Ottawa Senators vs Toronto Maple Leafs — December 27, 2025 Game Stats

Game Recap

A wild one ended 7-5 in favor of the Toronto Maple Leafs over the Ottawa Senators on Saturday. The underlying numbers told a different story — OTT actually held the xG edge (9.47 to 7.26) at 5-on-5, but it didn't matter on the scoreboard. Knies put up 2 goals. Auston Matthews generated the most offense at even strength with 4.00 ixG on 9 shots. TOR outshot OTT 33-31.

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xG Gameflow — cumulative expected goals chart tracking each team's xG as Ottawa Senators vs Toronto Maple Leafs progressed on Dec 27, 2025
Shot heatmap — where shots were taken on the ice, color-coded by scoring probability
Event timeline — every goal, penalty, and key play mapped chronologically
Player matchup grid — head-to-head on-ice performance in Corsi and expected goals
Strength filter — 5v5 by default, with options for power play, penalty kill, and all situations

OTT5 - 7TOR

Dec 27, 2025 · Regular Season

Strength:

Overview

	Period	Corsi			Fenwick			Shots			SC			HDSC			xG			Goals
		F	A	%	F	A	%	F	A	%	F	A	%	F	A	%	F	A	%	F	A	%
TOR	P1	7	17	29.2	6	14	30.0	4	9	30.8	5	8	38.5	1	2	33.3	1.20	2.45	32.9	2	1	66.7
	P2	28	22	56.0	25	20	55.6	20	9	69.0	18	12	60.0	6	7	46.2	5.51	5.21	51.4	3	1	75.0
	P3	14	24	36.8	11	20	35.5	9	13	40.9	10	17	37.0	3	6	33.3	2.70	4.61	36.9	2	3	40.0
	Total	49	63	43.8	42	54	43.8	33	31	51.6	33	37	47.1	10	15	40.0	9.41	12.27	43.4	7	5	58.3
OTT	P1	17	7	70.8	14	6	70.0	9	4	69.2	8	5	61.5	2	1	66.7	2.45	1.20	67.1	1	2	33.3
	P2	22	28	44.0	20	25	44.4	9	20	31.0	12	18	40.0	7	6	53.8	5.21	5.51	48.6	1	3	25.0
	P3	24	14	63.2	20	11	64.5	13	9	59.1	17	10	63.0	6	3	66.7	4.61	2.70	63.1	3	2	60.0
	Total	63	49	56.3	54	42	56.3	31	33	48.4	37	33	52.9	15	10	60.0	12.27	9.41	56.6	5	7	41.7

Win Probability

TOR Favored

OTT Favored

Goal

Power Play

Gameflow — Cumulative xG

TOR

OTT

Goal

Shot Density Heatmap

OTT Attempts

TOR Attempts

Individual Event Map

Player:

OTT ShootTOR Shoot

Missed Shot

Attempt Blocked

Hit Taken

Shot Blocked

Takeaway

Giveaway

Player Matchup Grid

This grid shows how every skater on the home team (TOR) performed against every skater on the away team (OTT) when they were on the ice at the same time.

Rows = TOR players, Columns = OTT players. Forwards are listed first, then defensemen.
Green = the TOR player had a favorable matchup (above 50%). Red = unfavorable (below 50%).
Values shown from the home team's perspective. Toggle between CF% (shot attempt share) and xGF% (expected goal share).
Cells with fewer than 3 shared events are grayed out (insufficient sample). Hover over any cell for full details.

Stat:

TOR ↓ / OTT →	Stützle	Cozens	Greig	Halliday	Cousins	Tkachuk	Zetterlund	Perron	Giroux	Batherson	Amadio	Bourgault	Sanderson	Chabot	Zub	Spence	Jensen	Matinpalo
Matthews	33	40	87	60	0	24	36	33	70	33	90	0	39	61	50	59	83	71
McMann	41	44	80	50	0	31	40	38	70	38	76	0	50	55	68	50	71	71
Domi	37	67	81	57	0	17	32	40	76	67	85	0	46	64	56	58	60	57
Tavares	31	50	25	40	50	33	20	50	33	50	30	100	38	35	46	33	100	100
Laughton	47	40	50	0	22	33	40	33	38	38	50	25	41	14	38	8	62	64
Lorentz	46	40	50	0	20	36	38	33	38	38	50	25	41	18	38	11	64	67
Joshua	46	38	50	0	20	33	43	38	42	35	50	25	39	20	33	11	64	67
Roy	67	40	80	46	40	0	0	100	80	43	90	36	67	60	88	44	40	33
Knies	50	55	80	46	45	13	33	71	75	54	88	42	60	56	78	50	55	45
Maccelli	45	50	20	25	50	50	43	44	30	50	27	100	33	35	40	31	80	75
Robertson	100	40	100	50	63	0	100	100	100	33	100	56	80	78	86	60	56	50
Nylander	25	40	50	—	—	0	0	40	25	40	50	—	33	33	33	33	—	—
Stecher	37	41	73	25	38	15	55	54	55	42	73	38	44	50	62	50	64	50
Tanev	28	33	67	40	25	26	27	43	50	33	64	29	19	30	23	26	62	62
McCabe	40	31	67	60	29	30	32	25	56	21	92	33	24	41	38	32	67	67
Rielly	35	29	60	33	25	17	43	27	48	35	67	33	35	44	56	38	60	60
Ekman-Larsson	25	55	67	33	38	14	25	58	60	57	55	38	58	37	57	35	58	44
Myers	43	67	56	33	33	25	20	29	50	40	58	50	54	36	50	45	50	50