Game Recap
The Tampa Bay Lightning defeated the Vegas Golden Knights 2-1 in overtime on October 26, 2025. The Tampa Bay Lightning controlled play with 57.7% Corsi and generated 3.94 expected goals compared to 2.60 from the Vegas Golden Knights at 5-on-5, suggesting the result was well-earned. Jake Guentzel was the most dangerous skater with 0.86 individual expected goals on 2 shots at 5-on-5. The Tampa Bay Lightning outshot the Vegas Golden Knights 28-19 in total shots on goal.
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- xG Gameflow — cumulative expected goals chart tracking each team's xG as Vegas Golden Knights vs Tampa Bay Lightning progressed on Oct 26, 2025
- Shot heatmap — where shots were taken on the ice, color-coded by scoring probability
- Event timeline — every goal, penalty, and key play mapped chronologically
- Player matchup grid — head-to-head on-ice performance in Corsi and expected goals
- Strength filter — 5v5 by default, with options for power play, penalty kill, and all situations
VGK1 - 2TBL (OT)
Oct 26, 2025 · Regular Season
Overview
| Period | Corsi | Fenwick | Shots | SC | HDSC | xG | Goals | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| F | A | % | F | A | % | F | A | % | F | A | % | F | A | % | F | A | % | F | A | % | ||
| TBL | P1 | 29 | 10 | 74.4 | 16 | 6 | 72.7 | 13 | 6 | 68.4 | 22 | 7 | 75.9 | 9 | 2 | 81.8 | 4.07 | 1.13 | 78.3 | 1 | 1 | 50.0 |
| P2 | 26 | 12 | 68.4 | 18 | 5 | 78.3 | 11 | 2 | 84.6 | 17 | 9 | 65.4 | 3 | 3 | 50.0 | 2.84 | 0.98 | 74.3 | 0 | 0 | — | |
| P3 | 8 | 19 | 29.6 | 4 | 14 | 22.2 | 3 | 11 | 21.4 | 7 | 12 | 36.8 | 2 | 4 | 33.3 | 0.90 | 2.77 | 24.5 | 0 | 0 | — | |
| OT | 1 | 0 | 100.0 | 1 | 0 | 100.0 | 1 | 0 | 100.0 | 1 | 0 | 100.0 | 0 | 0 | — | 0.24 | 0.00 | 100.0 | 1 | 0 | 100.0 | |
| Total | 64 | 41 | 61.0 | 39 | 25 | 60.9 | 28 | 19 | 59.6 | 47 | 28 | 62.7 | 14 | 9 | 60.9 | 8.05 | 4.88 | 62.2 | 2 | 1 | 66.7 | |
| VGK | P1 | 10 | 29 | 25.6 | 6 | 16 | 27.3 | 6 | 13 | 31.6 | 7 | 22 | 24.1 | 2 | 9 | 18.2 | 1.13 | 4.07 | 21.7 | 1 | 1 | 50.0 |
| P2 | 12 | 26 | 31.6 | 5 | 18 | 21.7 | 2 | 11 | 15.4 | 9 | 17 | 34.6 | 3 | 3 | 50.0 | 0.98 | 2.84 | 25.7 | 0 | 0 | — | |
| P3 | 19 | 8 | 70.4 | 14 | 4 | 77.8 | 11 | 3 | 78.6 | 12 | 7 | 63.2 | 4 | 2 | 66.7 | 2.77 | 0.90 | 75.5 | 0 | 0 | — | |
| OT | 0 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | — | 0.00 | 0.24 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 | 0.0 | |
| Total | 41 | 64 | 39.0 | 25 | 39 | 39.1 | 19 | 28 | 40.4 | 28 | 47 | 37.3 | 9 | 14 | 39.1 | 4.88 | 8.05 | 37.8 | 1 | 2 | 33.3 | |
Win Probability
TBL Favored
VGK Favored
Goal
Power Play
Gameflow — Cumulative xG
TBL
VGK
Goal
Shot Density Heatmap
VGK Attempts
TBL Attempts
Individual Event Map
VGK ShootTBL Shoot
Shot on Net
Missed Shot
Player Matchup Grid
This grid shows how every skater on the home team (TBL) performed against every skater on the away team (VGK) when they were on the ice at the same time.
- Rows = TBL players, Columns = VGK players. Forwards are listed first, then defensemen.
- Green = the TBL player had a favorable matchup (above 50%). Red = unfavorable (below 50%).
- Values shown from the home team's perspective. Toggle between CF% (shot attempt share) and xGF% (expected goal share).
- Cells with fewer than 3 shared events are grayed out (insufficient sample). Hover over any cell for full details.
| TBL ↓ / VGK → | Eichel | Howden | Karlsson | Hertl | Sissons | Barbashev | Saad | Marner | Smith | Kolesar | Dorofeyev | Holtz | Theodore | McNabb | Lauzon | Korczak | Whitecloud | Hutton |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Guentzel | 65 | 82 | 63 | 54 | 83 | 33 | 40 | 57 | 64 | 67 | 33 | 58 | 58 | 70 | 92 | 75 | 83 | 67 |
| Cirelli | 75 | 67 | 75 | 63 | 86 | 78 | 56 | 75 | 100 | 43 | 50 | 100 | 67 | 65 | 67 | 78 | 100 | 100 |
| Point | 89 | 60 | 83 | 71 | 70 | 0 | 40 | 78 | 78 | 50 | 60 | 75 | 71 | 76 | 100 | 83 | 78 | 0 |
| Girgensons | 0 | 38 | 44 | 56 | 67 | 50 | 50 | 45 | 71 | 25 | 40 | 60 | 33 | 57 | 63 | 67 | 57 | 63 |
| Gourde | 0 | 50 | 36 | 43 | 67 | 38 | 100 | 36 | 45 | 50 | 22 | 33 | 27 | 80 | 75 | 75 | 44 | 45 |
| Goncalves | 75 | 40 | 80 | 20 | 33 | 33 | 50 | 29 | 100 | 50 | 17 | 100 | 33 | 50 | 44 | 56 | 50 | 56 |
| James | 67 | 33 | 67 | 0 | 29 | 40 | 50 | 17 | 80 | 43 | 0 | 80 | 33 | 0 | 45 | 55 | 44 | 44 |
| Hagel | 87 | 57 | 83 | 83 | 100 | 88 | 56 | 91 | 100 | 29 | 67 | 100 | 80 | 75 | 67 | 80 | 91 | 89 |
| Kucherov | 94 | 64 | 87 | 56 | 70 | 75 | 73 | 69 | 83 | 60 | 43 | 82 | 77 | 85 | 92 | 82 | 69 | 25 |
| Bjorkstrand | 77 | 67 | 89 | 0 | 60 | 40 | 50 | 33 | 100 | 50 | 0 | 100 | 73 | 89 | 63 | 50 | 64 | 33 |
| Holmberg | 0 | 50 | 50 | 100 | 67 | 50 | 50 | 100 | 57 | 33 | 100 | 40 | 50 | 50 | 75 | 67 | 57 | 57 |
| Hedman | 47 | 75 | 72 | 45 | 91 | 50 | 57 | 47 | 90 | 67 | 23 | 86 | 58 | 78 | 82 | 71 | 71 | 67 |
| Moser | 29 | 57 | 45 | 46 | 60 | 38 | 57 | 42 | 63 | 25 | 25 | 57 | 29 | 50 | 90 | 80 | 53 | 50 |
| McDonagh | 73 | 25 | 38 | 50 | 0 | 53 | 60 | 45 | 40 | 40 | 42 | 40 | 53 | 60 | 60 | 67 | 0 | 43 |
| Cernak | 65 | 40 | 80 | 45 | 50 | 69 | 70 | 45 | 100 | 60 | 40 | 100 | 59 | 64 | 56 | 75 | 33 | 67 |
| Lilleberg | — | 60 | 67 | — | 67 | 100 | 50 | — | 67 | 50 | — | 67 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 25 | 25 |
| D'Astous | 80 | 38 | 60 | 100 | 43 | 0 | 0 | 100 | 60 | 38 | 100 | 60 | 67 | 75 | 43 | 50 | 78 | 60 |
| Raddysh | 0 | 0 | 86 | 50 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 50 | 86 | 0 | 50 | 86 | 60 | 60 | 38 | 38 | 100 | 100 |
