Carolina Hurricanes vs Tampa Bay Lightning — December 20, 2025 Game Stats

Game Recap

The Tampa Bay Lightning defeated the Carolina Hurricanes 6-4 on December 20, 2025. The Tampa Bay Lightning controlled play with 59.6% Corsi and generated 10.12 expected goals compared to 3.40 from the Carolina Hurricanes at 5-on-5, suggesting the result was well-earned. The Tampa Bay Lightning created 14 high-danger scoring chances compared to 6 from the Carolina Hurricanes at 5-on-5. Jake Guentzel scored 2 goals. Yanni Gourde was the most dangerous skater with 1.73 individual expected goals on 2 shots at 5-on-5. The Tampa Bay Lightning outshot the Carolina Hurricanes 29-22 in total shots on goal.

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xG Gameflow — cumulative expected goals chart tracking each team's xG as Carolina Hurricanes vs Tampa Bay Lightning progressed on Dec 20, 2025
Shot heatmap — where shots were taken on the ice, color-coded by scoring probability
Event timeline — every goal, penalty, and key play mapped chronologically
Player matchup grid — head-to-head on-ice performance in Corsi and expected goals
Strength filter — 5v5 by default, with options for power play, penalty kill, and all situations

CAR4 - 6TBL

Dec 20, 2025 · Regular Season

Strength:

Overview

	Period	Corsi			Fenwick			Shots			SC			HDSC			xG			Goals
		F	A	%	F	A	%	F	A	%	F	A	%	F	A	%	F	A	%	F	A	%
TBL	P1	13	15	46.4	10	13	43.5	6	10	37.5	10	11	47.6	2	1	66.7	2.15	2.87	42.9	0	3	0.0
	P2	27	19	58.7	21	12	63.6	14	6	70.0	19	11	63.3	7	2	77.8	5.51	0.89	86.0	3	0	100.0
	P3	21	16	56.8	14	10	58.3	9	6	60.0	12	12	50.0	5	5	50.0	3.50	1.99	63.7	3	1	75.0
	Total	61	50	55.0	45	35	56.3	29	22	56.9	41	34	54.7	14	8	63.6	11.16	5.76	66.0	6	4	60.0
CAR	P1	15	13	53.6	13	10	56.5	10	6	62.5	11	10	52.4	1	2	33.3	2.87	2.15	57.1	3	0	100.0
	P2	19	27	41.3	12	21	36.4	6	14	30.0	11	19	36.7	2	7	22.2	0.89	5.51	14.0	0	3	0.0
	P3	16	21	43.2	10	14	41.7	6	9	40.0	12	12	50.0	5	5	50.0	1.99	3.50	36.3	1	3	25.0
	Total	50	61	45.0	35	45	43.8	22	29	43.1	34	41	45.3	8	14	36.4	5.76	11.16	34.0	4	6	40.0

Win Probability

TBL Favored

CAR Favored

Goal

Power Play

Gameflow — Cumulative xG

TBL

CAR

Goal

Shot Density Heatmap

CAR Attempts

TBL Attempts

Individual Event Map

Player:

CAR ShootTBL Shoot

Missed Shot

Attempt Blocked

Hit

Hit Taken

Shot Blocked

Takeaway

Giveaway

Player Matchup Grid

This grid shows how every skater on the home team (TBL) performed against every skater on the away team (CAR) when they were on the ice at the same time.

Rows = TBL players, Columns = CAR players. Forwards are listed first, then defensemen.
Green = the TBL player had a favorable matchup (above 50%). Red = unfavorable (below 50%).
Values shown from the home team's perspective. Toggle between CF% (shot attempt share) and xGF% (expected goal share).
Cells with fewer than 3 shared events are grayed out (insufficient sample). Hover over any cell for full details.

Stat:

TBL ↓ / CAR →	Aho	Staal	Stankoven	Kotkaniemi	Ehlers	Nadeau	Hall	Robinson	Jankowski	Carrier	Blake	Svechnikov	Chatfield	Gostisbehere	Nikishin	Miller	Walker	Reilly
Cirelli	55	100	57	30	47	38	70	100	43	75	61	35	75	45	36	79	65	79
Guentzel	40	69	67	29	56	50	67	63	25	50	50	25	73	44	44	64	43	88
Point	64	86	50	57	53	67	42	82	57	67	63	67	65	63	50	64	56	88
Gourde	89	75	50	57	70	50	45	80	80	71	75	90	69	89	25	71	80	100
Girgensons	68	100	38	13	67	30	67	100	25	100	68	45	70	57	33	80	78	73
James	100	43	67	67	29	33	67	50	80	50	100	100	60	100	17	50	43	73
Finley	100	33	100	67	20	33	100	50	67	50	100	100	75	100	17	67	43	63
Goncalves	100	43	80	33	29	20	80	50	60	50	100	80	71	80	17	67	33	64
Paul	67	64	67	20	69	57	67	0	38	0	50	40	60	55	56	43	57	89
Kucherov	56	86	57	63	55	50	50	82	63	70	64	57	71	60	40	70	50	88
Bjorkstrand	67	58	80	25	73	62	75	25	17	0	75	0	64	50	60	43	50	86
Holmberg	72	100	80	25	100	50	87	100	25	100	74	50	73	62	60	82	78	73
Moser	57	60	60	31	39	32	65	100	36	88	65	41	71	43	18	70	53	77
Raddysh	65	67	54	25	42	27	62	82	33	70	74	50	82	36	27	78	53	64
Crozier	80	50	14	38	54	58	20	36	38	42	80	75	33	50	50	30	56	63
McDonagh	55	71	67	40	58	50	75	100	67	100	39	44	69	62	29	64	50	88
Carlile	100	50	25	50	64	64	33	36	43	42	100	100	44	60	55	43	56	63
D'Astous	69	75	73	25	74	40	77	100	75	—	69	62	75	93	42	75	50	94