Game Recap
The Montreal Canadiens defeated the Nashville Predators 3-2 in overtime on October 16, 2025. The Montreal Canadiens controlled play with 51.3% Corsi and generated 7.14 expected goals compared to 5.79 from the Nashville Predators at 5-on-5, suggesting the result was well-earned. The Montreal Canadiens created 11 high-danger scoring chances compared to 6 from the Nashville Predators at 5-on-5. Cole Caufield scored 2 goals. Oliver Kapanen was the most dangerous skater with 1.43 individual expected goals on 3 shots at 5-on-5. The Montreal Canadiens outshot the Nashville Predators 30-19 in total shots on goal.
- xG Gameflow — cumulative expected goals chart tracking each team's xG as Nashville Predators vs Montreal Canadiens progressed on Oct 16, 2025
- Shot heatmap — where shots were taken on the ice, color-coded by scoring probability
- Event timeline — every goal, penalty, and key play mapped chronologically
- Player matchup grid — head-to-head on-ice performance in Corsi and expected goals
- Strength filter — 5v5 by default, with options for power play, penalty kill, and all situations
Overview
| Period | Corsi | Fenwick | Shots | SC | HDSC | xG | Goals | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| F | A | % | F | A | % | F | A | % | F | A | % | F | A | % | F | A | % | F | A | % | ||
| MTL | P1 | 15 | 14 | 51.7 | 9 | 11 | 45.0 | 6 | 6 | 50.0 | 7 | 9 | 43.8 | 4 | 2 | 66.7 | 2.25 | 2.54 | 47.0 | 0 | 0 | — |
| P2 | 16 | 22 | 42.1 | 14 | 12 | 53.8 | 10 | 6 | 62.5 | 8 | 18 | 30.8 | 3 | 4 | 42.9 | 2.36 | 3.06 | 43.5 | 0 | 1 | 0.0 | |
| P3 | 20 | 12 | 62.5 | 15 | 8 | 65.2 | 11 | 4 | 73.3 | 17 | 9 | 65.4 | 8 | 2 | 80.0 | 4.36 | 1.65 | 72.5 | 2 | 1 | 66.7 | |
| OT | 6 | 5 | 54.5 | 6 | 3 | 66.7 | 3 | 3 | 50.0 | 5 | 5 | 50.0 | 1 | 2 | 33.3 | 1.91 | 1.46 | 56.7 | 1 | 0 | 100.0 | |
| Total | 57 | 53 | 51.8 | 44 | 34 | 56.4 | 30 | 19 | 61.2 | 37 | 41 | 47.4 | 16 | 10 | 61.5 | 10.88 | 8.71 | 55.5 | 3 | 2 | 60.0 | |
| NSH | P1 | 14 | 15 | 48.3 | 11 | 9 | 55.0 | 6 | 6 | 50.0 | 9 | 7 | 56.3 | 2 | 4 | 33.3 | 2.54 | 2.25 | 53.0 | 0 | 0 | — |
| P2 | 22 | 16 | 57.9 | 12 | 14 | 46.2 | 6 | 10 | 37.5 | 18 | 8 | 69.2 | 4 | 3 | 57.1 | 3.06 | 2.36 | 56.5 | 1 | 0 | 100.0 | |
| P3 | 12 | 20 | 37.5 | 8 | 15 | 34.8 | 4 | 11 | 26.7 | 9 | 17 | 34.6 | 2 | 8 | 20.0 | 1.65 | 4.36 | 27.5 | 1 | 2 | 33.3 | |
| OT | 5 | 6 | 45.5 | 3 | 6 | 33.3 | 3 | 3 | 50.0 | 5 | 5 | 50.0 | 2 | 1 | 66.7 | 1.46 | 1.91 | 43.3 | 0 | 1 | 0.0 | |
| Total | 53 | 57 | 48.2 | 34 | 44 | 43.6 | 19 | 30 | 38.8 | 41 | 37 | 52.6 | 10 | 16 | 38.5 | 8.71 | 10.88 | 44.5 | 2 | 3 | 40.0 | |
Win Probability
Gameflow — Cumulative xG
Shot Density Heatmap
Individual Event Map
Player Matchup Grid
This grid shows how every skater on the home team (MTL) performed against every skater on the away team (NSH) when they were on the ice at the same time.
- Rows = MTL players, Columns = NSH players. Forwards are listed first, then defensemen.
- Green = the MTL player had a favorable matchup (above 50%). Red = unfavorable (below 50%).
- Values shown from the home team's perspective. Toggle between CF% (shot attempt share) and xGF% (expected goal share).
- Cells with fewer than 3 shared events are grayed out (insufficient sample). Hover over any cell for full details.
| MTL ↓ / NSH → | O'Reilly | Stamkos | McCarron | Jost | Svechkov | Wiesblatt | Haula | Forsberg | Bunting | Marchessault | Smith | Evangelista | Josi | Skjei | Perbix | Wilsby | Barron | Stastney |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Suzuki | 79 | 80 | 78 | 67 | 100 | 33 | 61 | 86 | 50 | 53 | 63 | 100 | 69 | 67 | 68 | 67 | 67 | 67 |
| Dach | 56 | 29 | 25 | 10 | 22 | 25 | 83 | 14 | 71 | 83 | 64 | 11 | 50 | 47 | 54 | 45 | 20 | 29 |
| Newhook | 57 | 57 | 0 | 67 | 67 | 0 | 50 | 50 | 50 | 33 | 50 | 67 | 30 | 89 | 89 | 38 | 50 | 50 |
| Evans | 40 | 22 | 25 | 0 | 0 | 25 | 100 | 22 | 33 | 38 | 25 | 0 | 17 | 60 | 60 | 33 | 50 | 50 |
| Kapanen | 20 | 20 | — | 67 | 67 | — | 60 | 20 | 60 | 25 | — | 67 | 14 | 88 | 88 | 20 | 33 | 33 |
| Slafkovský | 73 | 73 | 75 | 67 | 100 | 0 | 65 | 80 | 55 | 57 | 57 | 100 | 80 | 64 | 65 | 78 | 50 | 50 |
| Laine | 75 | 0 | 25 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 100 | 50 | 100 | 100 | 42 | 0 | 44 | 43 | 50 | 50 | 25 | 25 |
| Caufield | 73 | 73 | 71 | 67 | 100 | 0 | 65 | 79 | 55 | 57 | 50 | 100 | 70 | 67 | 67 | 70 | 50 | 50 |
| Bolduc | 43 | 17 | 57 | 11 | 22 | 50 | 75 | 14 | 71 | 83 | 70 | 11 | 56 | 54 | 62 | 40 | 20 | 29 |
| Gallagher | 57 | 20 | 60 | 11 | 20 | 60 | 83 | 0 | 71 | 83 | 80 | 10 | 56 | 58 | 64 | 45 | 22 | 33 |
| Anderson | 40 | 22 | 20 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 100 | 22 | 33 | 38 | 25 | 0 | 15 | 38 | 43 | 33 | 67 | 67 |
| Demidov | 67 | 60 | 100 | 75 | 75 | — | 70 | 75 | 50 | 40 | 83 | 73 | 50 | 93 | 93 | 50 | 50 | 50 |
| Matheson | 47 | 37 | 33 | 22 | 17 | 33 | 63 | 35 | 53 | 43 | 50 | 38 | 20 | 59 | 64 | 30 | 25 | 40 |
| Dobson | 53 | 42 | 67 | 22 | 17 | 33 | 79 | 56 | 70 | 53 | 70 | 17 | 47 | 64 | 70 | 50 | 0 | 0 |
| Hutson | 86 | 100 | 75 | 57 | 58 | 0 | 75 | 100 | 70 | 70 | 57 | 60 | 62 | 82 | 83 | 58 | 50 | 50 |
| Carrier | 67 | 46 | 25 | 0 | 33 | 33 | 100 | 36 | 33 | 50 | 45 | 0 | 36 | 67 | 67 | 50 | 43 | 43 |
| Guhle | 57 | 50 | 17 | 63 | 63 | 17 | 40 | 50 | 36 | 44 | 17 | 50 | 31 | 67 | 67 | 33 | 17 | 17 |
| Struble | 33 | 33 | 25 | 50 | 60 | 40 | 100 | 0 | 100 | 100 | 50 | 50 | 50 | 0 | 0 | 50 | 57 | 57 |
