Panthers progressed on Dec 27, 2025
- Shot heatmap — where shots were taken on the ice, color-coded by scoring probability
- Event timeline — every goal, penalty, and key play mapped chronologically
- Player matchup grid — head-to-head on-ice performance in Corsi and expected goals
- Strength filter — 5v5 by default, with options for power play, penalty kill, and all situations
TBL4 - 2FLA
Dec 27, 2025 · Regular Season
Overview
| Period | Corsi | Fenwick | Shots | SC | HDSC | xG | Goals | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| F | A | % | F | A | % | F | A | % | F | A | % | F | A | % | F | A | % | F | A | % | ||
| FLA | P1 | 17 | 19 | 47.2 | 13 | 16 | 44.8 | 5 | 12 | 29.4 | 9 | 12 | 42.9 | 3 | 3 | 50.0 | 3.07 | 3.35 | 47.8 | 1 | 2 | 33.3 |
| P2 | 15 | 13 | 53.6 | 11 | 9 | 55.0 | 8 | 8 | 50.0 | 10 | 10 | 50.0 | 2 | 4 | 33.3 | 1.40 | 2.44 | 36.5 | 1 | 1 | 50.0 | |
| P3 | 33 | 12 | 73.3 | 23 | 9 | 71.9 | 13 | 5 | 72.2 | 26 | 6 | 81.3 | 10 | 2 | 83.3 | 7.59 | 1.69 | 81.7 | 0 | 1 | 0.0 | |
| Total | 65 | 44 | 59.6 | 47 | 34 | 58.0 | 26 | 25 | 51.0 | 45 | 28 | 61.6 | 15 | 9 | 62.5 | 12.06 | 7.48 | 61.7 | 2 | 4 | 33.3 | |
| TBL | P1 | 19 | 17 | 52.8 | 16 | 13 | 55.2 | 12 | 5 | 70.6 | 12 | 9 | 57.1 | 3 | 3 | 50.0 | 3.35 | 3.07 | 52.2 | 2 | 1 | 66.7 |
| P2 | 13 | 15 | 46.4 | 9 | 11 | 45.0 | 8 | 8 | 50.0 | 10 | 10 | 50.0 | 4 | 2 | 66.7 | 2.44 | 1.40 | 63.5 | 1 | 1 | 50.0 | |
| P3 | 12 | 33 | 26.7 | 9 | 23 | 28.1 | 5 | 13 | 27.8 | 6 | 26 | 18.8 | 2 | 10 | 16.7 | 1.69 | 7.59 | 18.3 | 1 | 0 | 100.0 | |
| Total | 44 | 65 | 40.4 | 34 | 47 | 42.0 | 25 | 26 | 49.0 | 28 | 45 | 38.4 | 9 | 15 | 37.5 | 7.48 | 12.06 | 38.3 | 4 | 2 | 66.7 | |
Win Probability
FLA Favored
TBL Favored
Goal
Power Play
Gameflow — Cumulative xG
FLA
TBL
Goal
Shot Density Heatmap
TBL Attempts
FLA Attempts
Individual Event Map
TBL ShootFLA Shoot
Missed Shot
Hit
Hit Taken
Shot Blocked
Player Matchup Grid
This grid shows how every skater on the home team (FLA) performed against every skater on the away team (TBL) when they were on the ice at the same time.
- Rows = FLA players, Columns = TBL players. Forwards are listed first, then defensemen.
- Green = the FLA player had a favorable matchup (above 50%). Red = unfavorable (below 50%).
- Values shown from the home team's perspective. Toggle between CF% (shot attempt share) and xGF% (expected goal share).
- Cells with fewer than 3 shared events are grayed out (insufficient sample). Hover over any cell for full details.
| FLA ↓ / TBL → | Guentzel | Cirelli | Girgensons | Gourde | Point | Goncalves | Douglas | Paul | Kucherov | Holmberg | Bjorkstrand | Sabourin | Moser | Raddysh | Crozier | D'Astous | Carlile | Santini |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reinhart | 67 | 78 | 65 | 33 | 22 | 25 | 0 | 80 | 18 | 75 | 25 | 33 | 59 | 35 | 90 | 75 | 100 | 100 |
| Bennett | 67 | 72 | 33 | 29 | 40 | 50 | 0 | 43 | 25 | 38 | 50 | 0 | 65 | 38 | 74 | 18 | 70 | 67 |
| Lundell | 56 | 58 | 88 | 75 | 10 | 14 | 67 | 91 | 8 | 67 | 25 | 75 | 56 | 47 | 67 | 80 | 73 | 100 |
| Luostarinen | 75 | 85 | 90 | 80 | 38 | 33 | 100 | 91 | 38 | 75 | 50 | 75 | 70 | 64 | 82 | 86 | 91 | 100 |
| Verhaeghe | 70 | 73 | 21 | 29 | 50 | 67 | 0 | 0 | 67 | 27 | 60 | 0 | 45 | 43 | 43 | 27 | 63 | 67 |
| Rodrigues | 64 | 75 | 67 | 64 | 40 | 33 | — | 0 | 50 | 40 | 0 | 50 | 59 | 56 | 78 | 60 | 75 | 100 |
| Boqvist | 43 | 43 | 50 | 50 | 20 | 44 | 67 | 70 | 29 | 33 | 0 | 75 | 75 | 67 | 43 | 43 | 64 | 67 |
| Kunin | 40 | 40 | 50 | 0 | 50 | 75 | 33 | 50 | 50 | 0 | 0 | 57 | 75 | 67 | 50 | 43 | 60 | 25 |
| Studnicka | 40 | 40 | 50 | 0 | 0 | 67 | 40 | 57 | 33 | 0 | 0 | 67 | 75 | 50 | 50 | 33 | 75 | 33 |
| Marchand | 68 | 72 | 31 | 23 | 50 | 40 | 0 | 50 | 40 | 33 | 71 | 0 | 63 | 33 | 75 | 36 | 56 | 60 |
| Greer | 60 | 60 | 50 | 43 | 40 | 43 | 0 | 50 | 40 | 38 | 0 | 50 | 33 | 20 | 50 | 60 | 50 | 80 |
| Samoskevich | 76 | 78 | 76 | 43 | 67 | 60 | 0 | 73 | 33 | 100 | — | 50 | 72 | 56 | 100 | 40 | 77 | 88 |
| Jones | 62 | 64 | 75 | 57 | 31 | 33 | 0 | 58 | 25 | 57 | 33 | 0 | 69 | 45 | 82 | 18 | 79 | 73 |
| Ekblad | 68 | 91 | 56 | 36 | 71 | 67 | 0 | 60 | 75 | 25 | 80 | 67 | 63 | 60 | 56 | 63 | 83 | — |
| Mikkola | 47 | 40 | 71 | 67 | 33 | 38 | 67 | 50 | 31 | 40 | 40 | 67 | 58 | 50 | 45 | 31 | 50 | 67 |
| Petry | 77 | 78 | 62 | 43 | 50 | 75 | 40 | 60 | 33 | 36 | 0 | 50 | 50 | 57 | 64 | 64 | 78 | 67 |
| Forsling | 56 | 100 | 50 | 50 | 42 | 40 | 100 | 100 | 50 | 29 | 50 | 100 | 86 | 50 | 50 | 50 | 56 | 100 |
| Balinskis | 67 | 50 | 50 | 44 | 0 | 50 | 33 | 56 | 0 | 36 | 0 | 57 | 25 | 17 | 75 | 67 | 57 | 60 |