Game Recap
The Colorado Avalanche defeated the Buffalo Sabres 3-1 on October 13, 2025. Despite the result, the Buffalo Sabres held the edge in expected goals (6.99 to 6.19) at 5-on-5, indicating the Colorado Avalanche received favorable bounces or strong goaltending. The Buffalo Sabres created 8 high-danger scoring chances compared to 7 from the Colorado Avalanche at 5-on-5. Nathan MacKinnon scored 2 goals. Josh Doan was the most dangerous skater with 1.66 individual expected goals on 3 shots at 5-on-5. The Colorado Avalanche outshot the Buffalo Sabres 37-28 in total shots on goal.
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- xG Gameflow — cumulative expected goals chart tracking each team's xG as Colorado Avalanche vs Buffalo Sabres progressed on Oct 13, 2025
- Shot heatmap — where shots were taken on the ice, color-coded by scoring probability
- Event timeline — every goal, penalty, and key play mapped chronologically
- Player matchup grid — head-to-head on-ice performance in Corsi and expected goals
- Strength filter — 5v5 by default, with options for power play, penalty kill, and all situations
COL3 - 1BUF
Oct 13, 2025 · Regular Season
Overview
| Period | Corsi | Fenwick | Shots | SC | HDSC | xG | Goals | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| F | A | % | F | A | % | F | A | % | F | A | % | F | A | % | F | A | % | F | A | % | ||
| BUF | P1 | 26 | 14 | 65.0 | 20 | 12 | 62.5 | 13 | 10 | 56.5 | 16 | 11 | 59.3 | 7 | 1 | 87.5 | 4.35 | 1.74 | 71.4 | 1 | 1 | 50.0 |
| P2 | 28 | 22 | 56.0 | 18 | 16 | 52.9 | 11 | 12 | 47.8 | 17 | 12 | 58.6 | 1 | 4 | 20.0 | 2.46 | 2.94 | 45.6 | 0 | 2 | 0.0 | |
| P3 | 12 | 27 | 30.8 | 7 | 23 | 23.3 | 4 | 15 | 21.1 | 10 | 20 | 33.3 | 2 | 2 | 50.0 | 1.41 | 3.41 | 29.3 | 0 | 0 | — | |
| Total | 66 | 63 | 51.2 | 45 | 51 | 46.9 | 28 | 37 | 43.1 | 43 | 43 | 50.0 | 10 | 7 | 58.8 | 8.22 | 8.09 | 50.4 | 1 | 3 | 25.0 | |
| COL | P1 | 14 | 26 | 35.0 | 12 | 20 | 37.5 | 10 | 13 | 43.5 | 11 | 16 | 40.7 | 1 | 7 | 12.5 | 1.74 | 4.35 | 28.6 | 1 | 1 | 50.0 |
| P2 | 22 | 28 | 44.0 | 16 | 18 | 47.1 | 12 | 11 | 52.2 | 12 | 17 | 41.4 | 4 | 1 | 80.0 | 2.94 | 2.46 | 54.4 | 2 | 0 | 100.0 | |
| P3 | 27 | 12 | 69.2 | 23 | 7 | 76.7 | 15 | 4 | 78.9 | 20 | 10 | 66.7 | 2 | 2 | 50.0 | 3.41 | 1.41 | 70.7 | 0 | 0 | — | |
| Total | 63 | 66 | 48.8 | 51 | 45 | 53.1 | 37 | 28 | 56.9 | 43 | 43 | 50.0 | 7 | 10 | 41.2 | 8.09 | 8.22 | 49.6 | 3 | 1 | 75.0 | |
Win Probability
BUF Favored
COL Favored
Goal
Power Play
Gameflow — Cumulative xG
BUF
COL
Goal
Shot Density Heatmap
COL Attempts
BUF Attempts
Individual Event Map
COL ShootBUF Shoot
Save
Goal Against
Missed Shot Against
Player Matchup Grid
This grid shows how every skater on the home team (BUF) performed against every skater on the away team (COL) when they were on the ice at the same time.
- Rows = BUF players, Columns = COL players. Forwards are listed first, then defensemen.
- Green = the BUF player had a favorable matchup (above 50%). Red = unfavorable (below 50%).
- Values shown from the home team's perspective. Toggle between CF% (shot attempt share) and xGF% (expected goal share).
- Cells with fewer than 3 shared events are grayed out (insufficient sample). Hover over any cell for full details.
| BUF ↓ / COL → | MacKinnon | Necas | Nelson | Colton | Drury | Kelly | Brindley | Lehkonen | Landeskog | Olofsson | Kiviranta | Nichushkin | Makar | Toews | Manson | Burns | Malinski | Solovyov |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thompson | 64 | 67 | 80 | 40 | 60 | 71 | 86 | 75 | 56 | 63 | 100 | 72 | 68 | 70 | 64 | 82 | 73 | 75 |
| Kulich | 11 | 14 | 60 | 45 | 67 | 17 | 33 | 33 | 38 | 63 | 25 | 62 | 41 | 65 | 14 | 14 | 73 | 57 |
| McLeod | 21 | 33 | 25 | 33 | 60 | 57 | 40 | 40 | 20 | 22 | 100 | 0 | 18 | 22 | 86 | 50 | 33 | 40 |
| Kozak | 33 | 33 | 89 | 73 | 40 | 100 | 100 | 0 | 100 | 63 | 100 | 100 | 36 | 44 | 78 | 50 | 85 | 100 |
| Dunne | 33 | 33 | 100 | 70 | 40 | 100 | 100 | 0 | 100 | 50 | 100 | 100 | 38 | 50 | 75 | 50 | 78 | 100 |
| Krebs | 71 | 75 | 50 | 45 | 50 | 40 | 40 | 50 | 25 | 33 | 100 | 0 | 38 | 25 | 83 | 67 | 80 | 40 |
| Malenstyn | 7 | 7 | 54 | 67 | 50 | 83 | 100 | 0 | 75 | 44 | 80 | 50 | 24 | 40 | 67 | 33 | 78 | 100 |
| Zucker | 60 | 67 | 89 | 43 | 63 | 43 | 50 | 57 | 86 | 60 | 100 | 89 | 58 | 73 | 71 | 63 | 88 | 50 |
| Tuch | 44 | 60 | 62 | 38 | 58 | 86 | 83 | 60 | 33 | 38 | 100 | 37 | 53 | 47 | 69 | 65 | 50 | 75 |
| Doan | 64 | 67 | 73 | 40 | 67 | 86 | 83 | 78 | 53 | 63 | 100 | 65 | 60 | 64 | 73 | 92 | 73 | 75 |
| Danforth | 6 | 6 | 0 | 36 | 56 | 17 | 33 | 7 | 0 | 38 | 20 | 0 | 10 | 20 | 14 | 14 | 36 | 57 |
| Quinn | 11 | 14 | 63 | 45 | 56 | 17 | 33 | 17 | 0 | 63 | 25 | 56 | 44 | 58 | 13 | 14 | 50 | 57 |
| Dahlin | 8 | 11 | 68 | 40 | 53 | 78 | 83 | 14 | 33 | 63 | 100 | 57 | 50 | 63 | 53 | 53 | 68 | 72 |
| Byram | 23 | 22 | 57 | 44 | 71 | 89 | 83 | 29 | 48 | 69 | 100 | 52 | 44 | 59 | 63 | 65 | 74 | 75 |
| Power | 31 | 37 | 0 | 36 | 55 | 50 | 67 | 34 | 25 | 7 | 67 | 23 | 21 | 41 | 77 | 53 | 42 | 0 |
| Timmins | 33 | 38 | 17 | 45 | 50 | 50 | 100 | 35 | 10 | 14 | 50 | 0 | 27 | 28 | 67 | 50 | 20 | 33 |
| Bryson | 43 | 50 | 55 | 56 | 50 | 45 | 56 | 0 | 57 | 63 | 50 | 57 | 44 | 50 | 63 | 33 | 82 | 80 |
| Johnson | — | — | 75 | 47 | 50 | 42 | 50 | — | 63 | 63 | 40 | 67 | 50 | 50 | 50 | 50 | 71 | 80 |
