Game Recap

The Toronto Maple Leafs defeated the Buffalo Sabres 4-3 in overtime on October 25, 2025. Despite the result, the Buffalo Sabres held the edge in expected goals (4.75 to 3.81) at 5-on-5, indicating the Toronto Maple Leafs received favorable bounces or strong goaltending. The Buffalo Sabres created 9 high-danger scoring chances compared to 2 from the Toronto Maple Leafs at 5-on-5. Tage Thompson scored 2 goals. Alex Tuch was the most dangerous skater with 0.98 individual expected goals on 1 shots at 5-on-5. The Buffalo Sabres outshot the Toronto Maple Leafs 26-23 in total shots on goal.

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Buffalo Sabres logo
BUF3 - 4TOR (OT)
Oct 25, 2025 · Regular Season
Toronto Maple Leafs logo

Overview

PeriodCorsiFenwickShotsSCHDSCxGGoals
FA%FA%FA%FA%FA%FA%FA%
TORP1202643.5131644.861233.3142140.04640.03.153.2349.41150.0
P2191555.915962.511664.7111052.41420.03.082.0260.41150.0
P3111345.87943.85741.76940.02340.00.472.0618.71150.0
OT1233.31150.01150.01233.3010.00.300.2356.610100.0
Total515647.7363550.7232646.9324243.271433.37.017.5448.24357.1
BUFP1262056.5161355.212666.7211460.06460.03.233.1550.61150.0
P2151944.191537.561135.3101147.64180.02.023.0839.61150.0
P3131154.29756.37558.39660.03260.02.060.4781.31150.0
OT2166.71150.01150.02166.710100.00.230.3043.4010.0
Total565152.3353649.3262353.1423256.814766.77.547.0151.83442.9

Win Probability

0%25%50%75%100%P1P2P3OT0:0010:0020:0030:0040:0050:0060:00Home Win ProbabilityTORBUF
TOR Favored
BUF Favored
Goal
Power Play

Gameflow — Cumulative xG

0.00.51.01.52.02.53.03.54.04.55.05.56.06.57.07.58.0P1P2P3OT0:0010:0020:0030:0040:0050:0060:00Cumulative xG
TOR
BUF
Goal

Shot Density Heatmap

BUF Attempts
TOR Attempts

Individual Event Map

HtGvSMTk
BUF ShootTOR Shoot
SShot on Net
MMissed Shot
HtHit Taken
TkTakeaway
GvGiveaway

Player Matchup Grid

This grid shows how every skater on the home team (TOR) performed against every skater on the away team (BUF) when they were on the ice at the same time.

  • Rows = TOR players, Columns = BUF players. Forwards are listed first, then defensemen.
  • Green = the TOR player had a favorable matchup (above 50%). Red = unfavorable (below 50%).
  • Values shown from the home team's perspective. Toggle between CF% (shot attempt share) and xGF% (expected goal share).
  • Cells with fewer than 3 shared events are grayed out (insufficient sample). Hover over any cell for full details.
TOR ↓ / BUFKrebsMcLeodThompsonKulichDunneOstlundMalenstynBensonZuckerDoanTuchQuinnPowerTimminsSamuelssonDahlinByramMetsa
Matthews29693843060503633404571505646365680
Roy38100112538100422950435750536258115033
McMann296738400673341755055100505045336357
Tavares71693350801008633805658837067877150100
Joshua338013173838146740671005855331700
Domi6778029044402958676044753370603863
Jarnkrok506700044003625027250100292180
Lorentz5080000380055670291000100672086
Knies71653033801008630424450635567805743100
Robertson50705043010005075674380465044607380
Maccelli6464335086608950754055677073756729100
Cowan2989676717100176710083801006444831006067
Carlo4456252240100402657482350384745253975
Rielly637171586706758050502571527080310
McCabe20501514010001550412763272740174383
Ekman-Larsson55698364672260671345503375446790390
Benoit507827294386433063474456595075543375
Myers407825672073202563406788715067584383