Ottawa Senators vs Tampa Bay Lightning — October 9, 2025 Game Stats

Game Recap

A wild one ended 5-4 in favor of the Ottawa Senators over the Tampa Bay Lightning on Thursday. OTT had a big edge in high-danger chances, 12-4 over TBL at 5-on-5. Shane Pinto found the net 2 times. Nikita Kucherov found the net 2 times. The numbers backed up the result — OTT generated 6.81 expected goals to TBL's 3.47 at 5-on-5 (58.7% Corsi). Brady Tkachuk generated the most offense at even strength with 1.73 ixG on 5 shots.

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xG Gameflow — cumulative expected goals chart tracking each team's xG as Ottawa Senators vs Tampa Bay Lightning progressed on Oct 9, 2025
Shot heatmap — where shots were taken on the ice, color-coded by scoring probability
Event timeline — every goal, penalty, and key play mapped chronologically
Player matchup grid — head-to-head on-ice performance in Corsi and expected goals
Strength filter — 5v5 by default, with options for power play, penalty kill, and all situations

OTT5 - 4TBL

Oct 9, 2025 · Regular Season

Strength:

Overview

	Period	Corsi			Fenwick			Shots			SC			HDSC			xG			Goals
		F	A	%	F	A	%	F	A	%	F	A	%	F	A	%	F	A	%	F	A	%
TBL	P1	20	23	46.5	20	15	57.1	14	13	51.9	12	21	36.4	2	5	28.6	3.38	3.31	50.5	3	1	75.0
	P2	17	29	37.0	12	20	37.5	7	13	35.0	14	18	43.8	3	5	37.5	2.19	2.93	42.7	0	2	0.0
	P3	12	15	44.4	6	11	35.3	4	8	33.3	8	9	47.1	2	3	40.0	0.39	1.93	16.9	1	2	33.3
	Total	49	67	42.2	38	46	45.2	25	34	42.4	34	48	41.5	7	13	35.0	5.96	8.18	42.1	4	5	44.4
OTT	P1	23	20	53.5	15	20	42.9	13	14	48.1	21	12	63.6	5	2	71.4	3.31	3.38	49.5	1	3	25.0
	P2	29	17	63.0	20	12	62.5	13	7	65.0	18	14	56.3	5	3	62.5	2.93	2.19	57.3	2	0	100.0
	P3	15	12	55.6	11	6	64.7	8	4	66.7	9	8	52.9	3	2	60.0	1.93	0.39	83.1	2	1	66.7
	Total	67	49	57.8	46	38	54.8	34	25	57.6	48	34	58.5	13	7	65.0	8.18	5.96	57.9	5	4	55.6

Win Probability

TBL Favored

OTT Favored

Goal

Power Play

Gameflow — Cumulative xG

TBL

OTT

Goal

Shot Density Heatmap

OTT Attempts

TBL Attempts

Individual Event Map

Player:

OTT ShootTBL Shoot

Save

Goal Against

Missed Shot Against

Player Matchup Grid

This grid shows how every skater on the home team (TBL) performed against every skater on the away team (OTT) when they were on the ice at the same time.

Rows = TBL players, Columns = OTT players. Forwards are listed first, then defensemen.
Green = the TBL player had a favorable matchup (above 50%). Red = unfavorable (below 50%).
Values shown from the home team's perspective. Toggle between CF% (shot attempt share) and xGF% (expected goal share).
Cells with fewer than 3 shared events are grayed out (insufficient sample). Hover over any cell for full details.

Stat:

TBL ↓ / OTT →	Stützle	Pinto	Greig	Cozens	Eller	Cousins	Tkachuk	Zetterlund	Perron	MacDermid	Amadio	Giroux	Sanderson	Zub	Chabot	Jensen	Sebrango	Matinpalo
Guentzel	21	45	36	36	60	33	26	18	23	—	56	25	41	35	24	57	33	57
Gourde	33	25	25	56	60	67	43	31	31	—	50	8	33	27	45	67	33	33
Cirelli	43	46	67	14	—	—	43	45	50	—	50	67	36	50	47	56	56	50
Point	25	47	43	45	67	50	31	27	44	—	63	33	43	35	42	60	38	62
Goncalves	59	40	50	67	100	—	61	56	33	—	75	33	67	67	50	50	56	64
Geekie	0	40	67	60	57	50	25	25	50	100	57	0	38	43	33	50	80	75
Douglas	0	50	100	50	50	33	33	33	50	100	33	—	33	50	0	33	75	67
Hagel	45	44	50	29	100	—	48	45	50	—	75	67	55	80	40	53	56	54
Kucherov	25	47	41	40	60	33	30	27	38	—	60	33	41	33	40	56	25	54
Bjorkstrand	44	56	60	57	78	67	44	44	50	—	67	33	64	46	60	76	25	57
Chaffee	75	50	50	56	50	60	75	80	56	100	50	25	44	29	71	73	67	75
Holmberg	29	40	67	50	50	40	29	17	33	—	57	50	44	40	50	60	25	67
Hedman	28	44	38	30	70	50	35	25	30	—	57	28	39	33	29	60	50	60
Lilleberg	33	20	17	67	44	50	38	29	58	100	65	0	40	38	45	56	67	50
Crozier	22	20	25	69	44	44	30	20	67	100	67	0	36	38	47	50	71	55
Raddysh	50	48	36	33	20	0	53	38	13	—	0	29	29	14	38	64	50	64
McDonagh	48	25	43	30	100	—	47	50	14	—	40	29	44	41	50	67	33	57
Cernak	37	0	25	10	100	—	35	42	0	—	40	25	33	42	44	53	0	17