Toronto Maple Leafs vs Carolina Hurricanes — December 4, 2025 Game Stats

Game Recap

The Toronto Maple Leafs defeated the Carolina Hurricanes 5-1 on December 4, 2025. Despite the result, the Carolina Hurricanes held the edge in expected goals (9.24 to 7.15) at 5-on-5, indicating the Toronto Maple Leafs received favorable bounces or strong goaltending. The Carolina Hurricanes created 13 high-danger scoring chances compared to 8 from the Toronto Maple Leafs at 5-on-5. Bobby McMann scored 2 goals. Auston Matthews was the most dangerous skater with 2.54 individual expected goals on 5 shots at 5-on-5. The Carolina Hurricanes outshot the Toronto Maple Leafs 33-24 in total shots on goal.

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xG Gameflow — cumulative expected goals chart tracking each team's xG as Toronto Maple Leafs vs Carolina Hurricanes progressed on Dec 4, 2025
Shot heatmap — where shots were taken on the ice, color-coded by scoring probability
Event timeline — every goal, penalty, and key play mapped chronologically
Player matchup grid — head-to-head on-ice performance in Corsi and expected goals
Strength filter — 5v5 by default, with options for power play, penalty kill, and all situations

TOR5 - 1CAR

Dec 4, 2025 · Regular Season

Strength:

Overview

	Period	Corsi			Fenwick			Shots			SC			HDSC			xG			Goals
		F	A	%	F	A	%	F	A	%	F	A	%	F	A	%	F	A	%	F	A	%
CAR	P1	29	12	70.7	21	10	67.7	13	7	65.0	21	10	67.7	6	4	60.0	4.18	2.54	62.2	1	2	33.3
	P2	24	14	63.2	18	11	62.1	11	8	57.9	17	11	60.7	5	3	62.5	3.55	2.96	54.5	0	2	0.0
	P3	26	13	66.7	16	12	57.1	9	9	50.0	23	10	69.7	5	2	71.4	3.70	3.48	51.5	0	1	0.0
	Total	79	39	66.9	55	33	62.5	33	24	57.9	61	31	66.3	16	9	64.0	11.43	8.99	56.0	1	5	16.7
TOR	P1	12	29	29.3	10	21	32.3	7	13	35.0	10	21	32.3	4	6	40.0	2.54	4.18	37.8	2	1	66.7
	P2	14	24	36.8	11	18	37.9	8	11	42.1	11	17	39.3	3	5	37.5	2.96	3.55	45.5	2	0	100.0
	P3	13	26	33.3	12	16	42.9	9	9	50.0	10	23	30.3	2	5	28.6	3.48	3.70	48.5	1	0	100.0
	Total	39	79	33.1	33	55	37.5	24	33	42.1	31	61	33.7	9	16	36.0	8.99	11.43	44.0	5	1	83.3

Win Probability

CAR Favored

TOR Favored

Goal

Power Play

Gameflow — Cumulative xG

CAR

TOR

Goal

Shot Density Heatmap

TOR Attempts

CAR Attempts

Individual Event Map

Player:

TOR ShootCAR Shoot

Shot on Net

Missed Shot

Attempt Blocked

Player Matchup Grid

This grid shows how every skater on the home team (CAR) performed against every skater on the away team (TOR) when they were on the ice at the same time.

Rows = CAR players, Columns = TOR players. Forwards are listed first, then defensemen.
Green = the CAR player had a favorable matchup (above 50%). Red = unfavorable (below 50%).
Values shown from the home team's perspective. Toggle between CF% (shot attempt share) and xGF% (expected goal share).
Cells with fewer than 3 shared events are grayed out (insufficient sample). Hover over any cell for full details.

Stat:

CAR ↓ / TOR →	Matthews	Joshua	McMann	Tavares	Roy	Domi	Laughton	Lorentz	Knies	Robertson	Nylander	Cowan	Ekman-Larsson	Stecher	McCabe	Rielly	Benoit	Myers
Aho	44	75	83	56	88	17	50	71	60	33	54	65	55	64	59	64	100	100
Jarvis	44	50	75	52	86	29	50	71	64	0	50	63	55	61	55	62	100	100
Staal	71	0	0	100	50	67	91	89	71	80	—	—	82	64	55	86	89	86
Stankoven	60	40	55	60	38	50	85	75	60	83	0	75	29	72	67	40	80	75
Ehlers	56	38	38	80	29	50	71	64	50	73	0	67	29	67	65	25	75	71
Carrier	60	50	50	67	0	63	57	67	63	67	50	—	73	43	25	67	78	78
Martinook	56	50	67	50	0	56	67	80	56	80	50	—	70	29	22	75	88	88
Hall	33	72	78	50	76	0	80	67	0	50	14	40	42	69	67	56	82	63
Robinson	0	82	78	100	78	25	67	67	25	67	33	50	55	67	67	71	78	63
Jankowski	0	81	76	100	75	25	67	67	25	67	33	50	55	70	70	67	75	57
Svechnikov	50	60	83	58	88	14	60	100	58	—	58	85	65	64	57	67	100	100
Blake	86	38	50	83	44	67	83	80	83	85	0	100	50	81	77	64	82	71
Nikishin	58	33	50	70	57	67	80	80	68	90	30	60	53	60	50	65	94	77
Gostisbehere	53	75	82	53	78	30	55	67	60	25	50	73	65	63	50	65	88	75
Walker	62	71	75	67	60	67	75	70	72	71	44	71	72	62	54	62	87	82
Chatfield	36	60	73	53	63	38	38	67	38	60	47	67	56	35	32	70	100	78
Reilly	0	71	68	67	67	0	80	75	20	83	50	70	38	81	79	50	67	71
Nystrom	11	64	60	50	60	0	67	67	0	75	33	44	29	69	69	25	63	67