Tampa Bay Lightning vs Nashville Predators — October 28, 2025 Game Stats

Game Recap

The Tampa Bay Lightning defeated the Nashville Predators 5-2 on October 28, 2025. The Tampa Bay Lightning controlled play with 63.8% Corsi and generated 7.88 expected goals compared to 1.38 from the Nashville Predators at 5-on-5, suggesting the result was well-earned. The Tampa Bay Lightning created 8 high-danger scoring chances compared to 1 from the Nashville Predators at 5-on-5. Zemgus Girgensons scored 2 goals. Pontus Holmberg was the most dangerous skater with 1.40 individual expected goals on 3 shots at 5-on-5. The Tampa Bay Lightning outshot the Nashville Predators 32-20 in total shots on goal.

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xG Gameflow — cumulative expected goals chart tracking each team's xG as Tampa Bay Lightning vs Nashville Predators progressed on Oct 28, 2025
Shot heatmap — where shots were taken on the ice, color-coded by scoring probability
Event timeline — every goal, penalty, and key play mapped chronologically
Player matchup grid — head-to-head on-ice performance in Corsi and expected goals
Strength filter — 5v5 by default, with options for power play, penalty kill, and all situations

TBL5 - 2NSH

Oct 28, 2025 · Regular Season

Strength:

Overview

	Period	Corsi			Fenwick			Shots			SC			HDSC			xG			Goals
		F	A	%	F	A	%	F	A	%	F	A	%	F	A	%	F	A	%	F	A	%
NSH	P1	14	21	40.0	10	18	35.7	8	13	38.1	8	14	36.4	3	4	42.9	3.31	4.13	44.5	0	1	0.0
	P2	8	18	30.8	5	17	22.7	3	13	18.8	4	14	22.2	0	4	0.0	0.76	4.17	15.4	0	1	0.0
	P3	21	11	65.6	11	10	52.4	9	6	60.0	17	8	68.0	2	3	40.0	1.83	1.99	47.9	2	3	40.0
	Total	43	50	46.2	26	45	36.6	20	32	38.5	29	36	44.6	5	11	31.3	5.90	10.29	36.4	2	5	28.6
TBL	P1	21	14	60.0	18	10	64.3	13	8	61.9	14	8	63.6	4	3	57.1	4.13	3.31	55.5	1	0	100.0
	P2	18	8	69.2	17	5	77.3	13	3	81.3	14	4	77.8	4	0	100.0	4.17	0.76	84.6	1	0	100.0
	P3	11	21	34.4	10	11	47.6	6	9	40.0	8	17	32.0	3	2	60.0	1.99	1.83	52.1	3	2	60.0
	Total	50	43	53.8	45	26	63.4	32	20	61.5	36	29	55.4	11	5	68.8	10.29	5.90	63.6	5	2	71.4

Win Probability

NSH Favored

TBL Favored

Goal

Power Play

Gameflow — Cumulative xG

NSH

TBL

Goal

Shot Density Heatmap

TBL Attempts

NSH Attempts

Individual Event Map

Player:

TBL ShootNSH Shoot

Player Matchup Grid

This grid shows how every skater on the home team (NSH) performed against every skater on the away team (TBL) when they were on the ice at the same time.

Rows = NSH players, Columns = TBL players. Forwards are listed first, then defensemen.
Green = the NSH player had a favorable matchup (above 50%). Red = unfavorable (below 50%).
Values shown from the home team's perspective. Toggle between CF% (shot attempt share) and xGF% (expected goal share).
Cells with fewer than 3 shared events are grayed out (insufficient sample). Hover over any cell for full details.

Stat:

NSH ↓ / TBL →	Cirelli	Gourde	Point	Guentzel	Girgensons	James	Goncalves	Douglas	Hagel	Kucherov	Holmberg	Bjorkstrand	McDonagh	Cernak	Hedman	Moser	D'Astous	Lilleberg
O'Reilly	31	69	67	60	64	25	0	0	39	75	43	0	61	64	57	40	0	75
Stamkos	50	59	50	100	64	33	50	20	58	67	30	20	69	79	57	33	30	45
McCarron	38	33	45	45	100	14	14	—	29	43	33	0	50	33	86	75	17	17
Wiesblatt	50	33	45	45	33	0	0	0	0	42	33	0	50	33	67	67	14	0
Jost	0	0	0	0	0	22	29	0	0	0	0	33	0	0	29	40	0	0
Forsberg	30	64	75	63	64	50	0	0	30	56	43	0	60	61	50	50	0	100
Haula	60	25	38	67	45	0	0	0	54	38	25	13	58	50	53	60	25	27
Bunting	80	71	33	71	71	25	25	33	80	60	50	25	85	73	71	83	38	50
Wood	60	17	100	67	38	20	25	0	54	71	17	50	50	38	64	75	50	50
Evangelista	77	86	29	71	88	33	0	—	73	56	83	0	93	92	50	60	40	33
Marchessault	42	67	0	50	70	17	20	20	50	33	33	25	57	67	71	50	33	75
Smith	40	17	45	45	25	33	33	0	25	36	17	33	17	14	67	71	22	0
Skjei	45	71	67	75	80	27	13	0	45	55	50	20	71	71	67	53	25	57
Perbix	27	25	50	54	43	20	25	25	27	39	25	17	30	30	46	50	29	30
Barron	54	23	25	60	38	17	22	0	50	50	17	30	55	56	56	60	7	17
Hague	23	40	30	36	40	0	0	20	23	44	40	33	33	25	33	33	23	33
Stastney	13	33	50	50	29	21	11	0	0	50	29	13	57	57	22	29	7	0
Wilsby	14	0	0	25	0	0	0	0	14	0	0	—	0	0	50	50	0	0