Game Recap
The Florida Panthers defeated the Tampa Bay Lightning 5-2 on December 15, 2025. Expected goals were closely matched at 5-on-5 (TBL 4.13, FLA 4.54), making this a tightly contested game on both sides of the puck. The Tampa Bay Lightning created 5 high-danger scoring chances compared to 4 from the Florida Panthers at 5-on-5. Sam Reinhart scored 2 goals. Evan Rodrigues was the most dangerous skater with 1.16 individual expected goals on 3 shots at 5-on-5. The Tampa Bay Lightning outshot the Florida Panthers 28-24 in total shots on goal.
← Back to Games

- xG Gameflow — cumulative expected goals chart tracking each team's xG as Florida Panthers vs Tampa Bay Lightning progressed on Dec 15, 2025
- Shot heatmap — where shots were taken on the ice, color-coded by scoring probability
- Event timeline — every goal, penalty, and key play mapped chronologically
- Player matchup grid — head-to-head on-ice performance in Corsi and expected goals
- Strength filter — 5v5 by default, with options for power play, penalty kill, and all situations
FLA5 - 2TBL
Dec 15, 2025 · Regular Season
Overview
| Period | Corsi | Fenwick | Shots | SC | HDSC | xG | Goals | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| F | A | % | F | A | % | F | A | % | F | A | % | F | A | % | F | A | % | F | A | % | ||
| TBL | P1 | 29 | 12 | 70.7 | 23 | 10 | 69.7 | 13 | 8 | 61.9 | 16 | 8 | 66.7 | 3 | 1 | 75.0 | 3.20 | 1.67 | 65.8 | 0 | 2 | 0.0 |
| P2 | 12 | 19 | 38.7 | 9 | 16 | 36.0 | 5 | 13 | 27.8 | 8 | 15 | 34.8 | 2 | 6 | 25.0 | 1.56 | 4.22 | 27.0 | 1 | 2 | 33.3 | |
| P3 | 22 | 3 | 88.0 | 14 | 3 | 82.4 | 10 | 3 | 76.9 | 11 | 1 | 91.7 | 1 | 1 | 50.0 | 1.19 | 0.71 | 62.7 | 1 | 1 | 50.0 | |
| Total | 63 | 34 | 64.9 | 46 | 29 | 61.3 | 28 | 24 | 53.8 | 35 | 24 | 59.3 | 6 | 8 | 42.9 | 5.96 | 6.59 | 47.5 | 2 | 5 | 28.6 | |
| FLA | P1 | 12 | 29 | 29.3 | 10 | 23 | 30.3 | 8 | 13 | 38.1 | 8 | 16 | 33.3 | 1 | 3 | 25.0 | 1.67 | 3.20 | 34.2 | 2 | 0 | 100.0 |
| P2 | 19 | 12 | 61.3 | 16 | 9 | 64.0 | 13 | 5 | 72.2 | 15 | 8 | 65.2 | 6 | 2 | 75.0 | 4.22 | 1.56 | 73.0 | 2 | 1 | 66.7 | |
| P3 | 3 | 22 | 12.0 | 3 | 14 | 17.6 | 3 | 10 | 23.1 | 1 | 11 | 8.3 | 1 | 1 | 50.0 | 0.71 | 1.19 | 37.3 | 1 | 1 | 50.0 | |
| Total | 34 | 63 | 35.1 | 29 | 46 | 38.7 | 24 | 28 | 46.2 | 24 | 35 | 40.7 | 8 | 6 | 57.1 | 6.59 | 5.96 | 52.5 | 5 | 2 | 71.4 | |
Win Probability
TBL Favored
FLA Favored
Goal
Power Play
Gameflow — Cumulative xG
TBL
FLA
Goal
Shot Density Heatmap
FLA Attempts
TBL Attempts
Individual Event Map
FLA ShootTBL Shoot
Shot on Net
Missed Shot
Attempt Blocked
Hit Taken
Player Matchup Grid
This grid shows how every skater on the home team (TBL) performed against every skater on the away team (FLA) when they were on the ice at the same time.
- Rows = TBL players, Columns = FLA players. Forwards are listed first, then defensemen.
- Green = the TBL player had a favorable matchup (above 50%). Red = unfavorable (below 50%).
- Values shown from the home team's perspective. Toggle between CF% (shot attempt share) and xGF% (expected goal share).
- Cells with fewer than 3 shared events are grayed out (insufficient sample). Hover over any cell for full details.
| TBL ↓ / FLA → | Reinhart | Lundell | Rodrigues | Bennett | Verhaeghe | Luostarinen | Boqvist | Studnicka | Marchand | Greer | Gregor | Samoskevich | Ekblad | Jones | Mikkola | Forsling | Balinskis | Petry |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gourde | 69 | 72 | 33 | 20 | 11 | 93 | 50 | 0 | 25 | 25 | 0 | 33 | 75 | 38 | 38 | 100 | 79 | 67 |
| Cirelli | 36 | 80 | 47 | 11 | 0 | 75 | 100 | 100 | 0 | 57 | 100 | 36 | 63 | 30 | 86 | 53 | 50 | 33 |
| Guentzel | 83 | 83 | 64 | 100 | 100 | 83 | 67 | 67 | 89 | 57 | 75 | 50 | 92 | 67 | 83 | 89 | 63 | 60 |
| Point | 71 | 63 | 55 | 88 | 67 | 86 | 57 | 67 | 80 | 38 | 75 | 25 | 79 | 60 | 83 | 89 | 38 | 43 |
| Girgensons | 67 | 67 | 0 | 11 | 11 | 93 | 100 | — | 25 | 0 | — | 17 | 60 | 20 | 33 | 100 | 71 | 67 |
| Douglas | 0 | 0 | 67 | 75 | 75 | 0 | 50 | 50 | 67 | 67 | 50 | 67 | 25 | 100 | 86 | 0 | 50 | 67 |
| Hagel | 40 | 67 | 50 | 13 | 0 | 100 | 71 | 80 | 0 | 58 | 67 | 44 | 65 | 36 | 78 | 57 | 67 | 33 |
| Paul | 63 | 63 | 50 | 70 | 75 | 0 | 67 | 67 | 67 | 67 | 67 | 50 | 43 | 100 | 82 | 33 | 67 | 63 |
| Kucherov | 70 | 70 | 69 | 100 | 50 | 75 | 80 | 88 | 83 | 71 | 83 | 55 | 78 | 80 | 89 | 71 | 71 | 50 |
| Bjorkstrand | 83 | 71 | 50 | 88 | 80 | 86 | 50 | 50 | 80 | 29 | 50 | 25 | 83 | 58 | 80 | 89 | 38 | 33 |
| Holmberg | 93 | 93 | 0 | 0 | 33 | 93 | 100 | — | 0 | 0 | — | 0 | 60 | 33 | 33 | 100 | 77 | 71 |
| Sabourin | 0 | 0 | 67 | 71 | 71 | 0 | 50 | 50 | 63 | 67 | 50 | 67 | 25 | 100 | 83 | 0 | 50 | 67 |
| Raddysh | 59 | 69 | 80 | 35 | 20 | 90 | 67 | 67 | 50 | 67 | 75 | 60 | 82 | 45 | 89 | 83 | 75 | 77 |
| Moser | 58 | 73 | 75 | 22 | 26 | 94 | 100 | 100 | 31 | 63 | 100 | 57 | 80 | 33 | 100 | 82 | 81 | 83 |
| D'Astous | 50 | 40 | 30 | 73 | 70 | 0 | 75 | 100 | 70 | 45 | — | 33 | 56 | 58 | 67 | 0 | 60 | 50 |
| Crozier | 29 | 50 | 33 | 55 | 58 | 50 | 100 | 100 | 50 | 33 | 100 | 33 | 40 | 53 | 67 | 0 | 75 | 57 |
| Carlile | 50 | 33 | 36 | 33 | 0 | 0 | 50 | 50 | 33 | 45 | 60 | 43 | 42 | 60 | 60 | 40 | 43 | 29 |
| Santini | 33 | 25 | 27 | 50 | 50 | 50 | 57 | 57 | 33 | 46 | 33 | 25 | 46 | 33 | 80 | 38 | 29 | 29 |
