Washington Capitals vs Tampa Bay Lightning — October 3, 2026 Game Stats

Game Recap

The Tampa Bay Lightning took down the Washington Capitals 3-1 on Saturday. Keep an eye on Hagel — 0.42 individual xG on 5 shots at 5-on-5. The expected goals told the same story: TBL 2.74, WSH 1.68 at 5-on-5. TBL outshot WSH 30-20.

← Back to Games

xG Gameflow — cumulative expected goals chart tracking each team's xG as Washington Capitals vs Tampa Bay Lightning progressed on Oct 3, 2026
Shot heatmap — where shots were taken on the ice, color-coded by scoring probability
Event timeline — every goal, penalty, and key play mapped chronologically
Player matchup grid — head-to-head on-ice performance in Corsi and expected goals
Strength filter — 5v5 by default, with options for power play, penalty kill, and all situations

WSH1 - 3TBL

Oct 3, 2026 · Regular Season

Strength:

Overview

	Period	Corsi			Fenwick			Shots			SC			HDSC			xG			Goals
		F	A	%	F	A	%	F	A	%	F	A	%	F	A	%	F	A	%	F	A	%
TBL	P1	25	12	67.6	21	9	70.0	14	5	73.7	17	9	65.4	4	3	57.1	1.62	0.54	75.1	2	0	100.0
	P2	21	20	51.2	14	15	48.3	7	7	50.0	17	11	60.7	5	3	62.5	1.19	0.97	55.0	0	1	0.0
	P3	17	29	37.0	14	17	45.2	9	9	50.0	12	23	34.3	0	7	0.0	0.80	1.29	38.2	1	0	100.0
	Total	63	61	50.8	49	41	54.4	30	21	58.8	46	43	51.7	9	13	40.9	3.60	2.79	56.3	3	1	75.0
WSH	P1	12	25	32.4	9	21	30.0	5	14	26.3	9	17	34.6	3	4	42.9	0.54	1.62	24.9	0	2	0.0
	P2	20	21	48.8	15	14	51.7	7	7	50.0	11	17	39.3	3	5	37.5	0.97	1.19	45.0	1	0	100.0
	P3	29	17	63.0	17	14	54.8	9	9	50.0	23	12	65.7	7	0	100.0	1.29	0.80	61.8	0	1	0.0
	Total	61	63	49.2	41	49	45.6	21	30	41.2	43	46	48.3	13	9	59.1	2.79	3.60	43.7	1	3	25.0

Win Probability

TBL Favored

WSH Favored

Goal

Power Play

Gameflow — Cumulative xG

TBL

WSH

Goal

Shot Density Heatmap

WSH Attempts

TBL Attempts

Individual Event Map

Player:

WSH ShootTBL Shoot

Missed Shot

Attempt Blocked

Hit

Shot Blocked

Giveaway

Player Matchup Grid

This grid shows how every skater on the home team (TBL) performed against every skater on the away team (WSH) when they were on the ice at the same time.

Rows = TBL players, Columns = WSH players. Forwards are listed first, then defensemen.
Green = the TBL player had a favorable matchup (above 50%). Red = unfavorable (below 50%).
Values shown from the home team's perspective. Toggle between CF% (shot attempt share) and xGF% (expected goal share).
Cells with fewer than 3 shared events are grayed out (insufficient sample). Hover over any cell for full details.

Stat:

TBL ↓ / WSH →	Dubois	Strome	Jenner	Sourdif	Ovechkin	Protas	Protas	Wilson	Tuch	Leonard	Kyrou	Beauvillier	Chychrun	Hutson	Fehérváry	Liljegren	Roy	Desharnais
Point	50	73	56	50	67	80	50	86	33	67	67	33	85	33	75	62	92	40
Girgensons	39	75	29	50	67	25	—	46	38	43	20	17	31	40	50	67	23	67
Goncalves	20	71	14	33	69	60	50	0	0	53	67	17	63	17	57	50	82	0
Guentzel	50	50	56	86	100	79	64	73	50	38	64	55	36	31	87	68	86	67
Cirelli	29	33	56	67	33	73	64	33	29	50	64	71	36	36	80	56	100	56
Geekie	60	—	50	67	—	67	67	60	75	—	67	67	33	100	60	75	50	100
Hagel	44	25	64	70	20	81	57	63	33	29	57	75	36	31	88	63	88	62
Viel	38	—	50	50	—	43	67	50	50	—	43	50	33	67	67	67	29	100
Holmberg	47	67	33	33	50	67	67	57	47	67	33	33	29	63	50	50	33	75
Kucherov	67	75	67	60	71	80	50	86	50	69	67	67	85	45	75	69	93	50
Mikheyev	38	60	60	67	67	40	50	45	38	50	29	67	38	50	60	75	31	67
Cernak	39	38	20	50	44	40	25	40	37	31	33	13	38	29	50	50	36	46
Moser	40	67	75	80	60	71	60	0	0	75	67	75	71	50	67	71	100	0
Carlson	67	80	75	80	75	85	71	86	33	75	75	75	82	50	81	79	92	50
McDonagh	22	44	27	60	50	100	33	27	20	30	33	30	23	25	50	67	40	50
Hedman	47	50	67	100	33	54	60	67	45	25	50	100	45	33	100	57	33	50
Lilleberg	50	67	50	38	67	86	86	67	29	60	71	50	60	50	67	55	67	80
D'Astous	40	100	50	44	67	43	33	33	38	75	43	75	29	44	63	44	67	100