Game Recap

The Buffalo Sabres defeated the Edmonton Oilers 4-3 in overtime on December 9, 2025. Despite the result, the Edmonton Oilers held the edge in expected goals (6.59 to 3.19) at 5-on-5, indicating the Buffalo Sabres received favorable bounces or strong goaltending. The Edmonton Oilers created 7 high-danger scoring chances compared to 4 from the Buffalo Sabres at 5-on-5. Josh Doan scored 2 goals. Connor McDavid scored 2 goals. Vasily Podkolzin was the most dangerous skater with 1.97 individual expected goals on 3 shots at 5-on-5. The Edmonton Oilers outshot the Buffalo Sabres 30-28 in total shots on goal.

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Buffalo Sabres logo
BUF4 - 3EDM (OT)
Dec 9, 2025 · Regular Season
Edmonton Oilers logo

Overview

PeriodCorsiFenwickShotsSCHDSCxGGoals
FA%FA%FA%FA%FA%FA%FA%
EDMP1161257.111955.08753.311955.03260.02.242.3748.7010.0
P2172441.5131841.9101441.791439.11420.01.693.0835.5020.0
P3251562.520871.412666.7171160.75271.45.371.0483.830100.0
OT020.0010.0010.0020.0020.00.000.460.0010.0
Total585352.3443655.0302851.7373650.791047.49.316.9457.33442.9
BUFP1121642.991145.07846.791145.02340.02.372.2451.310100.0
P2241758.5181358.1141058.314960.94180.03.081.6964.520100.0
P3152537.582028.661233.3111739.32528.61.045.3716.2030.0
OT20100.010100.010100.020100.020100.00.460.00100.010100.0
Total535847.7364445.0283048.3363749.310952.66.949.3142.74357.1

Win Probability

0%25%50%75%100%P1P2P3OT0:0010:0020:0030:0040:0050:0060:00Home Win ProbabilityEDMBUF
EDM Favored
BUF Favored
Goal
Power Play

Gameflow — Cumulative xG

0.00.51.01.52.02.53.03.54.04.55.05.56.06.57.07.58.08.59.09.5P1P2P3OT0:0010:0020:0030:0040:0050:0060:00Cumulative xG
EDM
BUF
Goal

Shot Density Heatmap

BUF Attempts
EDM Attempts

Individual Event Map

HBHBS
BUF ShootEDM Shoot
SShot on Net
HHit
BShot Blocked

Player Matchup Grid

This grid shows how every skater on the home team (EDM) performed against every skater on the away team (BUF) when they were on the ice at the same time.

  • Rows = EDM players, Columns = BUF players. Forwards are listed first, then defensemen.
  • Green = the EDM player had a favorable matchup (above 50%). Red = unfavorable (below 50%).
  • Values shown from the home team's perspective. Toggle between CF% (shot attempt share) and xGF% (expected goal share).
  • Cells with fewer than 3 shared events are grayed out (insufficient sample). Hover over any cell for full details.
EDM ↓ / BUFMcLeodThompsonKrebsKozakDunneBensonMalenstynGreenwayTuchDoanQuinnRosenDahlinTimminsSamuelssonByramPowerBryson
Draisaitl746474503350797071579283277386719580
McDavid67566760505676676463805014708271810
Nugent-Hopkins63365367572977825450145021687470780
Savoie4146546007505802550336280384333
Lazar33173300185050671710092550400
Henrique3600674038563333382533435762252367
Janmark10000603344333320508075360565043100
Frederic100033033050675017133325330
Hyman71445860505071696463504022677665800
Mangiapane10000673350433333505010046806701767
Podkolzin62697101003310010064607056387186507767
Tomasek1005000100100100140330500
Bouchard64637543204764606350671002175707075
Ekholm67656738332957060255810025776462580
Nurse42334010033405633532542383644100305056
Kulak50025255713636314233367225067603320
Emberson710335057176363143850802850676075100
Regula829385033252525382000202075173033