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OTTvs
Ottawa Senators(Away)
San Jose Sharks(Home)
OTTSJS
2026–27 Regular Season
Complete head-to-head matchup analysis for Ottawa Senators vs San Jose Sharks across the 2026–27 regular season. This page compares overall records, Corsi and Fenwick possession rates, expected goals, scoring chances, and high-danger opportunities — plus projected starting goalies with their GSAx (Goals Saved Above Expected) ratings. The model section compares Elo-based win probabilities with market implied odds and notes situational factors worth watching. The last 10 games section shows recent form with per-game CF%, xGF%, and results so you can identify momentum and trends heading into the next matchup.
Season Overview
| Team | Record | GP | +/- | CF% | FF% | xGF% | PP% | PK% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ottawa Senators | 9-5-1 | 15 | +2 | 49.7 | 49.5 | 50.9 | 12.9% | 78.2% |
| San Jose Sharks | 7-7-1 | 15 | -11 | 45.1 | 44.3 | 40.5 | 23.1% | 84.0% |
Betting Considerations
Ottawa Senators(Away)Playing on 2nd game of back-to-back
4-3-1 on the road this season
Averaging 4.0 goals/game last 5 (+22% vs season avg)
Allowing 4.2 goals/game last 5 (+40% vs season avg)
On 4-game road trip
1-1 vs San Jose Sharks this season
Lost 4 of last 7 games
San Jose Sharks(Home)Playing on 2nd game of back-to-back
3-4-0 at home this season
On 4-game homestand
1-1 vs Ottawa Senators this season
Seeking revenge after losing last matchup to Ottawa Senators
Lost 4 of last 7 games
1/11 on the PP in last 3 games — below their 23.1% average
Killed 9/9 penalties in last 3 games — above their 84.0% average
Projected Goalie Starters
| Goalie | GP | SV% | GAA | HDSV% |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 L. Ullmark80%Back-to-back — backup played yesterday, rest day expected | 8 | .945 | 0.33 | .857 |
 Y. Askarov80%Back-to-back — backup played yesterday, rest day expected | 9 | .900 | 0.82 | .891 |
Last 10 Games
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31 | San Jose Sharks | Away | W 5–1 |
| Oct 29 |  Los Angeles Kings | Away | L 5–6 (OT) |
| Oct 27 |  Vegas Golden Knights | Away | L 1–4 |
| Oct 24 |  New York Rangers | Home | W 7–4 |
| Oct 22 | San Jose Sharks | Home | L 2–6 |
| Oct 21 |  Florida Panthers | Home | W 5–1 |
| Oct 17 |  Philadelphia Flyers | Away | L 1–3 |
| Oct 15 |  New York Islanders | Home | W 2–1 (SO) |
| Oct 13 |  St. Louis Blues | Home | L 2–7 |
| Oct 12 |  New Jersey Devils | Away | W 4–1 |