Game Recap
After a back-and-forth affair, the Buffalo Sabres pulled out a 3-2 win in overtime on Tuesday. BUF got the two points, but OTT held a 7.72-4.08 expected goals edge at even strength. Byram put up 2 goals. OTT generated 8 high-danger looks compared to just 4 from BUF. Shots on goal: OTT 26, BUF 25.
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- xG Gameflow — cumulative expected goals chart tracking each team's xG as Buffalo Sabres vs Ottawa Senators progressed on Dec 23, 2025
- Shot heatmap — where shots were taken on the ice, color-coded by scoring probability
- Event timeline — every goal, penalty, and key play mapped chronologically
- Player matchup grid — head-to-head on-ice performance in Corsi and expected goals
- Strength filter — 5v5 by default, with options for power play, penalty kill, and all situations
BUF3 - 2OTT (OT)
Dec 23, 2025 · Regular Season
Overview
| Period | Corsi | Fenwick | Shots | SC | HDSC | xG | Goals | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| F | A | % | F | A | % | F | A | % | F | A | % | F | A | % | F | A | % | F | A | % | ||
| OTT | P1 | 23 | 18 | 56.1 | 17 | 16 | 51.5 | 11 | 12 | 47.8 | 13 | 12 | 52.0 | 3 | 2 | 60.0 | 3.73 | 2.85 | 56.7 | 1 | 1 | 50.0 |
| P2 | 21 | 16 | 56.8 | 13 | 10 | 56.5 | 8 | 8 | 50.0 | 13 | 12 | 52.0 | 4 | 5 | 44.4 | 1.92 | 2.15 | 47.1 | 1 | 1 | 50.0 | |
| P3 | 19 | 6 | 76.0 | 15 | 5 | 75.0 | 7 | 4 | 63.6 | 13 | 2 | 86.7 | 4 | 0 | 100.0 | 3.91 | 0.65 | 85.8 | 0 | 0 | — | |
| OT | 0 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | — | 0.00 | 0.13 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 | 0.0 | |
| Total | 63 | 41 | 60.6 | 45 | 32 | 58.4 | 26 | 25 | 51.0 | 39 | 27 | 59.1 | 11 | 7 | 61.1 | 9.56 | 5.78 | 62.3 | 2 | 3 | 40.0 | |
| BUF | P1 | 18 | 23 | 43.9 | 16 | 17 | 48.5 | 12 | 11 | 52.2 | 12 | 13 | 48.0 | 2 | 3 | 40.0 | 2.85 | 3.73 | 43.3 | 1 | 1 | 50.0 |
| P2 | 16 | 21 | 43.2 | 10 | 13 | 43.5 | 8 | 8 | 50.0 | 12 | 13 | 48.0 | 5 | 4 | 55.6 | 2.15 | 1.92 | 52.9 | 1 | 1 | 50.0 | |
| P3 | 6 | 19 | 24.0 | 5 | 15 | 25.0 | 4 | 7 | 36.4 | 2 | 13 | 13.3 | 0 | 4 | 0.0 | 0.65 | 3.91 | 14.2 | 0 | 0 | — | |
| OT | 1 | 0 | 100.0 | 1 | 0 | 100.0 | 1 | 0 | 100.0 | 1 | 0 | 100.0 | 0 | 0 | — | 0.13 | 0.00 | 100.0 | 1 | 0 | 100.0 | |
| Total | 41 | 63 | 39.4 | 32 | 45 | 41.6 | 25 | 26 | 49.0 | 27 | 39 | 40.9 | 7 | 11 | 38.9 | 5.78 | 9.56 | 37.7 | 3 | 2 | 60.0 | |
Win Probability
OTT Favored
BUF Favored
Goal
Power Play
Gameflow — Cumulative xG
OTT
BUF
Goal
Shot Density Heatmap
BUF Attempts
OTT Attempts
Individual Event Map
BUF ShootOTT Shoot
Save
Goal Against
Missed Shot Against
Player Matchup Grid
This grid shows how every skater on the home team (OTT) performed against every skater on the away team (BUF) when they were on the ice at the same time.
- Rows = OTT players, Columns = BUF players. Forwards are listed first, then defensemen.
- Green = the OTT player had a favorable matchup (above 50%). Red = unfavorable (below 50%).
- Values shown from the home team's perspective. Toggle between CF% (shot attempt share) and xGF% (expected goal share).
- Cells with fewer than 3 shared events are grayed out (insufficient sample). Hover over any cell for full details.
| OTT ↓ / BUF → | McLeod | Thompson | Norris | Ostlund | Dunne | Krebs | Malenstyn | Greenway | Benson | Tuch | Doan | Quinn | Samuelsson | Dahlin | Byram | Power | Kesselring | Metsa |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stützle | 63 | 44 | 55 | 83 | 38 | 67 | 50 | 58 | 60 | 79 | 100 | 50 | 59 | 47 | 55 | 71 | 70 | 83 |
| Cozens | 75 | 100 | 55 | 60 | 33 | 100 | 67 | 80 | 78 | 57 | 100 | 78 | 77 | 63 | 67 | 80 | 73 | 29 |
| Greig | 33 | 53 | 0 | — | 67 | 65 | 67 | 67 | 100 | 20 | 65 | 0 | 67 | 54 | 50 | 33 | 50 | 75 |
| Halliday | 100 | 0 | — | 100 | 44 | 0 | 40 | 33 | 100 | 100 | 0 | 100 | 83 | 63 | 80 | 25 | 33 | 33 |
| Cousins | 100 | 0 | 100 | 100 | 38 | 0 | 33 | 25 | 100 | 100 | 0 | 100 | 90 | 57 | 75 | 0 | 0 | 71 |
| Zetterlund | 65 | 57 | 75 | 83 | 50 | 67 | 46 | 40 | 57 | 83 | 100 | 56 | 61 | 61 | 67 | 58 | 63 | 50 |
| Tkachuk | 61 | 67 | 83 | 89 | 44 | 67 | 57 | 50 | 54 | 78 | 100 | 53 | 66 | 57 | 58 | 67 | 63 | 80 |
| Perron | 77 | 100 | 58 | 61 | 33 | 100 | 50 | 67 | 78 | 63 | 100 | 75 | 77 | 60 | 60 | 86 | 73 | 29 |
| MacDermid | — | 0 | — | — | 17 | 0 | 17 | 17 | — | — | 0 | — | 50 | 33 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Batherson | 80 | 100 | 54 | 63 | 0 | 100 | 60 | 80 | 78 | 65 | 100 | 75 | 76 | 60 | 64 | 81 | 73 | 44 |
| Giroux | 100 | 63 | — | — | 67 | 65 | 75 | 67 | 100 | 100 | 65 | — | 100 | 73 | 78 | 56 | 50 | 75 |
| Amadio | 33 | 63 | — | — | 67 | 65 | 67 | 67 | 100 | 20 | 65 | 0 | 100 | 70 | 50 | 33 | 50 | 75 |
| Chabot | 64 | 0 | 78 | 86 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 0 | 67 | 68 | 0 | 56 | 67 | 73 | 40 | 56 | 86 | 56 |
| Jensen | 46 | 50 | 55 | 64 | 42 | 100 | 38 | 33 | 57 | 44 | 100 | 42 | 69 | 45 | 43 | 40 | 42 | 43 |
| Sanderson | 75 | 58 | 0 | 50 | 57 | 67 | 70 | 78 | 100 | 50 | 73 | 33 | 70 | 53 | 77 | 64 | 63 | 75 |
| Spence | 75 | 0 | 75 | 92 | 33 | 50 | 29 | 0 | 64 | 85 | 50 | 71 | 67 | 67 | 64 | 70 | 83 | 67 |
| Matinpalo | 56 | 50 | 55 | 54 | 40 | 100 | 36 | 36 | 57 | 50 | 100 | 63 | 64 | 40 | 50 | 53 | 45 | 38 |
| Zub | 67 | 58 | 0 | 0 | 60 | 67 | 60 | 75 | 100 | 50 | 73 | 0 | 61 | 53 | 73 | 56 | 60 | 75 |
