Game Recap
The Buffalo Sabres pushed the Montreal Canadiens to the limit before falling 4-3 in overtime on October 17, 2026. Cole Caufield had a 2-goal game. The expected goals told the same story: MTL 2.77, BUF 2.22 at 5-on-5. Benson was the most dangerous skater at 5-on-5, racking up 0.69 individual expected goals on 3 shots. High-danger chances favored BUF by a wide margin: 11 to 5. MTL outshot BUF 34-26.
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- xG Gameflow — cumulative expected goals chart tracking each team's xG as Buffalo Sabres vs Montreal Canadiens progressed on Oct 17, 2026
- Shot heatmap — where shots were taken on the ice, color-coded by scoring probability
- Event timeline — every goal, penalty, and key play mapped chronologically
- Player matchup grid — head-to-head on-ice performance in Corsi and expected goals
- Strength filter — 5v5 by default, with options for power play, penalty kill, and all situations
BUF3 - 4MTL (OT)
Oct 17, 2026 · Regular Season
Overview
| Period | Corsi | Fenwick | Shots | SC | HDSC | xG | Goals | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| F | A | % | F | A | % | F | A | % | F | A | % | F | A | % | F | A | % | F | A | % | ||
| MTL | P1 | 20 | 15 | 57.1 | 12 | 8 | 60.0 | 7 | 5 | 58.3 | 15 | 7 | 68.2 | 2 | 3 | 40.0 | 1.19 | 0.51 | 70.2 | 2 | 1 | 66.7 |
| P2 | 24 | 18 | 57.1 | 21 | 15 | 58.3 | 15 | 12 | 55.6 | 17 | 13 | 56.7 | 7 | 7 | 50.0 | 1.84 | 1.48 | 55.5 | 1 | 1 | 50.0 | |
| P3 | 21 | 20 | 51.2 | 15 | 15 | 50.0 | 10 | 9 | 52.6 | 13 | 14 | 48.1 | 1 | 4 | 20.0 | 0.92 | 1.16 | 44.2 | 0 | 1 | 0.0 | |
| OT | 2 | 1 | 66.7 | 2 | 1 | 66.7 | 2 | 0 | 100.0 | 1 | 1 | 50.0 | 1 | 1 | 50.0 | 0.29 | 0.18 | 61.2 | 1 | 0 | 100.0 | |
| Total | 67 | 54 | 55.4 | 50 | 39 | 56.2 | 34 | 26 | 56.7 | 46 | 35 | 56.8 | 11 | 15 | 42.3 | 4.24 | 3.32 | 56.1 | 4 | 3 | 57.1 | |
| BUF | P1 | 15 | 20 | 42.9 | 8 | 12 | 40.0 | 5 | 7 | 41.7 | 7 | 15 | 31.8 | 3 | 2 | 60.0 | 0.51 | 1.19 | 29.8 | 1 | 2 | 33.3 |
| P2 | 18 | 24 | 42.9 | 15 | 21 | 41.7 | 12 | 15 | 44.4 | 13 | 17 | 43.3 | 7 | 7 | 50.0 | 1.48 | 1.84 | 44.5 | 1 | 1 | 50.0 | |
| P3 | 20 | 21 | 48.8 | 15 | 15 | 50.0 | 9 | 10 | 47.4 | 14 | 13 | 51.9 | 4 | 1 | 80.0 | 1.16 | 0.92 | 55.8 | 1 | 0 | 100.0 | |
| OT | 1 | 2 | 33.3 | 1 | 2 | 33.3 | 0 | 2 | 0.0 | 1 | 1 | 50.0 | 1 | 1 | 50.0 | 0.18 | 0.29 | 38.8 | 0 | 1 | 0.0 | |
| Total | 54 | 67 | 44.6 | 39 | 50 | 43.8 | 26 | 34 | 43.3 | 35 | 46 | 43.2 | 15 | 11 | 57.7 | 3.32 | 4.24 | 43.9 | 3 | 4 | 42.9 | |
Win Probability
MTL Favored
BUF Favored
Goal
Power Play
Gameflow — Cumulative xG
MTL
BUF
Goal
Shot Density Heatmap
BUF Attempts
MTL Attempts
Individual Event Map
BUF ShootMTL Shoot
Shot on Net
Missed Shot
Attempt Blocked
Hit Taken
Shot Blocked
Giveaway
Player Matchup Grid
This grid shows how every skater on the home team (MTL) performed against every skater on the away team (BUF) when they were on the ice at the same time.
- Rows = MTL players, Columns = BUF players. Forwards are listed first, then defensemen.
- Green = the MTL player had a favorable matchup (above 50%). Red = unfavorable (below 50%).
- Values shown from the home team's perspective. Toggle between CF% (shot attempt share) and xGF% (expected goal share).
- Cells with fewer than 3 shared events are grayed out (insufficient sample). Hover over any cell for full details.
| MTL ↓ / BUF → | Thompson | McLeod | Kulich | Ostlund | Norris | Helenius | Krebs | Benson | Malenstyn | Quinn | Doan | Danforth | Samuelsson | Power | Zellweger | Crevier | Metsa | Gilbert |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Suzuki | 63 | 70 | 33 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 0 | 75 | 100 | 75 | 68 | 0 | 70 | 69 | 45 | 92 | 71 | 100 |
| Evans | 22 | 0 | 44 | 29 | 33 | 33 | 40 | 17 | 50 | 29 | 20 | 50 | 20 | 40 | 24 | 50 | 100 | 67 |
| Dach | 20 | 0 | 44 | 30 | 40 | 40 | 38 | 22 | 50 | 30 | 20 | 43 | 24 | 60 | 21 | 50 | 100 | 67 |
| Kapanen | 0 | 33 | 38 | 43 | 33 | 33 | 43 | 33 | 67 | 43 | 0 | 50 | 31 | 50 | 27 | 40 | 100 | 75 |
| Danault | 33 | 50 | 100 | 30 | 100 | 100 | 0 | 22 | 75 | 27 | 50 | 0 | 46 | 64 | 38 | 50 | 80 | 33 |
| Newhook | 83 | 100 | 50 | 56 | 62 | 44 | 33 | 64 | 50 | 67 | 50 | 33 | 63 | 69 | 50 | 100 | 64 | 80 |
| Slafkovský | 65 | 71 | 50 | 100 | 100 | 100 | — | 75 | 100 | 75 | 68 | — | 74 | 73 | 50 | 92 | 71 | 100 |
| Texier | 100 | 80 | 83 | 20 | 100 | 100 | 0 | 18 | 50 | 17 | 75 | 0 | 29 | 67 | 22 | 50 | 100 | 50 |
| Kreider | 80 | 100 | 50 | 44 | 60 | 43 | 50 | 55 | 57 | 55 | 75 | 50 | 56 | 60 | 63 | 86 | 60 | 67 |
| Caufield | 71 | 76 | 50 | 100 | 100 | 100 | — | 75 | 100 | 75 | 76 | — | 78 | 75 | 56 | 92 | 83 | 100 |
| Bolduc | 100 | 89 | 83 | 33 | 100 | 100 | — | 44 | 100 | 33 | 80 | — | 60 | 75 | 50 | 80 | 100 | 67 |
| Anderson | 63 | 100 | 45 | 50 | 58 | 44 | 33 | 58 | 40 | 58 | 50 | 33 | 43 | 61 | 44 | 100 | 60 | 75 |
| Hutson | 77 | 78 | 44 | 50 | 67 | 43 | — | 50 | 100 | 50 | 73 | — | 63 | 64 | 41 | 72 | 77 | 75 |
| Guhle | 45 | 57 | 57 | 27 | 80 | 80 | 14 | 20 | 33 | 33 | 53 | 17 | 40 | 53 | 39 | 100 | 57 | — |
| Carrier | 45 | 60 | 50 | 30 | 75 | 80 | 0 | 22 | 20 | 30 | 56 | 0 | 33 | 47 | 37 | 100 | 57 | 50 |
| Dobson | 77 | 69 | 33 | 44 | 50 | 29 | — | 42 | 100 | 48 | 64 | — | 41 | 59 | 33 | 67 | 63 | 80 |
| Xhekaj | 100 | — | 64 | 50 | 55 | 55 | 75 | 33 | 60 | 50 | 0 | 75 | 40 | 71 | 25 | 100 | 100 | 83 |
| Reinbacher | — | — | 78 | 50 | 70 | 70 | 80 | 50 | 67 | 50 | — | 80 | 50 | 86 | 50 | 100 | 100 | 80 |
