Game Recap
Goals came in bunches as the Toronto Maple Leafs outlasted the Nashville Predators 7-4 on October 14, 2025. The numbers backed up the result — TOR generated 7.86 expected goals to NSH's 6.99 at 5-on-5 (43.9% Corsi). Matthews put up 2 goals. Tavares was the most dangerous skater at 5-on-5, racking up 2.02 individual expected goals on 2 shots. NSH had a big edge in high-danger chances, 14-10 over TOR at 5-on-5. NSH outshot TOR 30-28.
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- xG Gameflow — cumulative expected goals chart tracking each team's xG as Nashville Predators vs Toronto Maple Leafs progressed on Oct 14, 2025
- Shot heatmap — where shots were taken on the ice, color-coded by scoring probability
- Event timeline — every goal, penalty, and key play mapped chronologically
- Player matchup grid — head-to-head on-ice performance in Corsi and expected goals
- Strength filter — 5v5 by default, with options for power play, penalty kill, and all situations
NSH4 - 7TOR
Oct 14, 2025 · Regular Season
Overview
| Period | Corsi | Fenwick | Shots | SC | HDSC | xG | Goals | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| F | A | % | F | A | % | F | A | % | F | A | % | F | A | % | F | A | % | F | A | % | ||
| TOR | P1 | 20 | 17 | 54.1 | 16 | 10 | 61.5 | 9 | 8 | 52.9 | 14 | 13 | 51.9 | 4 | 3 | 57.1 | 3.23 | 1.73 | 65.1 | 2 | 0 | 100.0 |
| P2 | 13 | 26 | 33.3 | 10 | 20 | 33.3 | 6 | 13 | 31.6 | 8 | 22 | 26.7 | 2 | 7 | 22.2 | 2.33 | 5.16 | 31.1 | 2 | 2 | 50.0 | |
| P3 | 24 | 28 | 46.2 | 19 | 14 | 57.6 | 13 | 9 | 59.1 | 19 | 20 | 48.7 | 8 | 8 | 50.0 | 5.54 | 1.75 | 76.0 | 3 | 2 | 60.0 | |
| Total | 57 | 71 | 44.5 | 45 | 44 | 50.6 | 28 | 30 | 48.3 | 41 | 55 | 42.7 | 14 | 18 | 43.8 | 11.10 | 8.64 | 56.3 | 7 | 4 | 63.6 | |
| NSH | P1 | 17 | 20 | 45.9 | 10 | 16 | 38.5 | 8 | 9 | 47.1 | 13 | 14 | 48.1 | 3 | 4 | 42.9 | 1.73 | 3.23 | 34.9 | 0 | 2 | 0.0 |
| P2 | 26 | 13 | 66.7 | 20 | 10 | 66.7 | 13 | 6 | 68.4 | 22 | 8 | 73.3 | 7 | 2 | 77.8 | 5.16 | 2.33 | 68.9 | 2 | 2 | 50.0 | |
| P3 | 28 | 24 | 53.8 | 14 | 19 | 42.4 | 9 | 13 | 40.9 | 20 | 19 | 51.3 | 8 | 8 | 50.0 | 1.75 | 5.54 | 24.0 | 2 | 3 | 40.0 | |
| Total | 71 | 57 | 55.5 | 44 | 45 | 49.4 | 30 | 28 | 51.7 | 55 | 41 | 57.3 | 18 | 14 | 56.3 | 8.64 | 11.10 | 43.7 | 4 | 7 | 36.4 | |
Win Probability
TOR Favored
NSH Favored
Goal
Power Play
Gameflow — Cumulative xG
TOR
NSH
Goal
Shot Density Heatmap
NSH Attempts
TOR Attempts
Individual Event Map
NSH ShootTOR Shoot
Missed Shot
Attempt Blocked
Hit
Hit Taken
Giveaway
Player Matchup Grid
This grid shows how every skater on the home team (TOR) performed against every skater on the away team (NSH) when they were on the ice at the same time.
- Rows = TOR players, Columns = NSH players. Forwards are listed first, then defensemen.
- Green = the TOR player had a favorable matchup (above 50%). Red = unfavorable (below 50%).
- Values shown from the home team's perspective. Toggle between CF% (shot attempt share) and xGF% (expected goal share).
- Cells with fewer than 3 shared events are grayed out (insufficient sample). Hover over any cell for full details.
| TOR ↓ / NSH → | O'Reilly | Svechkov | Jost | Stamkos | McCarron | Wiesblatt | Forsberg | Haula | Bunting | Evangelista | Marchessault | Smith | Josi | Perbix | Skjei | Wilsby | Stastney | Barron |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthews | 34 | 40 | 55 | 29 | 63 | 40 | 33 | 86 | 30 | 40 | 33 | 67 | 35 | 56 | 50 | 25 | 56 | 50 |
| Tavares | 100 | 42 | 38 | 75 | 75 | 57 | 100 | 67 | 50 | 35 | 56 | 73 | 71 | 47 | 47 | 64 | 71 | 50 |
| Jarnkrok | 18 | 56 | 60 | 31 | 29 | 29 | 18 | 75 | 60 | 56 | 38 | 29 | 33 | 21 | 27 | 50 | 63 | 60 |
| McMann | 75 | 50 | 67 | 73 | 55 | 57 | 71 | 50 | 50 | 42 | 70 | 56 | 33 | 64 | 58 | 30 | 75 | 79 |
| Roy | 44 | 56 | 60 | 46 | 33 | 33 | 44 | 100 | 100 | 56 | 75 | 33 | 57 | 38 | 38 | 75 | 57 | 58 |
| Joshua | 36 | 60 | 67 | 42 | 29 | 29 | 36 | 60 | 50 | 60 | 50 | 29 | 36 | 50 | 33 | 57 | 43 | 60 |
| Domi | 67 | 75 | 50 | 83 | 58 | 57 | 67 | 50 | 60 | 63 | 62 | 56 | 30 | 56 | 83 | 33 | 77 | 77 |
| Knies | 39 | 45 | 58 | 29 | 60 | 50 | 37 | 63 | 27 | 33 | 31 | 75 | 38 | 58 | 50 | 21 | 56 | 47 |
| Robertson | 67 | 56 | 50 | 83 | 55 | 57 | 67 | 50 | 50 | 45 | 70 | 56 | 33 | 56 | 56 | 30 | 82 | 82 |
| Maccelli | 67 | 42 | 40 | 67 | 50 | 63 | 100 | 75 | 57 | 42 | 57 | 67 | 69 | 50 | 45 | 69 | 50 | 40 |
| Nylander | 40 | 40 | 41 | 44 | 67 | 50 | 33 | 75 | 36 | 42 | 38 | 67 | 46 | 41 | 41 | 43 | 88 | 63 |
| Cowan | 41 | — | 50 | 20 | 50 | 67 | 43 | 75 | 50 | 0 | 60 | 67 | 56 | 63 | 63 | 50 | 38 | 33 |
| Rielly | 40 | 30 | 33 | 29 | 63 | 50 | 33 | 82 | 59 | 20 | 59 | 60 | 47 | 50 | 53 | 35 | 77 | 70 |
| Carlo | 46 | 42 | 40 | 46 | 42 | 44 | 46 | 60 | 70 | 33 | 64 | 40 | 50 | 44 | 40 | 50 | 54 | 60 |
| McCabe | 37 | 54 | 58 | 38 | 14 | 0 | 34 | 50 | 38 | 43 | 43 | 0 | 41 | 40 | 32 | 44 | 47 | 47 |
| Tanev | 41 | 50 | 60 | 39 | 14 | 0 | 39 | 50 | 38 | 38 | 43 | 0 | 41 | 46 | 35 | 44 | 47 | 47 |
| Benoit | 38 | 47 | 40 | 56 | 63 | 56 | 42 | 33 | 30 | 47 | 33 | 56 | 35 | 37 | 40 | 45 | 64 | 65 |
| Ekman-Larsson | 44 | 44 | 46 | 67 | 73 | 67 | 43 | 55 | 39 | 57 | 39 | 69 | 36 | 41 | 54 | 39 | 81 | 75 |
