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Montreal Canadiens logoMTL
vs
PITPittsburgh Penguins logo
2026–27 Regular Season

Complete head-to-head matchup analysis for Montreal Canadiens vs Pittsburgh Penguins across the 2026–27 regular season. This page compares overall records, Corsi and Fenwick possession rates, expected goals, scoring chances, and high-danger opportunities — plus projected starting goalies with their GSAx (Goals Saved Above Expected) ratings. The model section compares Elo-based win probabilities with market implied odds and notes situational factors worth watching. The last 10 games section shows recent form with per-game CF%, xGF%, and results so you can identify momentum and trends heading into the next matchup.

Season Overview

TeamRecordGP+/-CF%FF%xGF%PP%PK%
Montreal Canadiens logoMontreal Canadiens1-1-13-249.147.742.510.0%75.0%
Pittsburgh Penguins logoPittsburgh Penguins2-2-04+549.751.156.430.8%90.0%

Betting Considerations

Montreal Canadiens logoMontreal Canadiens(Away)
0-0-1 vs Pittsburgh Penguins this season
Seeking revenge after losing last matchup to Pittsburgh Penguins
PK (75.0%) vulnerable against Pittsburgh Penguins's PP (30.8%)
Pittsburgh Penguins logoPittsburgh Penguins(Home)
Playing on 2nd game of back-to-back
1-0 vs Montreal Canadiens this season
PP (30.8%) has an edge vs Montreal Canadiens's PK (75.0%)

Projected Goalie Starters

GoalieGPSV%GAAHDSV%
Jakub Dobes, projected starting goalie for Montreal Canadiens with 50% confidence based on recent rotation analysisJ. Dobes50%Only goalie with starts (3/3 games)3.8561.11.680
Sergei Murashov, projected starting goalie for Pittsburgh Penguins with 50% confidence based on recent rotation analysisS. Murashov50%Back-to-back — starter played yesterday, rest day expected1.9141.05.1000

Last 10 Games

DateOpponentH/AResult
Oct 6Carolina Hurricanes logoCarolina HurricanesHomeL 4–6
Oct 3Pittsburgh Penguins logoPittsburgh PenguinsAwayL 5–6 (OT)
Sep 29Toronto Maple Leafs logoToronto Maple LeafsAwayW 3–2