Game Recap
A wild one ended 5-3 in favor of the Buffalo Sabres over the Toronto Maple Leafs on Friday. Mattias Samuelsson found the net 2 times. Dig into the 5-on-5 data, and TOR had the better of it (6.11 xG to 5.14). Sometimes the bounces just don't go your way. Beck Malenstyn generated the most offense at even strength with 1.08 ixG on 2 shots.
← Back to Games

- xG Gameflow — cumulative expected goals chart tracking each team's xG as Toronto Maple Leafs vs Buffalo Sabres progressed on Oct 24, 2025
- Shot heatmap — where shots were taken on the ice, color-coded by scoring probability
- Event timeline — every goal, penalty, and key play mapped chronologically
- Player matchup grid — head-to-head on-ice performance in Corsi and expected goals
- Strength filter — 5v5 by default, with options for power play, penalty kill, and all situations
TOR3 - 5BUF
Oct 24, 2025 · Regular Season
Overview
| Period | Corsi | Fenwick | Shots | SC | HDSC | xG | Goals | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| F | A | % | F | A | % | F | A | % | F | A | % | F | A | % | F | A | % | F | A | % | ||
| BUF | P1 | 25 | 18 | 58.1 | 16 | 12 | 57.1 | 12 | 9 | 57.1 | 17 | 13 | 56.7 | 4 | 5 | 44.4 | 2.55 | 2.84 | 47.3 | 2 | 2 | 50.0 |
| P2 | 18 | 23 | 43.9 | 15 | 15 | 50.0 | 9 | 11 | 45.0 | 11 | 15 | 42.3 | 2 | 7 | 22.2 | 2.12 | 2.68 | 44.2 | 2 | 0 | 100.0 | |
| P3 | 16 | 27 | 37.2 | 14 | 18 | 43.8 | 9 | 14 | 39.1 | 11 | 19 | 36.7 | 2 | 6 | 25.0 | 2.36 | 4.15 | 36.3 | 1 | 1 | 50.0 | |
| Total | 59 | 68 | 46.5 | 45 | 45 | 50.0 | 30 | 34 | 46.9 | 39 | 47 | 45.3 | 8 | 18 | 30.8 | 7.03 | 9.66 | 42.1 | 5 | 3 | 62.5 | |
| TOR | P1 | 18 | 25 | 41.9 | 12 | 16 | 42.9 | 9 | 12 | 42.9 | 13 | 17 | 43.3 | 5 | 4 | 55.6 | 2.84 | 2.55 | 52.7 | 2 | 2 | 50.0 |
| P2 | 23 | 18 | 56.1 | 15 | 15 | 50.0 | 11 | 9 | 55.0 | 15 | 11 | 57.7 | 7 | 2 | 77.8 | 2.68 | 2.12 | 55.8 | 0 | 2 | 0.0 | |
| P3 | 27 | 16 | 62.8 | 18 | 14 | 56.3 | 14 | 9 | 60.9 | 19 | 11 | 63.3 | 6 | 2 | 75.0 | 4.15 | 2.36 | 63.7 | 1 | 1 | 50.0 | |
| Total | 68 | 59 | 53.5 | 45 | 45 | 50.0 | 34 | 30 | 53.1 | 47 | 39 | 54.7 | 18 | 8 | 69.2 | 9.66 | 7.03 | 57.9 | 3 | 5 | 37.5 | |
Win Probability
BUF Favored
TOR Favored
Goal
Power Play
Gameflow — Cumulative xG
BUF
TOR
Goal
Shot Density Heatmap
TOR Attempts
BUF Attempts
Individual Event Map
TOR ShootBUF Shoot
Save
Goal Against
Missed Shot Against
Player Matchup Grid
This grid shows how every skater on the home team (BUF) performed against every skater on the away team (TOR) when they were on the ice at the same time.
- Rows = BUF players, Columns = TOR players. Forwards are listed first, then defensemen.
- Green = the BUF player had a favorable matchup (above 50%). Red = unfavorable (below 50%).
- Values shown from the home team's perspective. Toggle between CF% (shot attempt share) and xGF% (expected goal share).
- Cells with fewer than 3 shared events are grayed out (insufficient sample). Hover over any cell for full details.
| BUF ↓ / TOR → | Matthews | Tavares | McMann | Roy | Domi | Joshua | Lorentz | Jarnkrok | Knies | Maccelli | Nylander | Cowan | Ekman-Larsson | Carlo | McCabe | Benoit | Myers | Mermis |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| McLeod | 26 | 41 | 44 | 45 | 38 | 46 | 60 | 60 | 40 | 63 | 25 | 60 | 33 | 62 | 47 | 42 | 78 | 64 |
| Thompson | 64 | 15 | 53 | 56 | 33 | 22 | 40 | 50 | 29 | 22 | 67 | 40 | 35 | 64 | 77 | 45 | 53 | 40 |
| Kulich | 59 | 18 | 53 | 25 | 20 | 22 | 33 | 50 | 33 | 22 | 64 | 33 | 32 | 56 | 40 | 38 | 57 | 40 |
| Krebs | 31 | 9 | 38 | 75 | 33 | 50 | 20 | 67 | 15 | 13 | 36 | 63 | 31 | 50 | 42 | 17 | 38 | 42 |
| Ostlund | 40 | 73 | 50 | 29 | 0 | 17 | 0 | 0 | 70 | 73 | 40 | 25 | 18 | 40 | 71 | 63 | 22 | 57 |
| Kozak | 50 | 0 | 50 | 100 | — | 100 | — | — | 0 | 0 | 50 | 100 | 33 | 33 | — | — | 50 | 50 |
| Benson | 65 | 46 | 59 | 50 | 44 | 29 | 56 | 57 | 54 | 44 | 71 | 38 | 50 | 65 | 69 | 50 | 63 | 50 |
| Zucker | 75 | 75 | 75 | 40 | 0 | 14 | 20 | 0 | 71 | 75 | 50 | 25 | 18 | 64 | 73 | 67 | 33 | 75 |
| Malenstyn | 36 | 27 | 40 | 75 | 0 | 67 | 0 | 60 | 31 | 0 | 42 | 67 | 42 | 46 | 33 | 0 | 38 | 42 |
| Tuch | 32 | 36 | 50 | 69 | 30 | 57 | 50 | 67 | 30 | 56 | 14 | 64 | 29 | 72 | 63 | 50 | 73 | 67 |
| Quinn | 67 | 82 | 71 | 33 | 22 | 25 | 0 | 33 | 77 | 77 | 50 | 50 | 29 | 62 | 64 | 63 | 33 | 83 |
| Doan | 71 | 71 | 56 | 57 | 67 | 75 | 100 | 100 | 73 | 79 | 50 | 63 | 63 | 70 | 57 | 50 | 78 | 75 |
| Samuelsson | 29 | 29 | 50 | 57 | 38 | 50 | 43 | 56 | 32 | 46 | 38 | 62 | 27 | 50 | 58 | 41 | 55 | 60 |
| Timmins | 19 | 22 | 36 | 40 | 33 | 22 | 25 | 40 | 27 | 50 | 24 | 55 | 19 | 43 | 57 | 57 | 0 | 38 |
| Dahlin | 55 | 56 | 58 | 62 | 44 | 58 | 38 | 50 | 53 | 67 | 55 | 44 | 52 | 71 | 67 | 58 | 56 | 40 |
| Power | 67 | 45 | 58 | 33 | 25 | 0 | 33 | 75 | 48 | 44 | 67 | 43 | 33 | 59 | 58 | 36 | 50 | 70 |
| Byram | 68 | 50 | 60 | 64 | 25 | 50 | 30 | 43 | 50 | 53 | 63 | 70 | 50 | 62 | 53 | 36 | 63 | 60 |
| Metsa | 50 | 56 | 50 | 30 | 17 | 36 | 40 | 40 | 50 | 56 | 33 | 43 | 25 | 43 | 25 | 33 | 50 | 71 |
