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PITvs
Pittsburgh Penguins(Away)
Washington Capitals(Home)
PITWSH
2025–26 Regular Season
Complete head-to-head matchup analysis for Pittsburgh Penguins vs Washington Capitals across the 2025–26 regular season. This page compares overall records, Corsi and Fenwick possession rates, expected goals, scoring chances, and high-danger opportunities — plus projected starting goalies with their GSAx (Goals Saved Above Expected) ratings. Betting considerations highlight Elo-based win probabilities, implied odds from sportsbooks, and situational edges worth watching. The last 10 games section shows recent form with per-game CF%, xGF%, and results so you can identify momentum and trends heading into the next matchup.
Season Overview
| Team | Record | GP | +/- | CF% | FF% | xGF% | PP% | PK% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pittsburgh Penguins | 43-28-17 | 82 | +32 | 50 | 50.4 | 51.5 | 23.5% | 81.9% |
| Washington Capitals | 43-30-9 | 81 | +23 | 49.2 | 49.9 | 50.5 | 17.8% | 80.1% |
Betting Considerations
Pittsburgh Penguins(Away)27 days rest
15 fewer days rest than opponent
22-13-9 on the road this season
Averaging 1.8 goals/game last 5 (-48% vs season avg)
Allowing 2.6 goals/game last 5 (-19% vs season avg)
1-2 vs Washington Capitals this season
Seeking revenge after losing last matchup to Washington Capitals
Lost 5 of last 7 games
Killed 7/7 penalties in last 3 games — above their 81.9% average
Washington Capitals(Home)42 days rest
15 more days rest than opponent
Won 4 consecutive games
25-11-5 at home this season
Allowing 2.4 goals/game last 5 (-19% vs season avg)
2-1 vs Pittsburgh Penguins this season
2/6 on the PP in last 3 games — well above their 17.8% average
Killed 3/3 penalties in last 3 games — above their 80.1% average
Missing Charlie Lindgren (Out) — 21 GP starter
Projected Goalie Starters
| Goalie | GP | SV% | GAA | HDSV% |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 S. Skinner60%Tandem split (60% start rate), 2 consecutive | 27 | .885 | 0.89 | .805 |
 C. Stevenson62%Clear #1 (7% start rate), 1 consecutive start | 4 | .921 | 0.67 | .813 |
Last 10 Games
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 29 |  Philadelphia Flyers | Away | L 0–1 (OT) |
| Apr 27 | Philadelphia Flyers | Home | W 3–2 |
| Apr 25 | Philadelphia Flyers | Away | W 4–2 |
| Apr 22 | Philadelphia Flyers | Away | L 2–5 |
| Apr 20 | Philadelphia Flyers | Home | L 0–3 |
| Apr 18 | Philadelphia Flyers | Home | L 2–3 |
| Apr 14 |  St. Louis Blues | Away | L 5–7 |
| Apr 12 | Washington Capitals | Away | L 0–3 |
| Apr 11 | Washington Capitals | Home | L 3–6 |
| Apr 9 |  New Jersey Devils | Away | W 5–2 |