Game Recap
The Colorado Avalanche prevailed 5-3 in a high-scoring affair against the Seattle Kraken on December 16, 2025. SEA had a big edge in high-danger chances, 18-14 over COL at 5-on-5. Keep an eye on Nelson — 3.35 individual xG on 5 shots at 5-on-5. The underlying numbers told a different story — SEA actually held the xG edge (11.91 to 10.18) at 5-on-5, but it didn't matter on the scoreboard. Nathan MacKinnon had a 2-goal game.
← Back to Games

- xG Gameflow — cumulative expected goals chart tracking each team's xG as Colorado Avalanche vs Seattle Kraken progressed on Dec 16, 2025
- Shot heatmap — where shots were taken on the ice, color-coded by scoring probability
- Event timeline — every goal, penalty, and key play mapped chronologically
- Player matchup grid — head-to-head on-ice performance in Corsi and expected goals
- Strength filter — 5v5 by default, with options for power play, penalty kill, and all situations
COL5 - 3SEA
Dec 16, 2025 · Regular Season
Overview
| Period | Corsi | Fenwick | Shots | SC | HDSC | xG | Goals | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| F | A | % | F | A | % | F | A | % | F | A | % | F | A | % | F | A | % | F | A | % | ||
| SEA | P1 | 26 | 25 | 51.0 | 19 | 13 | 59.4 | 11 | 8 | 57.9 | 19 | 17 | 52.8 | 8 | 5 | 61.5 | 5.36 | 2.78 | 65.8 | 0 | 1 | 0.0 |
| P2 | 24 | 33 | 42.1 | 17 | 24 | 41.5 | 13 | 15 | 46.4 | 17 | 24 | 41.5 | 9 | 9 | 50.0 | 5.10 | 6.12 | 45.5 | 3 | 1 | 75.0 | |
| P3 | 23 | 27 | 46.0 | 19 | 21 | 47.5 | 14 | 16 | 46.7 | 14 | 18 | 43.8 | 9 | 4 | 69.2 | 6.60 | 4.58 | 59.0 | 0 | 3 | 0.0 | |
| Total | 73 | 85 | 46.2 | 55 | 58 | 48.7 | 38 | 39 | 49.4 | 50 | 59 | 45.9 | 26 | 18 | 59.1 | 17.06 | 13.48 | 55.9 | 3 | 5 | 37.5 | |
| COL | P1 | 25 | 26 | 49.0 | 13 | 19 | 40.6 | 8 | 11 | 42.1 | 17 | 19 | 47.2 | 5 | 8 | 38.5 | 2.78 | 5.36 | 34.2 | 1 | 0 | 100.0 |
| P2 | 33 | 24 | 57.9 | 24 | 17 | 58.5 | 15 | 13 | 53.6 | 24 | 17 | 58.5 | 9 | 9 | 50.0 | 6.12 | 5.10 | 54.5 | 1 | 3 | 25.0 | |
| P3 | 27 | 23 | 54.0 | 21 | 19 | 52.5 | 16 | 14 | 53.3 | 18 | 14 | 56.3 | 4 | 9 | 30.8 | 4.58 | 6.60 | 41.0 | 3 | 0 | 100.0 | |
| Total | 85 | 73 | 53.8 | 58 | 55 | 51.3 | 39 | 38 | 50.6 | 59 | 50 | 54.1 | 18 | 26 | 40.9 | 13.48 | 17.06 | 44.1 | 5 | 3 | 62.5 | |
Win Probability
SEA Favored
COL Favored
Goal
Power Play
Gameflow — Cumulative xG
SEA
COL
Goal
Shot Density Heatmap
COL Attempts
SEA Attempts
Individual Event Map
COL ShootSEA Shoot
Shot on Net
Missed Shot
Hit
Shot Blocked
Takeaway
Giveaway
Player Matchup Grid
This grid shows how every skater on the home team (SEA) performed against every skater on the away team (COL) when they were on the ice at the same time.
- Rows = SEA players, Columns = COL players. Forwards are listed first, then defensemen.
- Green = the SEA player had a favorable matchup (above 50%). Red = unfavorable (below 50%).
- Values shown from the home team's perspective. Toggle between CF% (shot attempt share) and xGF% (expected goal share).
- Cells with fewer than 3 shared events are grayed out (insufficient sample). Hover over any cell for full details.
| SEA ↓ / COL → | MacKinnon | Necas | Nelson | Brindley | Kelly | Drury | Colton | Landeskog | Lehkonen | Olofsson | Kiviranta | Nichushkin | Makar | Toews | Malinski | Burns | Girard | Manson |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stephenson | 39 | 38 | 22 | 0 | 91 | 92 | 0 | 36 | 50 | 50 | 0 | 50 | 46 | 74 | 55 | 30 | 64 | 52 |
| Gaudreau | 43 | 38 | 19 | 0 | 25 | 50 | 0 | 40 | 42 | 25 | 0 | 55 | 54 | 60 | 44 | 25 | 38 | 35 |
| Beniers | 27 | 10 | 54 | 63 | 63 | 63 | 63 | 47 | 33 | 56 | 14 | 52 | 36 | 56 | 50 | 42 | 57 | 56 |
| Wright | 57 | 88 | 36 | 63 | 80 | 100 | 75 | 13 | 89 | 62 | 50 | 36 | 53 | 55 | 67 | 50 | 72 | 100 |
| Meyers | 25 | 15 | 0 | 33 | 10 | 11 | 33 | 20 | 0 | 33 | 11 | 67 | 25 | 27 | 40 | 100 | 13 | 0 |
| Winterton | 63 | 60 | 100 | 100 | 13 | 13 | 100 | 75 | 33 | 100 | 22 | 67 | 50 | 33 | 63 | 100 | 33 | 50 |
| Marchment | 18 | 13 | 44 | 57 | 25 | 29 | 57 | 38 | 25 | 57 | 14 | 44 | 50 | 48 | 33 | 32 | 38 | 38 |
| Tolvanen | 39 | 34 | 22 | 0 | 91 | 91 | 0 | 38 | 50 | 33 | 0 | 67 | 42 | 77 | 55 | 40 | 62 | 58 |
| Eberle | 43 | 33 | 52 | 63 | 63 | 63 | 63 | 50 | 43 | 63 | 0 | 54 | 55 | 64 | 45 | 44 | 54 | 56 |
| Kakko | 50 | 73 | 36 | 63 | 67 | 83 | 75 | 13 | 75 | 62 | 33 | 36 | 48 | 50 | 64 | 50 | 70 | 100 |
| Nyman | 54 | 88 | 43 | 68 | 50 | 67 | 81 | 25 | 100 | 67 | 33 | 38 | 50 | 56 | 87 | 33 | 76 | 50 |
| Melanson | 50 | 50 | — | 100 | 13 | 14 | 100 | — | 100 | 100 | 14 | — | 33 | 20 | 25 | — | 25 | 100 |
| Larsson | 35 | 35 | 30 | 14 | 29 | 29 | 20 | 29 | 55 | 20 | 17 | 50 | 36 | 45 | 47 | 32 | 50 | 40 |
| Dunn | 44 | 43 | 38 | 0 | 59 | 61 | 0 | 35 | 50 | 17 | 0 | 50 | 44 | 45 | 56 | 33 | 63 | 49 |
| Lindgren | 29 | 30 | 30 | 38 | 0 | 0 | 38 | 40 | 25 | 29 | 0 | 48 | 33 | 57 | 40 | 50 | 33 | 50 |
| Evans | 8 | 18 | 13 | 57 | 11 | 22 | 63 | 15 | 33 | 67 | 22 | 11 | 20 | 28 | 48 | 29 | 55 | 67 |
| Oleksiak | 35 | 40 | 9 | 72 | 13 | 14 | 81 | 11 | 67 | 81 | 14 | 17 | 41 | 53 | 59 | 33 | 67 | 50 |
| Montour | 89 | 100 | 56 | 80 | 50 | 100 | 80 | 64 | — | 75 | 0 | 60 | 86 | 92 | 73 | 40 | 56 | 50 |
