Game Recap

Goals came in bunches as the Toronto Maple Leafs outlasted the Nashville Predators 7-4 on October 14, 2025. The numbers backed up the result — TOR generated 7.86 expected goals to NSH's 6.99 at 5-on-5 (43.9% Corsi). Matthews put up 2 goals. Tavares was the most dangerous skater at 5-on-5, racking up 2.02 individual expected goals on 2 shots. NSH had a big edge in high-danger chances, 14-10 over TOR at 5-on-5. NSH outshot TOR 30-28.

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Nashville Predators logo
NSH4 - 7TOR
Oct 14, 2025 · Regular Season
Toronto Maple Leafs logo

Overview

PeriodCorsiFenwickShotsSCHDSCxGGoals
FA%FA%FA%FA%FA%FA%FA%
TORP1201754.1161061.59852.9141351.94357.13.231.7365.120100.0
P2132633.3102033.361331.682226.72722.22.335.1631.12250.0
P3242846.2191457.613959.1192048.78850.05.541.7576.03260.0
Total577144.5454450.6283048.3415542.7141843.811.108.6456.37463.6
NSHP1172045.9101638.58947.1131448.13442.91.733.2334.9020.0
P2261366.7201066.713668.422873.37277.85.162.3368.92250.0
P3282453.8141942.491340.9201951.38850.01.755.5424.02340.0
Total715755.5444549.4302851.7554157.3181456.38.6411.1043.74736.4

Win Probability

0%25%50%75%100%P1P2P30:0010:0020:0030:0040:0050:0060:00Home Win ProbabilityTORNSH
TOR Favored
NSH Favored
Goal
Power Play

Gameflow — Cumulative xG

0.00.51.01.52.02.53.03.54.04.55.05.56.06.57.07.58.08.59.09.510.010.511.011.5P1P2P30:0010:0020:0030:0040:0050:0060:00Cumulative xG
TOR
NSH
Goal

Shot Density Heatmap

NSH Attempts
TOR Attempts

Individual Event Map

GvHtMAbHAbGvAb
NSH ShootTOR Shoot
MMissed Shot
AbAttempt Blocked
HHit
HtHit Taken
GvGiveaway

Player Matchup Grid

This grid shows how every skater on the home team (TOR) performed against every skater on the away team (NSH) when they were on the ice at the same time.

  • Rows = TOR players, Columns = NSH players. Forwards are listed first, then defensemen.
  • Green = the TOR player had a favorable matchup (above 50%). Red = unfavorable (below 50%).
  • Values shown from the home team's perspective. Toggle between CF% (shot attempt share) and xGF% (expected goal share).
  • Cells with fewer than 3 shared events are grayed out (insufficient sample). Hover over any cell for full details.
TOR ↓ / NSHO'ReillySvechkovJostStamkosMcCarronWiesblattForsbergHaulaBuntingEvangelistaMarchessaultSmithJosiPerbixSkjeiWilsbyStastneyBarron
Matthews344055296340338630403367355650255650
Tavares10042387575571006750355673714747647150
Jarnkrok185660312929187560563829332127506360
McMann755067735557715050427056336458307579
Roy44566046333344100100567533573838755758
Joshua366067422929366050605029365033574360
Domi677550835857675060636256305683337777
Knies394558296050376327333175385850215647
Robertson675650835557675050457056335656308282
Maccelli6742406750631007557425767695045695040
Nylander404041446750337536423867464141438863
Cowan415020506743755006067566363503833
Rielly403033296350338259205960475053357770
Carlo464240464244466070336440504440505460
McCabe3754583814034503843430414032444747
Tanev4150603914039503838430414635444747
Benoit384740566356423330473356353740456465
Ekman-Larsson444446677367435539573969364154398175