Nashville Predators vs Toronto Maple Leafs — October 6, 2026 Game Stats

Game Recap

The Toronto Maple Leafs edged the Nashville Predators 5-4 in overtime on October 6, 2026. TOR had the better of the chances at even strength, putting up 3.18 xG against 2.47 while holding 59.6% of shot attempts. Tavares was the most dangerous skater at 5-on-5, racking up 0.44 individual expected goals on 4 shots. Steven Stamkos found the net 2 times. Hoglander put up 2 goals. TOR outshot NSH 38-25.

← Back to Games

xG Gameflow — cumulative expected goals chart tracking each team's xG as Nashville Predators vs Toronto Maple Leafs progressed on Oct 6, 2026
Shot heatmap — where shots were taken on the ice, color-coded by scoring probability
Event timeline — every goal, penalty, and key play mapped chronologically
Player matchup grid — head-to-head on-ice performance in Corsi and expected goals
Strength filter — 5v5 by default, with options for power play, penalty kill, and all situations

NSH4 - 5TOR (OT)

Oct 6, 2026 · Regular Season

Strength:

Overview

	Period	Corsi			Fenwick			Shots			SC			HDSC			xG			Goals
		F	A	%	F	A	%	F	A	%	F	A	%	F	A	%	F	A	%	F	A	%
TOR	P1	23	25	47.9	14	21	40.0	8	11	42.1	19	20	48.7	7	6	53.8	1.23	1.88	39.5	0	2	0.0
	P2	22	13	62.9	18	8	69.2	13	7	65.0	19	11	63.3	3	4	42.9	1.66	0.71	70.1	3	2	60.0
	P3	19	10	65.5	17	9	65.4	12	6	66.7	13	4	76.5	6	0	100.0	1.26	0.55	69.5	1	0	100.0
	OT	8	3	72.7	7	2	77.8	5	1	83.3	7	2	77.8	3	1	75.0	0.80	0.23	77.4	1	0	100.0
	Total	72	51	58.5	56	40	58.3	38	25	60.3	58	37	61.1	19	11	63.3	4.95	3.38	59.5	5	4	55.6
NSH	P1	25	23	52.1	21	14	60.0	11	8	57.9	20	19	51.3	6	7	46.2	1.88	1.23	60.5	2	0	100.0
	P2	13	22	37.1	8	18	30.8	7	13	35.0	11	19	36.7	4	3	57.1	0.71	1.66	29.9	2	3	40.0
	P3	10	19	34.5	9	17	34.6	6	12	33.3	4	13	23.5	0	6	0.0	0.55	1.26	30.5	0	1	0.0
	OT	3	8	27.3	2	7	22.2	1	5	16.7	2	7	22.2	1	3	25.0	0.23	0.80	22.6	0	1	0.0
	Total	51	72	41.5	40	56	41.7	25	38	39.7	37	58	38.9	11	19	36.7	3.38	4.95	40.5	4	5	44.4

Win Probability

TOR Favored

NSH Favored

Goal

Power Play

Gameflow — Cumulative xG

TOR

NSH

Goal

Shot Density Heatmap

NSH Attempts

TOR Attempts

Individual Event Map

Player:

NSH ShootTOR Shoot

Shot on Net

Hit

Shot Blocked

Player Matchup Grid

This grid shows how every skater on the home team (TOR) performed against every skater on the away team (NSH) when they were on the ice at the same time.

Rows = TOR players, Columns = NSH players. Forwards are listed first, then defensemen.
Green = the TOR player had a favorable matchup (above 50%). Red = unfavorable (below 50%).
Values shown from the home team's perspective. Toggle between CF% (shot attempt share) and xGF% (expected goal share).
Cells with fewer than 3 shared events are grayed out (insufficient sample). Hover over any cell for full details.

Stat:

TOR ↓ / NSH →	O'Reilly	Bourque	Stamkos	Kerfoot	Colton	Edstrom	Drury	Forsberg	Hoglander	Wood	Marchessault	Josi	Skjei	Hague	Perbix	Wilsby	Trudeau	Ahcan
Matthews	59	50	47	54	83	71	80	73	100	70	60	60	59	69	58	100	100	100
Tavares	81	60	73	67	60	67	70	53	38	58	50	62	91	64	85	46	50	—
Roslovic	55	67	50	44	86	57	80	56	50	50	67	62	50	58	50	100	75	0
Sissons	10	55	10	75	46	43	50	8	0	0	71	23	25	75	20	83	75	33
Blueger	67	50	50	67	50	100	100	67	60	75	64	100	40	100	50	75	50	70
Groulx	—	50	—	67	50	100	100	60	50	50	56	100	38	100	25	100	50	75
McKenna	67	75	63	71	67	67	67	54	33	38	63	73	57	60	56	67	50	67
Duhaime	17	56	9	75	56	75	67	31	75	23	63	18	44	100	40	80	60	78
Paul	50	58	50	75	57	57	67	20	0	0	67	80	29	80	25	67	57	33
Nylander	65	50	53	64	50	70	67	63	60	67	54	63	71	67	70	57	55	100
Marchenko	53	75	38	53	80	67	71	50	100	67	50	46	69	50	64	83	75	100
Cowan	60	40	33	83	64	67	80	25	0	—	60	80	50	67	40	64	73	0
Raddysh	75	42	73	71	36	70	75	62	80	89	50	83	55	83	58	67	62	50
Rielly	62	37	64	58	38	63	83	64	80	83	41	91	29	91	31	60	62	33
McCabe	25	100	25	57	86	57	60	32	40	14	80	27	82	75	73	50	25	83
Tanev	25	100	25	60	88	57	50	40	50	21	80	33	80	78	78	57	40	83
Ekman-Larsson	44	44	25	50	67	67	70	33	17	25	100	50	14	42	20	100	80	50
Stecher	33	33	22	44	58	62	67	30	17	22	50	44	13	38	14	80	83	50