Game Recap
The Toronto Maple Leafs defeated the Calgary Flames 4-3 on October 28, 2025. Despite the result, the Calgary Flames held the edge in expected goals (8.09 to 6.06) at 5-on-5, indicating the Toronto Maple Leafs received favorable bounces or strong goaltending. The Calgary Flames created 11 high-danger scoring chances compared to 7 from the Toronto Maple Leafs at 5-on-5. Max Domi scored 2 goals. Matthew Knies scored 2 goals. Nazem Kadri was the most dangerous skater with 1.51 individual expected goals on 5 shots at 5-on-5. The Toronto Maple Leafs outshot the Calgary Flames 37-29 in total shots on goal.
- xG Gameflow — cumulative expected goals chart tracking each team's xG as Calgary Flames vs Toronto Maple Leafs progressed on Oct 28, 2025
- Shot heatmap — where shots were taken on the ice, color-coded by scoring probability
- Event timeline — every goal, penalty, and key play mapped chronologically
- Player matchup grid — head-to-head on-ice performance in Corsi and expected goals
- Strength filter — 5v5 by default, with options for power play, penalty kill, and all situations
Overview
| Period | Corsi | Fenwick | Shots | SC | HDSC | xG | Goals | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| F | A | % | F | A | % | F | A | % | F | A | % | F | A | % | F | A | % | F | A | % | ||
| TOR | P1 | 25 | 14 | 64.1 | 19 | 12 | 61.3 | 11 | 9 | 55.0 | 18 | 9 | 66.7 | 5 | 2 | 71.4 | 4.19 | 2.43 | 63.3 | 0 | 1 | 0.0 |
| P2 | 20 | 21 | 48.8 | 19 | 14 | 57.6 | 16 | 8 | 66.7 | 12 | 16 | 42.9 | 5 | 8 | 38.5 | 3.89 | 4.31 | 47.5 | 2 | 1 | 66.7 | |
| P3 | 17 | 20 | 45.9 | 13 | 13 | 50.0 | 10 | 12 | 45.5 | 11 | 15 | 42.3 | 3 | 5 | 37.5 | 3.41 | 3.97 | 46.2 | 2 | 1 | 66.7 | |
| Total | 62 | 55 | 53.0 | 51 | 39 | 56.7 | 37 | 29 | 56.1 | 41 | 40 | 50.6 | 13 | 15 | 46.4 | 11.49 | 10.71 | 51.8 | 4 | 3 | 57.1 | |
| CGY | P1 | 14 | 25 | 35.9 | 12 | 19 | 38.7 | 9 | 11 | 45.0 | 9 | 18 | 33.3 | 2 | 5 | 28.6 | 2.43 | 4.19 | 36.7 | 1 | 0 | 100.0 |
| P2 | 21 | 20 | 51.2 | 14 | 19 | 42.4 | 8 | 16 | 33.3 | 16 | 12 | 57.1 | 8 | 5 | 61.5 | 4.31 | 3.89 | 52.5 | 1 | 2 | 33.3 | |
| P3 | 20 | 17 | 54.1 | 13 | 13 | 50.0 | 12 | 10 | 54.5 | 15 | 11 | 57.7 | 5 | 3 | 62.5 | 3.97 | 3.41 | 53.8 | 1 | 2 | 33.3 | |
| Total | 55 | 62 | 47.0 | 39 | 51 | 43.3 | 29 | 37 | 43.9 | 40 | 41 | 49.4 | 15 | 13 | 53.6 | 10.71 | 11.49 | 48.2 | 3 | 4 | 42.9 | |
Win Probability
Gameflow — Cumulative xG
Shot Density Heatmap
Individual Event Map
Player Matchup Grid
This grid shows how every skater on the home team (TOR) performed against every skater on the away team (CGY) when they were on the ice at the same time.
- Rows = TOR players, Columns = CGY players. Forwards are listed first, then defensemen.
- Green = the TOR player had a favorable matchup (above 50%). Red = unfavorable (below 50%).
- Values shown from the home team's perspective. Toggle between CF% (shot attempt share) and xGF% (expected goal share).
- Cells with fewer than 3 shared events are grayed out (insufficient sample). Hover over any cell for full details.
| TOR ↓ / CGY → | Kadri | Frost | Backlund | Sharangovich | Zary | Kirkland | Coleman | Huberdeau | Farabee | Honzek | Lomberg | Coronato | Andersson | Bahl | Weegar | Bean | Parekh | Hanley |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthews | 33 | 29 | 83 | 33 | 0 | 80 | 73 | 40 | 71 | 50 | — | 33 | 73 | 85 | 39 | 33 | 33 | 100 |
| Tavares | 71 | 71 | 89 | 50 | 60 | 75 | 93 | 86 | 85 | 50 | 71 | 60 | 92 | 92 | 58 | 60 | — | 67 |
| Lorentz | 14 | 24 | 60 | 33 | 40 | 40 | 33 | 8 | 40 | 67 | 60 | 29 | 10 | 43 | 29 | 29 | 47 | 45 |
| McMann | 39 | 31 | 67 | 33 | 0 | 50 | 56 | 47 | 50 | 50 | — | 67 | 65 | 69 | 33 | 28 | 50 | 100 |
| Domi | 33 | 36 | 60 | 50 | 67 | 40 | 60 | 36 | 50 | 71 | 50 | 100 | 50 | 50 | 50 | 29 | 50 | 54 |
| Roy | 21 | 23 | 50 | 46 | 46 | — | 22 | 33 | 55 | 33 | 0 | 25 | 45 | 83 | 25 | 60 | 28 | 22 |
| Joshua | 33 | 38 | 50 | 44 | 38 | 0 | 38 | 50 | 43 | 33 | 0 | 0 | 40 | 67 | 29 | 50 | 33 | 29 |
| Knies | 56 | 56 | 89 | 71 | 75 | 88 | 93 | 70 | 82 | 50 | 83 | 50 | 93 | 93 | 67 | 71 | 25 | 40 |
| Robertson | 30 | 38 | 50 | 67 | 67 | 50 | 60 | 22 | 50 | 50 | 60 | 100 | 33 | 50 | 40 | 29 | 54 | 40 |
| Maccelli | 100 | 100 | 67 | 43 | 50 | 33 | 50 | 100 | 60 | 67 | 50 | 71 | 89 | 89 | 33 | 29 | 100 | 75 |
| Nylander | 35 | 31 | 81 | — | — | 86 | 74 | 53 | 100 | 53 | 100 | 67 | 81 | 83 | 47 | 42 | — | 100 |
| Cowan | 40 | 33 | 50 | 71 | 71 | 100 | 50 | 63 | 55 | 67 | — | 100 | 88 | 100 | 60 | 60 | 33 | 42 |
| McCabe | 26 | 30 | 58 | 44 | 50 | 67 | 41 | 30 | 64 | 36 | 78 | 38 | 48 | 59 | 45 | 45 | 29 | 44 |
| Carlo | 23 | 28 | 67 | 43 | 50 | 67 | 50 | 28 | 60 | 60 | 70 | 30 | 46 | 56 | 44 | 47 | 29 | 43 |
| Rielly | 36 | 30 | 86 | 75 | 71 | 80 | 89 | 50 | 83 | 67 | 50 | 0 | 92 | 93 | 40 | 33 | 56 | 50 |
| Ekman-Larsson | 46 | 42 | 60 | 0 | 25 | 0 | 40 | 55 | 38 | 67 | 50 | 63 | 70 | 75 | 36 | 22 | 33 | 56 |
| Myers | 36 | 33 | 70 | 62 | 55 | 50 | 62 | 44 | 78 | 67 | 50 | 0 | 69 | 85 | 22 | 29 | 58 | 50 |
| Benoit | 45 | 57 | 44 | 30 | 30 | 0 | 29 | 75 | 36 | 36 | 33 | 80 | 50 | 67 | 23 | 36 | 45 | 36 |
