Buffalo Sabres vs Toronto Maple Leafs — October 15, 2026 Game Stats

Game Recap

Kirill Marchenko had a hat trick as the Buffalo Sabres topped the Toronto Maple Leafs 5-4 on October 15, 2026. The expected goals were nearly even at 5-on-5 — TOR 2.31, BUF 2.22. Jack Quinn had a 2-goal game. High-danger chances at 5-on-5: TOR 8, BUF 5. Shots on goal: TOR 30, BUF 34.

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xG Gameflow — cumulative expected goals chart tracking each team's xG as Buffalo Sabres vs Toronto Maple Leafs progressed on Oct 15, 2026
Shot heatmap — where shots were taken on the ice, color-coded by scoring probability
Event timeline — every goal, penalty, and key play mapped chronologically
Player matchup grid — head-to-head on-ice performance in Corsi and expected goals
Strength filter — 5v5 by default, with options for power play, penalty kill, and all situations

BUF5 - 4TOR (OT)

Oct 15, 2026 · Regular Season

Strength:

Overview

	Period	Corsi			Fenwick			Shots			SC			HDSC			xG			Goals
		F	A	%	F	A	%	F	A	%	F	A	%	F	A	%	F	A	%	F	A	%
TOR	P1	22	19	53.7	20	12	62.5	15	8	65.2	16	10	61.5	5	3	62.5	1.45	0.88	62.1	2	1	66.7
	P2	17	21	44.7	16	18	47.1	11	13	45.8	13	14	48.1	4	2	66.7	1.26	1.16	52.2	2	1	66.7
	P3	7	18	28.0	5	16	23.8	4	11	26.7	4	8	33.3	1	2	33.3	0.15	0.67	18.2	0	2	0.0
	OT	1	3	25.0	1	3	25.0	0	2	0.0	1	3	25.0	0	1	0.0	0.07	0.38	14.7	0	1	0.0
	Total	47	61	43.5	42	49	46.2	30	34	46.9	34	35	49.3	10	8	55.6	2.92	3.09	48.6	4	5	44.4
BUF	P1	19	22	46.3	12	20	37.5	8	15	34.8	10	16	38.5	3	5	37.5	0.88	1.45	37.9	1	2	33.3
	P2	21	17	55.3	18	16	52.9	13	11	54.2	14	13	51.9	2	4	33.3	1.16	1.26	47.8	1	2	33.3
	P3	18	7	72.0	16	5	76.2	11	4	73.3	8	4	66.7	2	1	66.7	0.67	0.15	81.8	2	0	100.0
	OT	3	1	75.0	3	1	75.0	2	0	100.0	3	1	75.0	1	0	100.0	0.38	0.07	85.3	1	0	100.0
	Total	61	47	56.5	49	42	53.8	34	30	53.1	35	34	50.7	8	10	44.4	3.09	2.92	51.4	5	4	55.6

Win Probability

TOR Favored

BUF Favored

Goal

Power Play

Gameflow — Cumulative xG

TOR

BUF

Goal

Shot Density Heatmap

BUF Attempts

TOR Attempts

Individual Event Map

Player:

BUF ShootTOR Shoot

Goal

Hit

Shot Blocked

Takeaway

Player Matchup Grid

This grid shows how every skater on the home team (TOR) performed against every skater on the away team (BUF) when they were on the ice at the same time.

Rows = TOR players, Columns = BUF players. Forwards are listed first, then defensemen.
Green = the TOR player had a favorable matchup (above 50%). Red = unfavorable (below 50%).
Values shown from the home team's perspective. Toggle between CF% (shot attempt share) and xGF% (expected goal share).
Cells with fewer than 3 shared events are grayed out (insufficient sample). Hover over any cell for full details.

Stat:

TOR ↓ / BUF →	Ostlund	McLeod	Thompson	Krebs	Helenius	Norris	Carrick	Benson	Malenstyn	Doan	Quinn	Danforth	Samuelsson	Zellweger	Power	Crevier	Metsa	Gilbert
Matthews	38	67	67	80	67	100	100	50	71	75	42	67	61	54	63	80	80	0
Sissons	17	60	22	50	50	50	80	17	83	50	25	83	67	38	38	50	60	13
Tavares	33	50	100	20	20	20	100	50	100	100	33	100	100	0	56	36	67	14
Roslovic	40	50	64	80	50	67	100	44	60	75	33	60	52	55	50	67	75	0
Blueger	36	25	25	67	25	25	50	36	67	50	42	67	38	20	42	25	71	40
Paul	44	38	67	38	23	15	100	38	100	67	38	—	67	17	50	22	60	14
Duhaime	56	17	50	100	40	25	50	50	67	40	50	67	71	29	60	25	80	25
McKenna	25	67	50	0	33	33	80	25	80	67	40	80	60	0	63	50	60	25
Marchenko	38	56	100	50	36	31	100	44	100	100	33	100	88	43	50	42	63	14
Nylander	33	71	58	80	80	100	100	46	71	73	40	67	59	58	33	80	67	0
Cowan	42	63	25	50	50	50	80	42	83	60	45	83	63	33	62	63	67	14
MacEwen	50	33	100	100	33	33	50	50	67	100	50	67	50	25	60	25	75	50
Raddysh	47	47	38	71	50	43	100	56	75	47	62	71	68	58	46	50	64	22
McCabe	27	40	33	50	29	33	100	30	100	50	44	100	63	53	27	13	60	17
Rielly	32	38	67	50	13	0	75	28	57	67	24	50	30	8	47	43	55	11
Ekman-Larsson	44	60	100	70	50	50	75	44	80	100	44	80	67	57	70	46	86	33
Stecher	25	50	57	50	13	0	75	21	80	100	21	75	36	17	41	38	60	13
Blankenburg	40	50	100	88	56	63	75	40	80	100	25	80	67	67	71	56	100	25