Game Recap
The Buffalo Sabres defeated the Ottawa Senators 8-4 on October 15, 2025. Despite the result, the Ottawa Senators held the edge in expected goals (7.69 to 6.09) at 5-on-5, indicating the Buffalo Sabres received favorable bounces or strong goaltending. The Ottawa Senators created 14 high-danger scoring chances compared to 11 from the Buffalo Sabres at 5-on-5. Ryan McLeod scored 2 goals. Jack Quinn scored 2 goals. Jason Zucker scored 2 goals. Tim Stützle was the most dangerous skater with 2.54 individual expected goals on 4 shots at 5-on-5. The Ottawa Senators outshot the Buffalo Sabres 37-27 in total shots on goal.
- xG Gameflow — cumulative expected goals chart tracking each team's xG as Ottawa Senators vs Buffalo Sabres progressed on Oct 15, 2025
- Shot heatmap — where shots were taken on the ice, color-coded by scoring probability
- Event timeline — every goal, penalty, and key play mapped chronologically
- Player matchup grid — head-to-head on-ice performance in Corsi and expected goals
- Strength filter — 5v5 by default, with options for power play, penalty kill, and all situations
Overview
| Period | Corsi | Fenwick | Shots | SC | HDSC | xG | Goals | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| F | A | % | F | A | % | F | A | % | F | A | % | F | A | % | F | A | % | F | A | % | ||
| BUF | P1 | 11 | 24 | 31.4 | 6 | 10 | 37.5 | 3 | 8 | 27.3 | 8 | 19 | 29.6 | 1 | 7 | 12.5 | 0.66 | 2.50 | 21.0 | 1 | 1 | 50.0 |
| P2 | 24 | 30 | 44.4 | 22 | 23 | 48.9 | 20 | 17 | 54.1 | 18 | 21 | 46.2 | 10 | 6 | 62.5 | 6.94 | 4.43 | 61.0 | 4 | 1 | 80.0 | |
| P3 | 7 | 24 | 22.6 | 4 | 19 | 17.4 | 4 | 12 | 25.0 | 6 | 15 | 28.6 | 4 | 5 | 44.4 | 1.39 | 3.74 | 27.1 | 3 | 2 | 60.0 | |
| Total | 42 | 78 | 35.0 | 32 | 52 | 38.1 | 27 | 37 | 42.2 | 32 | 55 | 36.8 | 15 | 18 | 45.5 | 8.99 | 10.67 | 45.7 | 8 | 4 | 66.7 | |
| OTT | P1 | 24 | 11 | 68.6 | 10 | 6 | 62.5 | 8 | 3 | 72.7 | 19 | 8 | 70.4 | 7 | 1 | 87.5 | 2.50 | 0.66 | 79.0 | 1 | 1 | 50.0 |
| P2 | 30 | 24 | 55.6 | 23 | 22 | 51.1 | 17 | 20 | 45.9 | 21 | 18 | 53.8 | 6 | 10 | 37.5 | 4.43 | 6.94 | 39.0 | 1 | 4 | 20.0 | |
| P3 | 24 | 7 | 77.4 | 19 | 4 | 82.6 | 12 | 4 | 75.0 | 15 | 6 | 71.4 | 5 | 4 | 55.6 | 3.74 | 1.39 | 72.9 | 2 | 3 | 40.0 | |
| Total | 78 | 42 | 65.0 | 52 | 32 | 61.9 | 37 | 27 | 57.8 | 55 | 32 | 63.2 | 18 | 15 | 54.5 | 10.67 | 8.99 | 54.3 | 4 | 8 | 33.3 | |
Win Probability
Gameflow — Cumulative xG
Shot Density Heatmap
Individual Event Map
Player Matchup Grid
This grid shows how every skater on the home team (BUF) performed against every skater on the away team (OTT) when they were on the ice at the same time.
- Rows = BUF players, Columns = OTT players. Forwards are listed first, then defensemen.
- Green = the BUF player had a favorable matchup (above 50%). Red = unfavorable (below 50%).
- Values shown from the home team's perspective. Toggle between CF% (shot attempt share) and xGF% (expected goal share).
- Cells with fewer than 3 shared events are grayed out (insufficient sample). Hover over any cell for full details.
| BUF ↓ / OTT → | Stützle | Greig | Pinto | Eller | Cozens | Cousins | Zetterlund | Perron | Batherson | Amadio | Giroux | Lycksell | Sanderson | Chabot | Zub | Spence | Jensen | Kleven |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thompson | 41 | 33 | 43 | 47 | 75 | 40 | 29 | 50 | 75 | 32 | 20 | 50 | 41 | 50 | 50 | 40 | 45 | 50 |
| McLeod | 46 | 53 | 62 | 63 | 64 | 50 | 44 | 67 | 56 | 22 | 55 | 86 | 36 | 64 | 67 | 17 | 63 | 60 |
| Krebs | 40 | 57 | 62 | 25 | 40 | 25 | 50 | 25 | 50 | 17 | 73 | 25 | 27 | 38 | 50 | 38 | 44 | 64 |
| Kulich | 50 | 0 | 29 | 33 | 50 | 31 | 38 | 50 | 50 | 20 | 50 | 29 | 19 | 40 | 21 | 45 | 14 | 46 |
| Kozak | 33 | 13 | 29 | 43 | 20 | 50 | 42 | 25 | 20 | 29 | 11 | 86 | 23 | 50 | 60 | 13 | 67 | 33 |
| Benson | 50 | 50 | 62 | 80 | 58 | 67 | 33 | 58 | 58 | 29 | 75 | 80 | 46 | 64 | 53 | 43 | 40 | 67 |
| Zucker | 33 | 82 | 79 | 75 | 50 | 67 | 25 | 33 | 60 | 36 | 88 | 75 | 57 | 70 | 75 | 44 | 64 | 63 |
| Malenstyn | 10 | 22 | 22 | 17 | 17 | 17 | 25 | 17 | 17 | 20 | 20 | 17 | 14 | 17 | 50 | 20 | 25 | 29 |
| Tuch | 32 | 35 | 55 | 45 | 50 | 20 | 37 | 70 | 45 | 23 | 50 | 60 | 19 | 62 | 45 | 38 | 57 | 57 |
| Quinn | 22 | 53 | 64 | 33 | 25 | 27 | 40 | 22 | 31 | 25 | 67 | 33 | 18 | 47 | 38 | 41 | 55 | 67 |
| Doan | 36 | 67 | 60 | 55 | 88 | 25 | 22 | 67 | 70 | 36 | 75 | 33 | 60 | 59 | 70 | 40 | 47 | 38 |
| Danforth | 0 | 14 | 17 | 20 | 33 | 0 | — | 50 | 33 | 100 | 17 | 0 | 20 | 17 | 33 | 20 | 50 | 50 |
| Dahlin | 26 | 53 | 55 | 63 | 42 | 50 | 15 | 47 | 46 | 25 | 57 | 63 | 44 | 55 | 58 | 27 | 47 | 33 |
| Power | 37 | 26 | 47 | 33 | 33 | 43 | 53 | 43 | 33 | 20 | 50 | 62 | 22 | 48 | 55 | 50 | 52 | 60 |
| Byram | 41 | 47 | 55 | 62 | 50 | 40 | 35 | 56 | 47 | 28 | 45 | 73 | 34 | 50 | 50 | 30 | 47 | 64 |
| Timmins | 13 | 26 | 43 | 29 | 26 | 44 | 20 | 31 | 24 | 11 | 40 | 40 | 10 | 35 | 50 | 67 | 35 | 64 |
| Bryson | 50 | 50 | 38 | 8 | 63 | 8 | 43 | 25 | 63 | 30 | 50 | 8 | 7 | 71 | 17 | 23 | 63 | 38 |
| Johnson | 0 | 57 | 25 | 0 | 80 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 80 | 0 | 25 | 0 | 0 | 50 | 0 | 17 | 80 | 33 |
