Game Recap

The Tampa Bay Lightning defeated the Vegas Golden Knights 2-1 in overtime on October 26, 2025. The Tampa Bay Lightning controlled play with 57.7% Corsi and generated 3.94 expected goals compared to 2.60 from the Vegas Golden Knights at 5-on-5, suggesting the result was well-earned. Jake Guentzel was the most dangerous skater with 0.86 individual expected goals on 2 shots at 5-on-5. The Tampa Bay Lightning outshot the Vegas Golden Knights 28-19 in total shots on goal.

← Back to Games
Vegas Golden Knights logo
VGK1 - 2TBL (OT)
Oct 26, 2025 · Regular Season
Tampa Bay Lightning logo

Overview

PeriodCorsiFenwickShotsSCHDSCxGGoals
FA%FA%FA%FA%FA%FA%FA%
TBLP1291074.416672.713668.422775.99281.84.071.1378.31150.0
P2261268.418578.311284.617965.43350.02.840.9874.300
P381929.641422.231121.471236.82433.30.902.7724.500
OT10100.010100.010100.010100.0000.240.00100.010100.0
Total644161.0392560.9281959.6472862.714960.98.054.8862.22166.7
VGKP1102925.661627.361331.672224.12918.21.134.0721.71150.0
P2122631.651821.721115.491734.63350.00.982.8425.700
P319870.414477.811378.612763.24266.72.770.9075.500
OT010.0010.0010.0010.0000.000.240.0010.0
Total416439.0253939.1192840.4284737.391439.14.888.0537.81233.3

Win Probability

0%25%50%75%100%P1P2P3OT0:0010:0020:0030:0040:0050:0060:00Home Win ProbabilityTBLVGK
TBL Favored
VGK Favored
Goal
Power Play

Gameflow — Cumulative xG

0.00.51.01.52.02.53.03.54.04.55.05.56.06.57.07.58.08.5P1P2P3OT0:0010:0020:0030:0040:0050:0060:00Cumulative xG
TBL
VGK
Goal

Shot Density Heatmap

VGK Attempts
TBL Attempts

Individual Event Map

SM
VGK ShootTBL Shoot
SShot on Net
MMissed Shot

Player Matchup Grid

This grid shows how every skater on the home team (TBL) performed against every skater on the away team (VGK) when they were on the ice at the same time.

  • Rows = TBL players, Columns = VGK players. Forwards are listed first, then defensemen.
  • Green = the TBL player had a favorable matchup (above 50%). Red = unfavorable (below 50%).
  • Values shown from the home team's perspective. Toggle between CF% (shot attempt share) and xGF% (expected goal share).
  • Cells with fewer than 3 shared events are grayed out (insufficient sample). Hover over any cell for full details.
TBL ↓ / VGKEichelHowdenKarlssonHertlSissonsBarbashevSaadMarnerSmithKolesarDorofeyevHoltzTheodoreMcNabbLauzonKorczakWhitecloudHutton
Guentzel658263548333405764673358587092758367
Cirelli7567756386785675100435010067656778100100
Point89608371700407878506075717610083780
Girgensons03844566750504571254060335763675763
Gourde050364367381003645502233278075754445
Goncalves75408020333350291005017100335044565056
James673367029405017804308033045554444
Hagel875783831008856911002967100807567809189
Kucherov946487567075736983604382778592826925
Bjorkstrand776789060405033100500100738963506433
Holmberg05050100675050100573310040505075675757
Hedman477572459150574790672386587882717167
Moser295745466038574263252557295090805350
McDonagh7325385005360454040424053606067043
Cernak65408045506970451006040100596456753367
Lilleberg606767100506750671001001001002525
D'Astous8038601004300100603810060677543507860
Raddysh00865000050860508660603838100100