PIT

vs

WSH

Complete head-to-head matchup analysis for Pittsburgh Penguins vs Washington Capitals across the 2026–27 regular season. This page compares overall records, Corsi and Fenwick possession rates, expected goals, scoring chances, and high-danger opportunities — plus projected starting goalies with their GSAx (Goals Saved Above Expected) ratings. The model section compares Elo-based win probabilities with market implied odds and notes situational factors worth watching. The last 10 games section shows recent form with per-game CF%, xGF%, and results so you can identify momentum and trends heading into the next matchup.

Season Overview

Team	Record	GP	+/-	CF%	FF%	xGF%	PP%	PK%
Pittsburgh Penguins	2-2-0	4	+5	49.7	51.1	56.4	30.8%	90.0%
Washington Capitals	2-1-0	3	+3	45.2	45.6	45.4	25.0%	91.7%

Betting Considerations

Pittsburgh Penguins(Away)

Playing on 2nd game of back-to-back

0-1 vs Washington Capitals this season

Seeking revenge after losing last matchup to Washington Capitals

Strong PK (90.0%) should limit Washington Capitals's PP (25.0%)

Washington Capitals(Home)

Playing on 2nd game of back-to-back

1-0 vs Pittsburgh Penguins this season

Strong PK (91.7%) should limit Pittsburgh Penguins's PP (30.8%)

Projected Goalie Starters

Goalie	GP	SV%	GAA	HDSV%
S. Murashov50%Back-to-back — starter played yesterday, rest day expected	1	.914	1.05	.1000
C. Lindgren50%Back-to-back — starter played yesterday, rest day expected	1	.931	0.69	.1000

Last 10 Games

Pittsburgh PenguinsWashington Capitals

Date	Opponent	H/A	Result
Oct 7	Washington Capitals	Away	L 3–5
Oct 5	Winnipeg Jets	Home	L 2–3
Oct 3	Montreal Canadiens	Home	W 6–5 (OT)
Sep 30	Philadelphia Flyers	Away	W 7–0