Game Recap
The Tampa Bay Lightning defeated the St. Louis Blues 4-1 on December 22, 2025. Expected goals were closely matched at 5-on-5 (TBL 6.45, STL 6.44), making this a tightly contested game on both sides of the puck. The Tampa Bay Lightning created 9 high-danger scoring chances compared to 8 from the St. Louis Blues at 5-on-5. Jake Guentzel was the most dangerous skater with 2.11 individual expected goals on 1 shots at 5-on-5. The St. Louis Blues outshot the Tampa Bay Lightning 24-17 in total shots on goal.
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- xG Gameflow — cumulative expected goals chart tracking each team's xG as St. Louis Blues vs Tampa Bay Lightning progressed on Dec 22, 2025
- Shot heatmap — where shots were taken on the ice, color-coded by scoring probability
- Event timeline — every goal, penalty, and key play mapped chronologically
- Player matchup grid — head-to-head on-ice performance in Corsi and expected goals
- Strength filter — 5v5 by default, with options for power play, penalty kill, and all situations
STL1 - 4TBL
Dec 22, 2025 · Regular Season
Overview
| Period | Corsi | Fenwick | Shots | SC | HDSC | xG | Goals | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| F | A | % | F | A | % | F | A | % | F | A | % | F | A | % | F | A | % | F | A | % | ||
| TBL | P1 | 22 | 13 | 62.9 | 14 | 9 | 60.9 | 6 | 5 | 54.5 | 17 | 11 | 60.7 | 6 | 2 | 75.0 | 3.31 | 1.90 | 63.5 | 2 | 0 | 100.0 |
| P2 | 20 | 16 | 55.6 | 12 | 13 | 48.0 | 7 | 11 | 38.9 | 14 | 12 | 53.8 | 6 | 4 | 60.0 | 4.01 | 3.40 | 54.1 | 1 | 1 | 50.0 | |
| P3 | 6 | 22 | 21.4 | 5 | 13 | 27.8 | 4 | 8 | 33.3 | 4 | 14 | 22.2 | 1 | 4 | 20.0 | 0.91 | 2.73 | 24.9 | 1 | 0 | 100.0 | |
| Total | 48 | 51 | 48.5 | 31 | 35 | 47.0 | 17 | 24 | 41.5 | 35 | 37 | 48.6 | 13 | 10 | 56.5 | 8.22 | 8.03 | 50.6 | 4 | 1 | 80.0 | |
| STL | P1 | 13 | 22 | 37.1 | 9 | 14 | 39.1 | 5 | 6 | 45.5 | 11 | 17 | 39.3 | 2 | 6 | 25.0 | 1.90 | 3.31 | 36.5 | 0 | 2 | 0.0 |
| P2 | 16 | 20 | 44.4 | 13 | 12 | 52.0 | 11 | 7 | 61.1 | 12 | 14 | 46.2 | 4 | 6 | 40.0 | 3.40 | 4.01 | 45.9 | 1 | 1 | 50.0 | |
| P3 | 22 | 6 | 78.6 | 13 | 5 | 72.2 | 8 | 4 | 66.7 | 14 | 4 | 77.8 | 4 | 1 | 80.0 | 2.73 | 0.91 | 75.1 | 0 | 1 | 0.0 | |
| Total | 51 | 48 | 51.5 | 35 | 31 | 53.0 | 24 | 17 | 58.5 | 37 | 35 | 51.4 | 10 | 13 | 43.5 | 8.03 | 8.22 | 49.4 | 1 | 4 | 20.0 | |
Win Probability
TBL Favored
STL Favored
Goal
Power Play
Gameflow — Cumulative xG
TBL
STL
Goal
Shot Density Heatmap
STL Attempts
TBL Attempts
Individual Event Map
STL ShootTBL Shoot
Hit
Hit Taken
Shot Blocked
Player Matchup Grid
This grid shows how every skater on the home team (TBL) performed against every skater on the away team (STL) when they were on the ice at the same time.
- Rows = TBL players, Columns = STL players. Forwards are listed first, then defensemen.
- Green = the TBL player had a favorable matchup (above 50%). Red = unfavorable (below 50%).
- Values shown from the home team's perspective. Toggle between CF% (shot attempt share) and xGF% (expected goal share).
- Cells with fewer than 3 shared events are grayed out (insufficient sample). Hover over any cell for full details.
| TBL ↓ / STL → | Schenn | Thomas | Fabbri | Stenberg | Sundqvist | Suter | Neighbours | Buchnevich | Berggren | Dvorsky | Joseph | Toropchenko | Broberg | Faulk | Parayko | Fowler | Tucker | Mailloux |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Guentzel | 38 | 83 | 57 | 54 | 40 | 67 | 55 | 100 | 100 | 60 | 71 | 67 | 38 | 77 | 50 | 67 | 71 | 67 |
| Point | 50 | 82 | 47 | 43 | 0 | 50 | 50 | 80 | 33 | 54 | 50 | 33 | 33 | 67 | 29 | 100 | 71 | 50 |
| Gourde | 25 | 33 | 38 | 40 | 0 | 27 | 29 | 0 | 33 | 36 | 50 | 0 | 31 | 33 | 21 | 29 | 38 | 20 |
| Cirelli | 20 | 57 | 100 | 33 | 20 | 50 | 40 | 63 | 75 | 50 | 50 | 50 | 50 | 60 | 54 | 55 | 33 | 75 |
| Girgensons | 14 | 61 | 50 | 33 | 33 | 50 | 27 | 61 | 73 | 67 | 25 | 50 | 54 | 33 | 58 | 46 | 40 | 67 |
| James | 20 | 75 | 33 | 20 | 64 | 100 | 17 | 75 | 67 | 40 | 58 | 70 | 67 | 36 | 57 | 70 | 20 | 63 |
| Goncalves | 25 | 67 | 40 | 25 | 70 | 100 | 20 | 67 | 50 | 40 | 58 | 75 | 75 | 50 | 60 | 75 | 25 | 63 |
| Finley | 0 | 67 | 40 | 0 | 70 | 100 | 0 | 67 | 50 | 40 | 50 | 70 | 75 | 27 | 60 | 58 | 14 | 63 |
| Paul | 42 | 100 | 50 | 58 | 67 | 20 | 45 | 100 | 100 | 50 | 100 | 100 | 40 | 64 | 33 | 25 | 60 | 33 |
| Bjorkstrand | 50 | 100 | 57 | 58 | 100 | 57 | 50 | 100 | 100 | 67 | 83 | 80 | 43 | 79 | 50 | 80 | 77 | 50 |
| Kucherov | 50 | 82 | 53 | 40 | 0 | 40 | 40 | 80 | 33 | 58 | 67 | 0 | 36 | 65 | 31 | 100 | 73 | 50 |
| Holmberg | 17 | 61 | 67 | 33 | 100 | 50 | 27 | 61 | 73 | 100 | 33 | 100 | 58 | 33 | 58 | 50 | 50 | 67 |
| Moser | 40 | 55 | 67 | 75 | 25 | 33 | 50 | 58 | 71 | 50 | 43 | 50 | 39 | 73 | 44 | 45 | 78 | 71 |
| Raddysh | 50 | 69 | 40 | 57 | 33 | 43 | 40 | 69 | 67 | 80 | 57 | 43 | 38 | 82 | 40 | 78 | 80 | 71 |
| D'Astous | 39 | 60 | 45 | 39 | 0 | 67 | 33 | 50 | 33 | 57 | — | 0 | 38 | 45 | 25 | 38 | 47 | 22 |
| McDonagh | 28 | 43 | 63 | 33 | 0 | 100 | 33 | 60 | 43 | 56 | 0 | 0 | 60 | 39 | 50 | 36 | 38 | 30 |
| Crozier | 0 | 100 | 44 | 0 | 75 | 36 | 0 | 100 | 100 | 41 | 63 | 82 | 67 | 38 | 55 | 60 | 33 | 88 |
| Carlile | 0 | 100 | 33 | 0 | 64 | 27 | — | 100 | 100 | 31 | 63 | 69 | 60 | 38 | 50 | 64 | 27 | 83 |
