STL

vs

OTT

Complete head-to-head matchup analysis for St. Louis Blues vs Ottawa Senators across the 2026–27 regular season. This page compares overall records, Corsi and Fenwick possession rates, expected goals, scoring chances, and high-danger opportunities — plus projected starting goalies with their GSAx (Goals Saved Above Expected) ratings. The model section compares Elo-based win probabilities with market implied odds and notes situational factors worth watching. The last 10 games section shows recent form with per-game CF%, xGF%, and results so you can identify momentum and trends heading into the next matchup.

Season Overview

Team	Record	GP	+/-	CF%	FF%	xGF%	PP%	PK%
St. Louis Blues	3-2-1	6	+3	52.1	50.5	55	14.3%	89.5%
Ottawa Senators	5-2-0	7	+1	46	46.5	46.9	15.2%	78.6%

Betting Considerations

St. Louis Blues(Away)

Playing on 2nd game of back-to-back

Allowing 3.6 goals/game last 5 (+20% vs season avg)

1-0 vs Ottawa Senators this season

Ottawa Senators(Home)

Playing on 2nd game of back-to-back

Allowing 3.2 goals/game last 5 (+18% vs season avg)

0-1 vs St. Louis Blues this season

Seeking revenge after losing last matchup to St. Louis Blues

Projected Goalie Starters

Goalie	GP	SV%	GAA	HDSV%
J. Binnington75%Back-to-back — starter played yesterday, rest day expected	2	.848	2.25	.556
L. Ullmark75%Back-to-back — backup played yesterday, rest day expected	5	.948	0.30	.857

Last 10 Games

St. Louis BluesOttawa Senators

Date	Opponent	H/A	Result
Oct 13	Ottawa Senators	Away	W 7–2
Oct 10	Columbus Blue Jackets	Home	W 5–3
Oct 8	San Jose Sharks	Home	L 2–3 (OT)
Oct 6	Chicago Blackhawks	Away	L 2–4
Oct 3	Colorado Avalanche	Away	L 1–6
Oct 2	Dallas Stars	Away	W 4–0