CBJ

vs

BUF

Complete head-to-head matchup analysis for Columbus Blue Jackets vs Buffalo Sabres across the 2025–26 regular season. This page compares overall records, Corsi and Fenwick possession rates, expected goals, scoring chances, and high-danger opportunities — plus projected starting goalies with their GSAx (Goals Saved Above Expected) ratings. Betting considerations highlight Elo-based win probabilities, implied odds from sportsbooks, and situational edges worth watching. The last 10 games section shows recent form with per-game CF%, xGF%, and results so you can identify momentum and trends heading into the next matchup.

Season Overview

Team	Record	GP	+/-	CF%	FF%	xGF%	PP%	PK%
Columbus Blue Jackets	39-28-12	79	-6	49.7	49.4	49.4	19.2%	76.2%
Buffalo Sabres	49-23-8	80	+39	48.7	49.2	49.3	19.9%	81.7%

Betting Considerations

Columbus Blue Jackets(Away)

19-17-4 on the road this season

Averaging 1.6 goals/game last 5 (-48% vs season avg)

Allowing 4.0 goals/game last 5 (+28% vs season avg)

2-1 vs Buffalo Sabres this season

Seeking revenge after losing last matchup to Buffalo Sabres

Lost 6 of last 7 games

Buffalo Sabres(Home)

Won 3 consecutive games

26-10-4 at home this season

1-1-1 vs Columbus Blue Jackets this season

0/10 on the PP in last 3 games — below their 19.9% average

Missing Alex Lyon (Out) — 36 GP starter

Projected Goalie Starters

Goalie	GP	SV%	GAA	HDSV%
E. Merzlikins50%Game tomorrow — starter may rest tonight after 3 consecutive starts	30	.882	1.12	.826
C. Ellis48%Tandem split (13% start rate), 1 consecutive	15	.904	0.82	.827

Last 10 Games

Columbus Blue JacketsBuffalo Sabres

Date	Opponent	H/A	Result
Apr 9	Buffalo Sabres	Away	L 0–5
Apr 7	Detroit Red Wings	Away	W 4–3 (SO)
Apr 4	Winnipeg Jets	Home	L 1–2
Apr 2	Carolina Hurricanes	Away	L 1–5
Mar 31	Carolina Hurricanes	Home	L 2–5
Mar 29	Boston Bruins	Home	L 3–4 (SO)
Mar 28	San Jose Sharks	Home	L 2–3
Mar 26	Montreal Canadiens	Away	L 1–2
Mar 24	Philadelphia Flyers	Away	W 3–2
Mar 22	New York Islanders	Away	L 0–1