Game Recap
The Tampa Bay Lightning defeated the Anaheim Ducks 4-3 on October 25, 2025. The Tampa Bay Lightning controlled play with 47.5% Corsi and generated 10.47 expected goals compared to 5.67 from the Anaheim Ducks at 5-on-5, suggesting the result was well-earned. The Tampa Bay Lightning created 16 high-danger scoring chances compared to 4 from the Anaheim Ducks at 5-on-5. Jake Guentzel scored 2 goals. Anthony Cirelli scored 2 goals. The Anaheim Ducks outshot the Tampa Bay Lightning 40-33 in total shots on goal.
← Back to Games

- xG Gameflow — cumulative expected goals chart tracking each team's xG as Anaheim Ducks vs Tampa Bay Lightning progressed on Oct 25, 2025
- Shot heatmap — where shots were taken on the ice, color-coded by scoring probability
- Event timeline — every goal, penalty, and key play mapped chronologically
- Player matchup grid — head-to-head on-ice performance in Corsi and expected goals
- Strength filter — 5v5 by default, with options for power play, penalty kill, and all situations
ANA3 - 4TBL
Oct 25, 2025 · Regular Season
Overview
| Period | Corsi | Fenwick | Shots | SC | HDSC | xG | Goals | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| F | A | % | F | A | % | F | A | % | F | A | % | F | A | % | F | A | % | F | A | % | ||
| TBL | P1 | 16 | 24 | 40.0 | 13 | 18 | 41.9 | 12 | 15 | 44.4 | 12 | 20 | 37.5 | 3 | 5 | 37.5 | 2.00 | 4.04 | 33.1 | 1 | 0 | 100.0 |
| P2 | 23 | 24 | 48.9 | 18 | 17 | 51.4 | 9 | 14 | 39.1 | 18 | 18 | 50.0 | 8 | 0 | 100.0 | 5.76 | 1.88 | 75.4 | 2 | 1 | 66.7 | |
| P3 | 34 | 16 | 68.0 | 24 | 14 | 63.2 | 12 | 11 | 52.2 | 23 | 13 | 63.9 | 7 | 3 | 70.0 | 5.68 | 2.23 | 71.8 | 1 | 2 | 33.3 | |
| Total | 73 | 64 | 53.3 | 55 | 49 | 52.9 | 33 | 40 | 45.2 | 53 | 51 | 51.0 | 18 | 8 | 69.2 | 13.43 | 8.15 | 62.2 | 4 | 3 | 57.1 | |
| ANA | P1 | 24 | 16 | 60.0 | 18 | 13 | 58.1 | 15 | 12 | 55.6 | 20 | 12 | 62.5 | 5 | 3 | 62.5 | 4.04 | 2.00 | 66.9 | 0 | 1 | 0.0 |
| P2 | 24 | 23 | 51.1 | 17 | 18 | 48.6 | 14 | 9 | 60.9 | 18 | 18 | 50.0 | 0 | 8 | 0.0 | 1.88 | 5.76 | 24.6 | 1 | 2 | 33.3 | |
| P3 | 16 | 34 | 32.0 | 14 | 24 | 36.8 | 11 | 12 | 47.8 | 13 | 23 | 36.1 | 3 | 7 | 30.0 | 2.23 | 5.68 | 28.2 | 2 | 1 | 66.7 | |
| Total | 64 | 73 | 46.7 | 49 | 55 | 47.1 | 40 | 33 | 54.8 | 51 | 53 | 49.0 | 8 | 18 | 30.8 | 8.15 | 13.43 | 37.8 | 3 | 4 | 42.9 | |
Win Probability
TBL Favored
ANA Favored
Goal
Power Play
Gameflow — Cumulative xG
TBL
ANA
Goal
Shot Density Heatmap
ANA Attempts
TBL Attempts
Individual Event Map
ANA ShootTBL Shoot
Shot on Net
Hit Taken
Giveaway
Player Matchup Grid
This grid shows how every skater on the home team (TBL) performed against every skater on the away team (ANA) when they were on the ice at the same time.
- Rows = TBL players, Columns = ANA players. Forwards are listed first, then defensemen.
- Green = the TBL player had a favorable matchup (above 50%). Red = unfavorable (below 50%).
- Values shown from the home team's perspective. Toggle between CF% (shot attempt share) and xGF% (expected goal share).
- Cells with fewer than 3 shared events are grayed out (insufficient sample). Hover over any cell for full details.
| TBL ↓ / ANA → | Carlsson | McTavish | Poehling | Nesterenko | Granlund | Gauthier | Killorn | Johnston | Terry | Sennecke | Vatrano | Colangelo | Trouba | LaCombe | Helleson | Zellweger | Mintyukov | Moore |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cirelli | 42 | 74 | 90 | 50 | 0 | 28 | 56 | 100 | 29 | 82 | 50 | 100 | 62 | 56 | 78 | 64 | 67 | 54 |
| Guentzel | 48 | 67 | 72 | 54 | 100 | 0 | 58 | 86 | 60 | 67 | 80 | 69 | 60 | 66 | 71 | 58 | 67 | 67 |
| Point | 59 | 67 | 79 | 55 | 50 | 0 | 61 | 83 | 69 | 63 | 90 | 43 | 61 | 77 | 81 | 25 | 73 | 67 |
| Girgensons | 25 | 67 | 25 | 82 | 25 | 22 | 25 | 0 | 31 | 100 | 33 | 63 | 25 | 30 | 56 | 33 | 55 | 83 |
| James | 50 | 56 | 56 | 33 | 0 | 42 | 44 | 43 | 50 | 67 | 63 | 100 | 50 | 33 | 60 | 56 | 60 | 33 |
| Gourde | 22 | 63 | 23 | 83 | 25 | 14 | 25 | 0 | 30 | 100 | 33 | 63 | 38 | 46 | 33 | 33 | 38 | 100 |
| Goncalves | 50 | 67 | 50 | 33 | 0 | 43 | 67 | 33 | 50 | 67 | 71 | 100 | 55 | 40 | 50 | 63 | 50 | — |
| Douglas | — | 100 | 100 | — | — | — | 100 | 100 | — | 100 | 100 | 100 | — | 100 | 100 | — | 100 | 100 |
| Hagel | 26 | 84 | 50 | 54 | 0 | 30 | 40 | 100 | 19 | 89 | 50 | 100 | 48 | 39 | 67 | 50 | 65 | 58 |
| Kucherov | 55 | 67 | 79 | 73 | 100 | 22 | 65 | 83 | 69 | 65 | 80 | 43 | 65 | 78 | 74 | 38 | 64 | 75 |
| Holmberg | 20 | 60 | 25 | 80 | 100 | 0 | 22 | 0 | 40 | 100 | 44 | 63 | 25 | 50 | 38 | 33 | 43 | 83 |
| Bjorkstrand | 50 | 80 | 56 | 50 | 67 | 33 | 67 | 43 | 78 | 67 | 75 | 100 | 56 | 75 | 73 | 67 | 43 | 0 |
| Hedman | 58 | 70 | 92 | 73 | 50 | 11 | 54 | 100 | 63 | 76 | 88 | 78 | 70 | 76 | 76 | 75 | 57 | 69 |
| Moser | 20 | 69 | 73 | 65 | 0 | 30 | 20 | 75 | 21 | 76 | 77 | 67 | 46 | 48 | 67 | 58 | 64 | 90 |
| McDonagh | 21 | 82 | 20 | 56 | 0 | 27 | 53 | 60 | 16 | 57 | 13 | — | 33 | 24 | 54 | 13 | 63 | 50 |
| Cernak | 22 | 80 | 0 | 57 | 0 | 25 | 44 | 60 | 14 | 73 | 40 | — | 43 | 29 | 45 | 40 | 57 | 43 |
| D'Astous | 33 | 50 | 37 | 50 | 50 | 25 | 33 | 23 | 50 | 100 | 36 | 50 | 28 | 33 | 55 | 29 | 67 | 67 |
| Lilleberg | 0 | 60 | 37 | 50 | 50 | 50 | 33 | 21 | 50 | 100 | 22 | 67 | 23 | 33 | 56 | 25 | 56 | 67 |
