Game Recap
The Buffalo Sabres defeated the Edmonton Oilers 4-3 in overtime on December 9, 2025. Despite the result, the Edmonton Oilers held the edge in expected goals (6.59 to 3.19) at 5-on-5, indicating the Buffalo Sabres received favorable bounces or strong goaltending. The Edmonton Oilers created 7 high-danger scoring chances compared to 4 from the Buffalo Sabres at 5-on-5. Josh Doan scored 2 goals. Connor McDavid scored 2 goals. Vasily Podkolzin was the most dangerous skater with 1.97 individual expected goals on 3 shots at 5-on-5. The Edmonton Oilers outshot the Buffalo Sabres 30-28 in total shots on goal.
- xG Gameflow — cumulative expected goals chart tracking each team's xG as Buffalo Sabres vs Edmonton Oilers progressed on Dec 9, 2025
- Shot heatmap — where shots were taken on the ice, color-coded by scoring probability
- Event timeline — every goal, penalty, and key play mapped chronologically
- Player matchup grid — head-to-head on-ice performance in Corsi and expected goals
- Strength filter — 5v5 by default, with options for power play, penalty kill, and all situations
Overview
| Period | Corsi | Fenwick | Shots | SC | HDSC | xG | Goals | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| F | A | % | F | A | % | F | A | % | F | A | % | F | A | % | F | A | % | F | A | % | ||
| EDM | P1 | 16 | 12 | 57.1 | 11 | 9 | 55.0 | 8 | 7 | 53.3 | 11 | 9 | 55.0 | 3 | 2 | 60.0 | 2.24 | 2.37 | 48.7 | 0 | 1 | 0.0 |
| P2 | 17 | 24 | 41.5 | 13 | 18 | 41.9 | 10 | 14 | 41.7 | 9 | 14 | 39.1 | 1 | 4 | 20.0 | 1.69 | 3.08 | 35.5 | 0 | 2 | 0.0 | |
| P3 | 25 | 15 | 62.5 | 20 | 8 | 71.4 | 12 | 6 | 66.7 | 17 | 11 | 60.7 | 5 | 2 | 71.4 | 5.37 | 1.04 | 83.8 | 3 | 0 | 100.0 | |
| OT | 0 | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 2 | 0.0 | 0.00 | 0.46 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 | 0.0 | |
| Total | 58 | 53 | 52.3 | 44 | 36 | 55.0 | 30 | 28 | 51.7 | 37 | 36 | 50.7 | 9 | 10 | 47.4 | 9.31 | 6.94 | 57.3 | 3 | 4 | 42.9 | |
| BUF | P1 | 12 | 16 | 42.9 | 9 | 11 | 45.0 | 7 | 8 | 46.7 | 9 | 11 | 45.0 | 2 | 3 | 40.0 | 2.37 | 2.24 | 51.3 | 1 | 0 | 100.0 |
| P2 | 24 | 17 | 58.5 | 18 | 13 | 58.1 | 14 | 10 | 58.3 | 14 | 9 | 60.9 | 4 | 1 | 80.0 | 3.08 | 1.69 | 64.5 | 2 | 0 | 100.0 | |
| P3 | 15 | 25 | 37.5 | 8 | 20 | 28.6 | 6 | 12 | 33.3 | 11 | 17 | 39.3 | 2 | 5 | 28.6 | 1.04 | 5.37 | 16.2 | 0 | 3 | 0.0 | |
| OT | 2 | 0 | 100.0 | 1 | 0 | 100.0 | 1 | 0 | 100.0 | 2 | 0 | 100.0 | 2 | 0 | 100.0 | 0.46 | 0.00 | 100.0 | 1 | 0 | 100.0 | |
| Total | 53 | 58 | 47.7 | 36 | 44 | 45.0 | 28 | 30 | 48.3 | 36 | 37 | 49.3 | 10 | 9 | 52.6 | 6.94 | 9.31 | 42.7 | 4 | 3 | 57.1 | |
Win Probability
Gameflow — Cumulative xG
Shot Density Heatmap
Individual Event Map
Player Matchup Grid
This grid shows how every skater on the home team (EDM) performed against every skater on the away team (BUF) when they were on the ice at the same time.
- Rows = EDM players, Columns = BUF players. Forwards are listed first, then defensemen.
- Green = the EDM player had a favorable matchup (above 50%). Red = unfavorable (below 50%).
- Values shown from the home team's perspective. Toggle between CF% (shot attempt share) and xGF% (expected goal share).
- Cells with fewer than 3 shared events are grayed out (insufficient sample). Hover over any cell for full details.
| EDM ↓ / BUF → | McLeod | Thompson | Krebs | Kozak | Dunne | Benson | Malenstyn | Greenway | Tuch | Doan | Quinn | Rosen | Dahlin | Timmins | Samuelsson | Byram | Power | Bryson |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Draisaitl | 74 | 64 | 74 | 50 | 33 | 50 | 79 | 70 | 71 | 57 | 92 | 83 | 27 | 73 | 86 | 71 | 95 | 80 |
| McDavid | 67 | 56 | 67 | 60 | 50 | 56 | 76 | 67 | 64 | 63 | 80 | 50 | 14 | 70 | 82 | 71 | 81 | 0 |
| Nugent-Hopkins | 63 | 36 | 53 | 67 | 57 | 29 | 77 | 82 | 54 | 50 | 14 | 50 | 21 | 68 | 74 | 70 | 78 | 0 |
| Savoie | 41 | 46 | 54 | 60 | — | 0 | 75 | 0 | 58 | 0 | 25 | 50 | 33 | 62 | 80 | 38 | 43 | 33 |
| Lazar | 33 | 17 | 33 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 50 | 50 | 67 | 17 | 100 | — | 9 | 25 | 50 | 40 | — | 0 |
| Henrique | 36 | 0 | 0 | 67 | 40 | 38 | 56 | 33 | 33 | 38 | 25 | 33 | 43 | 57 | 62 | 25 | 23 | 67 |
| Janmark | 100 | 0 | 0 | 60 | 33 | 44 | 33 | 33 | 20 | 50 | 80 | 75 | 36 | 0 | 56 | 50 | 43 | 100 |
| Frederic | 100 | 0 | 33 | 0 | 33 | 0 | 50 | 67 | 50 | 17 | — | — | 13 | 33 | 25 | 33 | — | 0 |
| Hyman | 71 | 44 | 58 | 60 | 50 | 50 | 71 | 69 | 64 | 63 | 50 | 40 | 22 | 67 | 76 | 65 | 80 | 0 |
| Mangiapane | 100 | 0 | 0 | 67 | 33 | 50 | 43 | 33 | 33 | 50 | 50 | 100 | 46 | 80 | 67 | 0 | 17 | 67 |
| Podkolzin | 62 | 69 | 71 | 0 | 100 | 33 | 100 | 100 | 64 | 60 | 70 | 56 | 38 | 71 | 86 | 50 | 77 | 67 |
| Tomasek | 100 | — | 50 | 0 | — | 0 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 14 | — | — | 0 | 33 | 0 | 50 | — | 0 |
| Bouchard | 64 | 63 | 75 | 43 | 20 | 47 | 64 | 60 | 63 | 50 | 67 | 100 | 21 | 75 | 70 | 70 | 75 | — |
| Ekholm | 67 | 65 | 67 | 38 | 33 | 29 | 57 | 0 | 60 | 25 | 58 | 100 | 25 | 77 | 64 | 62 | 58 | 0 |
| Nurse | 42 | 33 | 40 | 100 | 33 | 40 | 56 | 33 | 53 | 25 | 42 | 38 | 36 | 44 | 100 | 30 | 50 | 56 |
| Kulak | 50 | 0 | 25 | 25 | 57 | 13 | 63 | 63 | 14 | 23 | 33 | 67 | 22 | 50 | 67 | 60 | 33 | 20 |
| Emberson | 71 | 0 | 33 | 50 | 57 | 17 | 63 | 63 | 14 | 38 | 50 | 80 | 28 | 50 | 67 | 60 | 75 | 100 |
| Regula | 8 | 29 | 38 | 50 | 33 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 38 | 20 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 20 | 75 | 17 | 30 | 33 |
