Game Recap
The Colorado Avalanche defeated the Tampa Bay Lightning 3-2 on November 4, 2025. The Colorado Avalanche controlled play with 47.8% Corsi and generated 7.31 expected goals compared to 5.68 from the Tampa Bay Lightning at 5-on-5, suggesting the result was well-earned. The Tampa Bay Lightning created 10 high-danger scoring chances compared to 9 from the Colorado Avalanche at 5-on-5. Victor Olofsson scored 2 goals. Valeri Nichushkin was the most dangerous skater with 1.43 individual expected goals on 3 shots at 5-on-5. The Colorado Avalanche outshot the Tampa Bay Lightning 33-24 in total shots on goal.
- xG Gameflow — cumulative expected goals chart tracking each team's xG as Tampa Bay Lightning vs Colorado Avalanche progressed on Nov 4, 2025
- Shot heatmap — where shots were taken on the ice, color-coded by scoring probability
- Event timeline — every goal, penalty, and key play mapped chronologically
- Player matchup grid — head-to-head on-ice performance in Corsi and expected goals
- Strength filter — 5v5 by default, with options for power play, penalty kill, and all situations
Overview
| Period | Corsi | Fenwick | Shots | SC | HDSC | xG | Goals | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| F | A | % | F | A | % | F | A | % | F | A | % | F | A | % | F | A | % | F | A | % | ||
| COL | P1 | 20 | 14 | 58.8 | 11 | 13 | 45.8 | 10 | 9 | 52.6 | 14 | 8 | 63.6 | 5 | 3 | 62.5 | 1.82 | 2.44 | 42.7 | 1 | 1 | 50.0 |
| P2 | 24 | 24 | 50.0 | 18 | 12 | 60.0 | 14 | 7 | 66.7 | 17 | 17 | 50.0 | 6 | 4 | 60.0 | 5.77 | 1.46 | 79.8 | 2 | 0 | 100.0 | |
| P3 | 16 | 22 | 42.1 | 14 | 16 | 46.7 | 9 | 8 | 52.9 | 11 | 14 | 44.0 | 2 | 3 | 40.0 | 2.63 | 3.74 | 41.3 | 0 | 1 | 0.0 | |
| Total | 60 | 60 | 50.0 | 43 | 41 | 51.2 | 33 | 24 | 57.9 | 42 | 39 | 51.9 | 13 | 10 | 56.5 | 10.22 | 7.63 | 57.2 | 3 | 2 | 60.0 | |
| TBL | P1 | 14 | 20 | 41.2 | 13 | 11 | 54.2 | 9 | 10 | 47.4 | 8 | 14 | 36.4 | 3 | 5 | 37.5 | 2.44 | 1.82 | 57.3 | 1 | 1 | 50.0 |
| P2 | 24 | 24 | 50.0 | 12 | 18 | 40.0 | 7 | 14 | 33.3 | 17 | 17 | 50.0 | 4 | 6 | 40.0 | 1.46 | 5.77 | 20.2 | 0 | 2 | 0.0 | |
| P3 | 22 | 16 | 57.9 | 16 | 14 | 53.3 | 8 | 9 | 47.1 | 14 | 11 | 56.0 | 3 | 2 | 60.0 | 3.74 | 2.63 | 58.7 | 1 | 0 | 100.0 | |
| Total | 60 | 60 | 50.0 | 41 | 43 | 48.8 | 24 | 33 | 42.1 | 39 | 42 | 48.1 | 10 | 13 | 43.5 | 7.63 | 10.22 | 42.8 | 2 | 3 | 40.0 | |
Win Probability
Gameflow — Cumulative xG
Shot Density Heatmap
Individual Event Map
Player Matchup Grid
This grid shows how every skater on the home team (COL) performed against every skater on the away team (TBL) when they were on the ice at the same time.
- Rows = COL players, Columns = TBL players. Forwards are listed first, then defensemen.
- Green = the COL player had a favorable matchup (above 50%). Red = unfavorable (below 50%).
- Values shown from the home team's perspective. Toggle between CF% (shot attempt share) and xGF% (expected goal share).
- Cells with fewer than 3 shared events are grayed out (insufficient sample). Hover over any cell for full details.
| COL ↓ / TBL → | Gourde | Girgensons | Point | Cirelli | Guentzel | Goncalves | James | Hagel | Kucherov | Holmberg | Bjorkstrand | McDonagh | Cernak | Hedman | Moser | D'Astous | Crozier | Lilleberg |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MacKinnon | 59 | 65 | 58 | 56 | 43 | 0 | 0 | 56 | 62 | 48 | 0 | 63 | 65 | 40 | 50 | 43 | 50 | 75 |
| Necas | 63 | 64 | 44 | 36 | 27 | 0 | 0 | 48 | 47 | 44 | 0 | 65 | 69 | 33 | 47 | 57 | 33 | 60 |
| Nelson | 20 | 0 | 36 | 64 | 67 | 43 | 46 | 44 | 38 | 0 | 59 | 43 | 75 | 53 | 33 | 25 | 50 | 80 |
| Drury | 100 | 100 | 29 | 25 | 22 | 60 | 60 | 41 | 24 | 100 | 50 | 100 | 100 | 33 | 33 | 55 | 40 | 100 |
| Colton | 0 | 0 | 33 | 67 | 42 | 75 | 75 | 57 | 30 | 0 | 83 | 33 | 71 | 53 | 45 | 50 | 55 | 80 |
| Kelly | — | — | 7 | 9 | 8 | 29 | 31 | 23 | 8 | — | 18 | — | — | 8 | 0 | 17 | 30 | 100 |
| Nielsen | — | — | 0 | — | — | 25 | 33 | 0 | 0 | — | 33 | — | — | 0 | 0 | 25 | 33 | — |
| Bardakov | — | — | — | 0 | 0 | 25 | 25 | 0 | — | — | 25 | — | — | 0 | 0 | 33 | 25 | — |
| Lehkonen | 50 | 48 | 50 | 50 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 53 | 57 | 50 | 0 | 50 | 47 | 46 | 47 | 57 | 0 | 67 |
| Olofsson | 100 | 100 | 63 | 60 | 56 | 67 | 67 | 62 | 36 | 100 | 50 | 100 | 100 | 56 | 47 | 80 | 44 | 100 |
| Landeskog | 88 | 80 | 57 | 55 | 44 | — | — | 50 | 30 | 100 | 67 | 100 | 75 | 63 | 38 | 67 | 29 | 100 |
| Nichushkin | 71 | 91 | 36 | 57 | 53 | 46 | 46 | 42 | 36 | 0 | 59 | 75 | 89 | 39 | 40 | 33 | 58 | 100 |
| Makar | 52 | 55 | 25 | 33 | 29 | 17 | 17 | 31 | 25 | 11 | 14 | 62 | 70 | 14 | 26 | 40 | 17 | 33 |
| Toews | 38 | 41 | 41 | 50 | 17 | 11 | 13 | 50 | 47 | 35 | 13 | 43 | 41 | 39 | 35 | 20 | 17 | 100 |
| Manson | 86 | 100 | 71 | 60 | 54 | 75 | 75 | 70 | 44 | 91 | 73 | 81 | 92 | 75 | 45 | 67 | 64 | 100 |
| Burns | 75 | 80 | 31 | 37 | 30 | 38 | 42 | 50 | 30 | 83 | 30 | 55 | 83 | 29 | 40 | 59 | 46 | 100 |
| Malinski | 67 | 67 | 44 | 14 | 25 | 57 | 57 | 33 | 47 | 75 | 67 | 50 | 63 | 55 | 47 | 38 | 29 | 0 |
| Ahcan | 50 | 0 | — | 57 | 57 | 71 | 71 | — | 0 | 50 | 85 | 50 | 71 | 100 | 40 | 0 | 44 | 100 |
