Game Recap

The Pittsburgh Penguins defeated the Tampa Bay Lightning 4-3 on December 4, 2025. Despite the result, the Tampa Bay Lightning held the edge in expected goals (6.74 to 5.85) at 5-on-5, indicating the Pittsburgh Penguins received favorable bounces or strong goaltending. The Tampa Bay Lightning created 7 high-danger scoring chances compared to 5 from the Pittsburgh Penguins at 5-on-5. Brandon Hagel scored 2 goals. Evgeni Malkin scored 2 goals. Kevin Hayes was the most dangerous skater with 1.19 individual expected goals on 3 shots at 5-on-5. The Tampa Bay Lightning outshot the Pittsburgh Penguins 40-31 in total shots on goal.

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Pittsburgh Penguins logo
PIT4 - 3TBL
Dec 4, 2025 · Regular Season
Tampa Bay Lightning logo

Overview

PeriodCorsiFenwickShotsSCHDSCxGGoals
FA%FA%FA%FA%FA%FA%FA%
TBLP1231363.9211263.615865.218869.23175.05.261.6875.8010.0
P2201852.6151845.591145.015962.54450.03.154.1543.21233.3
P3302060.0221756.4161257.1211067.79190.05.112.5366.92166.7
Total735158.9584755.2403156.3542766.716672.713.528.3761.83442.9
PITP1132336.1122136.481534.881830.81325.01.685.2624.210100.0
P2182047.4181554.511955.091537.54450.04.153.1556.82166.7
P3203040.0172243.6121642.9102132.31910.02.535.1133.11233.3
Total517341.1475844.8314043.7275433.361627.38.3713.5238.24357.1

Win Probability

0%25%50%75%100%P1P2P30:0010:0020:0030:0040:0050:0060:00Home Win ProbabilityTBLPIT
TBL Favored
PIT Favored
Goal
Power Play

Gameflow — Cumulative xG

0.00.51.01.52.02.53.03.54.04.55.05.56.06.57.07.58.08.59.09.510.010.511.011.512.012.513.013.514.0P1P2P30:0010:0020:0030:0040:0050:0060:00Cumulative xG
TBL
PIT
Goal

Shot Density Heatmap

PIT Attempts
TBL Attempts

Individual Event Map

SMHt
PIT ShootTBL Shoot
SShot on Net
MMissed Shot
HtHit Taken

Player Matchup Grid

This grid shows how every skater on the home team (TBL) performed against every skater on the away team (PIT) when they were on the ice at the same time.

  • Rows = TBL players, Columns = PIT players. Forwards are listed first, then defensemen.
  • Green = the TBL player had a favorable matchup (above 50%). Red = unfavorable (below 50%).
  • Values shown from the home team's perspective. Toggle between CF% (shot attempt share) and xGF% (expected goal share).
  • Cells with fewer than 3 shared events are grayed out (insufficient sample). Hover over any cell for full details.
TBL ↓ / PITCrosbyLizotteMalkinKindelDewarNovakImamaRustManthaHayesMcGroartyKoivunenKarlssonWotherspoonLetangSheaGravesClifton
Guentzel607664567040207367334427857658506944
Cirelli56695794365505672632938637752455050
Gourde420506003304420406075384350504050
Girgensons44040600004720446067353850505060
James204450604067252550335050404250505750
Goncalves50170430100071100100292927226363500
Douglas1004050401001001006700100100100
Hagel5884645869717479804058688173716067
Paul8085505681431008333804250676067718173
Kucherov697975737562258068205029927665598263
Bjorkstrand67915082906710090671005060888385878775
Holmberg4550100335020476075354367676075
Raddysh60856478794306964531008071656559100100
Moser4517302506305056585660332760407575
Lilleberg402547312571254063584250322567654350
D'Astous757871546265608071572950656264637571
Carlile0563833575043038253840445540363833
Crozier17603343715050050334333577533444044