Game Recap

The Colorado Avalanche defeated the Buffalo Sabres 3-1 on October 13, 2025. Despite the result, the Buffalo Sabres held the edge in expected goals (6.99 to 6.19) at 5-on-5, indicating the Colorado Avalanche received favorable bounces or strong goaltending. The Buffalo Sabres created 8 high-danger scoring chances compared to 7 from the Colorado Avalanche at 5-on-5. Nathan MacKinnon scored 2 goals. Josh Doan was the most dangerous skater with 1.66 individual expected goals on 3 shots at 5-on-5. The Colorado Avalanche outshot the Buffalo Sabres 37-28 in total shots on goal.

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Colorado Avalanche logo
COL3 - 1BUF
Oct 13, 2025 · Regular Season
Buffalo Sabres logo

Overview

PeriodCorsiFenwickShotsSCHDSCxGGoals
FA%FA%FA%FA%FA%FA%FA%
BUFP1261465.0201262.5131056.5161159.37187.54.351.7471.41150.0
P2282256.0181652.9111247.8171258.61420.02.462.9445.6020.0
P3122730.872323.341521.1102033.32250.01.413.4129.300
Total666351.2455146.9283743.1434350.010758.88.228.0950.41325.0
COLP1142635.0122037.5101343.5111640.71712.51.744.3528.61150.0
P2222844.0161847.1121152.2121741.44180.02.942.4654.420100.0
P3271269.223776.715478.9201066.72250.03.411.4170.700
Total636648.8514553.1372856.9434350.071041.28.098.2249.63175.0

Win Probability

0%25%50%75%100%P1P2P30:0010:0020:0030:0040:0050:0060:00Home Win ProbabilityBUFCOL
BUF Favored
COL Favored
Goal
Power Play

Gameflow — Cumulative xG

0.00.51.01.52.02.53.03.54.04.55.05.56.06.57.07.58.08.5P1P2P30:0010:0020:0030:0040:0050:0060:00Cumulative xG
BUF
COL
Goal

Shot Density Heatmap

COL Attempts
BUF Attempts

Individual Event Map

SvSvMMSvSvMMSvSvSvMSvGAMSvSvMSvSvSvSvSvSvSvSvSvSvSvSvMSvGAGASvMMSvMSvSvMSvSvSvSvSvSvMSvM
COL ShootBUF Shoot
SvSave
GAGoal Against
MMissed Shot Against

Player Matchup Grid

This grid shows how every skater on the home team (BUF) performed against every skater on the away team (COL) when they were on the ice at the same time.

  • Rows = BUF players, Columns = COL players. Forwards are listed first, then defensemen.
  • Green = the BUF player had a favorable matchup (above 50%). Red = unfavorable (below 50%).
  • Values shown from the home team's perspective. Toggle between CF% (shot attempt share) and xGF% (expected goal share).
  • Cells with fewer than 3 shared events are grayed out (insufficient sample). Hover over any cell for full details.
BUF ↓ / COLMacKinnonNecasNelsonColtonDruryKellyBrindleyLehkonenLandeskogOlofssonKivirantaNichushkinMakarToewsMansonBurnsMalinskiSolovyov
Thompson6467804060718675566310072687064827375
Kulich111460456717333338632562416514147357
McLeod213325336057404020221000182286503340
Kozak33338973401001000100631001003644785085100
Dunne333310070401001000100501001003850755078100
Krebs717550455040405025331000382583678040
Malenstyn77546750831000754480502440673378100
Zucker6067894363435057866010089587371638850
Tuch4460623858868360333810037534769655075
Doan6467734067868378536310065606473927375
Danforth660365617337038200102014143657
Quinn11146345561733170632556445813145057
Dahlin811684053788314336310057506353536872
Byram2322574471898329486910052445963657475
Power313703655506734257672321417753420
Timmins333817455050100351014500272867502033
Bryson43505556504556057635057445063338280
Johnson754750425063634067505050507180