Game Recap

The Buffalo Sabres defeated the Toronto Maple Leafs 5-3 on October 24, 2025. Despite the result, the Toronto Maple Leafs held the edge in expected goals (6.11 to 5.14) at 5-on-5, indicating the Buffalo Sabres received favorable bounces or strong goaltending. The Toronto Maple Leafs created 12 high-danger scoring chances compared to 6 from the Buffalo Sabres at 5-on-5. Mattias Samuelsson scored 2 goals. Beck Malenstyn was the most dangerous skater with 1.08 individual expected goals on 2 shots at 5-on-5. The Toronto Maple Leafs outshot the Buffalo Sabres 34-30 in total shots on goal.

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Toronto Maple Leafs logo
TOR3 - 5BUF
Oct 24, 2025 · Regular Season
Buffalo Sabres logo

Overview

PeriodCorsiFenwickShotsSCHDSCxGGoals
FA%FA%FA%FA%FA%FA%FA%
BUFP1251858.1161257.112957.1171356.74544.42.552.8447.32250.0
P2182343.9151550.091145.0111542.32722.22.122.6844.220100.0
P3162737.2141843.891439.1111936.72625.02.364.1536.31150.0
Total596846.5454550.0303446.9394745.381830.87.039.6642.15362.5
TORP1182541.9121642.991242.9131743.35455.62.842.5552.72250.0
P2231856.1151550.011955.0151157.77277.82.682.1255.8020.0
P3271662.8181456.314960.9191163.36275.04.152.3663.71150.0
Total685953.5454550.0343053.1473954.718869.29.667.0357.93537.5

Win Probability

0%25%50%75%100%P1P2P30:0010:0020:0030:0040:0050:0060:00Home Win ProbabilityBUFTOR
BUF Favored
TOR Favored
Goal
Power Play

Gameflow — Cumulative xG

0.00.51.01.52.02.53.03.54.04.55.05.56.06.57.07.58.08.59.09.510.0P1P2P30:0010:0020:0030:0040:0050:0060:00Cumulative xG
BUF
TOR
Goal

Shot Density Heatmap

TOR Attempts
BUF Attempts

Individual Event Map

MMSvSvSvGASvSvSvSvSvSvSvSvMSvGAGASvMMSvSvSvSvMSvSvSvSvMSvSvSvSvMMSvMSvMSvSvSvSv
TOR ShootBUF Shoot
SvSave
GAGoal Against
MMissed Shot Against

Player Matchup Grid

This grid shows how every skater on the home team (BUF) performed against every skater on the away team (TOR) when they were on the ice at the same time.

  • Rows = BUF players, Columns = TOR players. Forwards are listed first, then defensemen.
  • Green = the BUF player had a favorable matchup (above 50%). Red = unfavorable (below 50%).
  • Values shown from the home team's perspective. Toggle between CF% (shot attempt share) and xGF% (expected goal share).
  • Cells with fewer than 3 shared events are grayed out (insufficient sample). Hover over any cell for full details.
BUF ↓ / TORMatthewsTavaresMcMannRoyDomiJoshuaLorentzJarnkrokKniesMaccelliNylanderCowanEkman-LarssonCarloMcCabeBenoitMyersMermis
McLeod264144453846606040632560336247427864
Thompson641553563322405029226740356477455340
Kulich591853252022335033226433325640385740
Krebs31938753350206715133663315042173842
Ostlund407350290170070734025184071632257
Kozak50050100100005010033335050
Benson654659504429565754447138506569506350
Zucker7575754001420071755025186473673375
Malenstyn36274075067060310426742463303842
Tuch323650693057506730561464297263507367
Quinn67827133222503377775050296264633383
Doan71715657677510010073795063637057507875
Samuelsson292950573850435632463862275058415560
Timmins19223640332225402750245519435757038
Dahlin555658624458385053675544527167585640
Power67455833250337548446743335958365070
Byram685060642550304350536370506253366360
Metsa505650301736404050563343254325335071