Game Recap

The Washington Capitals defeated the Tampa Bay Lightning 3-2 in overtime on October 14, 2025. The Washington Capitals controlled play with 58.3% Corsi and generated 6.12 expected goals compared to 4.84 from the Tampa Bay Lightning at 5-on-5, suggesting the result was well-earned. The Washington Capitals created 8 high-danger scoring chances compared to 6 from the Tampa Bay Lightning at 5-on-5. Jake Guentzel was the most dangerous skater with 1.54 individual expected goals on 2 shots at 5-on-5. The Washington Capitals outshot the Tampa Bay Lightning 28-19 in total shots on goal.

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Tampa Bay Lightning logo
TBL2 - 3WSH (OT)
Oct 14, 2025 · Regular Season
Washington Capitals logo

Overview

PeriodCorsiFenwickShotsSCHDSCxGGoals
FA%FA%FA%FA%FA%FA%FA%
WSHP1151353.691145.07846.77943.82433.30.983.1923.5010.0
P2251365.8191065.58561.516964.03175.03.241.0475.710100.0
P3181162.114863.611664.716866.76185.73.641.3273.41150.0
OT60100.050100.020100.050100.020100.01.390.00100.010100.0
Total643763.4472961.8281959.6442662.913668.49.265.5562.53260.0
TBLP1131546.411955.08753.39756.34266.73.190.9876.510100.0
P2132534.2101934.55838.591636.01325.01.043.2424.3010.0
P3111837.981436.461135.381633.31614.31.323.6426.61150.0
OT060.0050.0020.0050.0020.00.001.390.0010.0
Total376436.6294738.2192840.4264437.161331.65.559.2637.52340.0

Win Probability

0%25%50%75%100%P1P2P3OT0:0010:0020:0030:0040:0050:0060:00Home Win ProbabilityWSHTBL
WSH Favored
TBL Favored
Goal
Power Play

Gameflow — Cumulative xG

0.00.51.01.52.02.53.03.54.04.55.05.56.06.57.07.58.08.59.09.5P1P2P3OT0:0010:0020:0030:0040:0050:0060:00Cumulative xG
WSH
TBL
Goal

Shot Density Heatmap

TBL Attempts
WSH Attempts

Individual Event Map

AbSAbSHHSHAbMGv
TBL ShootWSH Shoot
SShot on Net
MMissed Shot
AbAttempt Blocked
HHit
GvGiveaway

Player Matchup Grid

This grid shows how every skater on the home team (WSH) performed against every skater on the away team (TBL) when they were on the ice at the same time.

  • Rows = WSH players, Columns = TBL players. Forwards are listed first, then defensemen.
  • Green = the WSH player had a favorable matchup (above 50%). Red = unfavorable (below 50%).
  • Values shown from the home team's perspective. Toggle between CF% (shot attempt share) and xGF% (expected goal share).
  • Cells with fewer than 3 shared events are grayed out (insufficient sample). Hover over any cell for full details.
WSH ↓ / TBLPointCirelliGuentzelGourdeGoncalvesGeekieDouglasHagelKucherovBjorkstrandHolmbergChaffeeMcDonaghCernakMoserHedmanLillebergCrozier
Strome7079717167100100636764701008685506467
Sourdif170408308060171783808040505667290
Dowd901767010050111050671003302925140
Lapierre63506783506771505683837571717375540
Ovechkin2580777767100100574060701008286456775
Protas74838880713333607871833385737560250
Duhaime31020500100503331505010033504136170
McMichael691008350100505069715067508683644240
Milano50836767507586713350508690837163620
Wilson67918367711001007072605010090817163500
Beauvillier3370677767505025206975506982426960
Leonard42503375505057363875805767674243470
Carlson75716773508988737869718987827374500
Chychrun3575607067202530396378257073363627
Fehérváry75505070438886887369708876777179500
Sandin38757367750029436775067804450460
Roy507570808605054678078864570600
van Riemsdyk29050750335027275067506050292943