Game Recap
The Toronto Maple Leafs defeated the Buffalo Sabres 4-3 in overtime on October 25, 2025. Despite the result, the Buffalo Sabres held the edge in expected goals (4.75 to 3.81) at 5-on-5, indicating the Toronto Maple Leafs received favorable bounces or strong goaltending. The Buffalo Sabres created 9 high-danger scoring chances compared to 2 from the Toronto Maple Leafs at 5-on-5. Tage Thompson scored 2 goals. Alex Tuch was the most dangerous skater with 0.98 individual expected goals on 1 shots at 5-on-5. The Buffalo Sabres outshot the Toronto Maple Leafs 26-23 in total shots on goal.
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- xG Gameflow — cumulative expected goals chart tracking each team's xG as Buffalo Sabres vs Toronto Maple Leafs progressed on Oct 25, 2025
- Shot heatmap — where shots were taken on the ice, color-coded by scoring probability
- Event timeline — every goal, penalty, and key play mapped chronologically
- Player matchup grid — head-to-head on-ice performance in Corsi and expected goals
- Strength filter — 5v5 by default, with options for power play, penalty kill, and all situations
BUF3 - 4TOR (OT)
Oct 25, 2025 · Regular Season
Overview
| Period | Corsi | Fenwick | Shots | SC | HDSC | xG | Goals | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| F | A | % | F | A | % | F | A | % | F | A | % | F | A | % | F | A | % | F | A | % | ||
| TOR | P1 | 20 | 26 | 43.5 | 13 | 16 | 44.8 | 6 | 12 | 33.3 | 14 | 21 | 40.0 | 4 | 6 | 40.0 | 3.15 | 3.23 | 49.4 | 1 | 1 | 50.0 |
| P2 | 19 | 15 | 55.9 | 15 | 9 | 62.5 | 11 | 6 | 64.7 | 11 | 10 | 52.4 | 1 | 4 | 20.0 | 3.08 | 2.02 | 60.4 | 1 | 1 | 50.0 | |
| P3 | 11 | 13 | 45.8 | 7 | 9 | 43.8 | 5 | 7 | 41.7 | 6 | 9 | 40.0 | 2 | 3 | 40.0 | 0.47 | 2.06 | 18.7 | 1 | 1 | 50.0 | |
| OT | 1 | 2 | 33.3 | 1 | 1 | 50.0 | 1 | 1 | 50.0 | 1 | 2 | 33.3 | 0 | 1 | 0.0 | 0.30 | 0.23 | 56.6 | 1 | 0 | 100.0 | |
| Total | 51 | 56 | 47.7 | 36 | 35 | 50.7 | 23 | 26 | 46.9 | 32 | 42 | 43.2 | 7 | 14 | 33.3 | 7.01 | 7.54 | 48.2 | 4 | 3 | 57.1 | |
| BUF | P1 | 26 | 20 | 56.5 | 16 | 13 | 55.2 | 12 | 6 | 66.7 | 21 | 14 | 60.0 | 6 | 4 | 60.0 | 3.23 | 3.15 | 50.6 | 1 | 1 | 50.0 |
| P2 | 15 | 19 | 44.1 | 9 | 15 | 37.5 | 6 | 11 | 35.3 | 10 | 11 | 47.6 | 4 | 1 | 80.0 | 2.02 | 3.08 | 39.6 | 1 | 1 | 50.0 | |
| P3 | 13 | 11 | 54.2 | 9 | 7 | 56.3 | 7 | 5 | 58.3 | 9 | 6 | 60.0 | 3 | 2 | 60.0 | 2.06 | 0.47 | 81.3 | 1 | 1 | 50.0 | |
| OT | 2 | 1 | 66.7 | 1 | 1 | 50.0 | 1 | 1 | 50.0 | 2 | 1 | 66.7 | 1 | 0 | 100.0 | 0.23 | 0.30 | 43.4 | 0 | 1 | 0.0 | |
| Total | 56 | 51 | 52.3 | 35 | 36 | 49.3 | 26 | 23 | 53.1 | 42 | 32 | 56.8 | 14 | 7 | 66.7 | 7.54 | 7.01 | 51.8 | 3 | 4 | 42.9 | |
Win Probability
TOR Favored
BUF Favored
Goal
Power Play
Gameflow — Cumulative xG
TOR
BUF
Goal
Shot Density Heatmap
BUF Attempts
TOR Attempts
Individual Event Map
BUF ShootTOR Shoot
Shot on Net
Missed Shot
Hit Taken
Takeaway
Giveaway
Player Matchup Grid
This grid shows how every skater on the home team (TOR) performed against every skater on the away team (BUF) when they were on the ice at the same time.
- Rows = TOR players, Columns = BUF players. Forwards are listed first, then defensemen.
- Green = the TOR player had a favorable matchup (above 50%). Red = unfavorable (below 50%).
- Values shown from the home team's perspective. Toggle between CF% (shot attempt share) and xGF% (expected goal share).
- Cells with fewer than 3 shared events are grayed out (insufficient sample). Hover over any cell for full details.
| TOR ↓ / BUF → | Krebs | McLeod | Thompson | Kulich | Dunne | Ostlund | Malenstyn | Benson | Zucker | Doan | Tuch | Quinn | Power | Timmins | Samuelsson | Dahlin | Byram | Metsa |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthews | 29 | 69 | 38 | 43 | 0 | 60 | 50 | 36 | 33 | 40 | 45 | 71 | 50 | 56 | 46 | 36 | 56 | 80 |
| Roy | 38 | 100 | 11 | 25 | 38 | 100 | 42 | 29 | 50 | 43 | 57 | 50 | 53 | 62 | 58 | 11 | 50 | 33 |
| McMann | 29 | 67 | 38 | 40 | 0 | 67 | 33 | 41 | 75 | 50 | 55 | 100 | 50 | 50 | 45 | 33 | 63 | 57 |
| Tavares | 71 | 69 | 33 | 50 | 80 | 100 | 86 | 33 | 80 | 56 | 58 | 83 | 70 | 67 | 87 | 71 | 50 | 100 |
| Joshua | 33 | 80 | 13 | 17 | 38 | — | 38 | 14 | 67 | 40 | 67 | 100 | 58 | 55 | 33 | 17 | 0 | 0 |
| Domi | 67 | 78 | 0 | 29 | 0 | 44 | 40 | 29 | 58 | 67 | 60 | 44 | 75 | 33 | 70 | 60 | 38 | 63 |
| Jarnkrok | 50 | 67 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 44 | 0 | 0 | 36 | 25 | 0 | 27 | 25 | 0 | 100 | 29 | 21 | 80 |
| Lorentz | 50 | 80 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 38 | 0 | 0 | 55 | 67 | 0 | 29 | 100 | 0 | 100 | 67 | 20 | 86 |
| Knies | 71 | 65 | 30 | 33 | 80 | 100 | 86 | 30 | 42 | 44 | 50 | 63 | 55 | 67 | 80 | 57 | 43 | 100 |
| Robertson | 50 | 70 | 50 | 43 | 0 | 100 | 0 | 50 | 75 | 67 | 43 | 80 | 46 | 50 | 44 | 60 | 73 | 80 |
| Maccelli | 64 | 64 | 33 | 50 | 86 | 60 | 89 | 50 | 75 | 40 | 55 | 67 | 70 | 73 | 75 | 67 | 29 | 100 |
| Cowan | 29 | 89 | 67 | 67 | 17 | 100 | 17 | 67 | 100 | 83 | 80 | 100 | 64 | 44 | 83 | 100 | 60 | 67 |
| Carlo | 44 | 56 | 25 | 22 | 40 | 100 | 40 | 26 | 57 | 48 | 23 | 50 | 38 | 47 | 45 | 25 | 39 | 75 |
| Rielly | 63 | 71 | 71 | 58 | 67 | 0 | 67 | 58 | 0 | 50 | 50 | 25 | 71 | 52 | 70 | 80 | 31 | 0 |
| McCabe | 20 | 50 | 15 | 14 | 0 | 100 | 0 | 15 | 50 | 41 | 27 | 63 | 27 | 27 | 40 | 17 | 43 | 83 |
| Ekman-Larsson | 55 | 69 | 83 | 64 | 67 | 22 | 60 | 67 | 13 | 45 | 50 | 33 | 75 | 44 | 67 | 90 | 39 | 0 |
| Benoit | 50 | 78 | 27 | 29 | 43 | 86 | 43 | 30 | 63 | 47 | 44 | 56 | 59 | 50 | 75 | 54 | 33 | 75 |
| Myers | 40 | 78 | 25 | 67 | 20 | 73 | 20 | 25 | 63 | 40 | 67 | 88 | 71 | 50 | 67 | 58 | 43 | 83 |
